Reconstruction of the climate in the Tianmu Mountain area,Zhejiang Province,in the last 160 years by σ<Superscript>13</Superscript>C sequence of tree ring α-cellulose

Based on cross-dating tree rings from the Tianmu Mountain, Zhejiang Province, the tree rings α-cellulose σ¹³C time series was measured. By spectrum analysis, the variation of tree-ring σ¹³C sequence shows a quasi periodicity of 4.4 years, which is coincident with the standard cycle of El Niño. After removing the long-term decrease trend of the σ¹³C variation related to atmospheric CO₂ concentration, the response of the σ¹³C to climate elements was analyzed using meteorology data from a nearby weather station. The results suggest that there is a distinct relativity between high-frequency variation of tree ring σ¹³C series and seasonal climate parameters, e.g. temperature and precipitation, with a significant time-lag effect. In addition, the high frequency also reflects the strength change of the East Asian Monsoon. The multiple regression method was employed to reconstruct the historical climate, and to analyze the climate change and trend in the last 160 years in the northern Zhejiang Province.     

湖北经济的空间结构及发展布局模式

本文论述了区域空间结构的构成要素和形成基础,分析了湖北省经济空间结构的现状、特征,并提出了其经济空间结构发展的模式。     

高空探测资料气球漂移的计算方法

随着数值模式的不断发展，探空气球的漂移偏差越来越不可忽视。为了提高高空观测数据的质量，减小在探测过程中由于气球漂移造成探测资料在空间上的误差，中国气象局提出一套探空、测风报的空间、时间扩充编码方案。该文从探空雷达探测系统、探测原理分析出发，介绍了该方案计算方法，并用个例说明方案的使用方法及业务应用前景。     

河北大湾锌矿中硫锰矿与闪锌矿的成因关系

本文研究了产于河北大湾锌矿床中的硫锰矿,探讨了硫锰矿与闪锌矿的成因关系。由实验结果而认为大湾硫锰矿是从深色高锰闪锌矿中出溶而成的。     

大气边界层的数值模式

从大气边界层温湿特征的模拟,讨论模式的设计和处理。模式计算所得位温,混合比垂直廓线和混合层厚度等随时间变化基本反映实际大气边界层的一些特点。并从地气之间热量收支、土壤热传导方程出发计算地面温度日变化。利用Clarke的Wangara资料计算了24小时内它们的变化,并与观测值进行比较。本文还对温湿预报方程的数值解的稳定性进行了讨论。     

我国东北地区冬季气温变化的东亚冬季风背景

利用中国气象局国家气象信息中心1961—2011年我国东北地区72个气象站月平均气温资料及NCEP/NCAR月平均海平面气压、500 hPa高度场及200 hPa与850 hPa风场再分析资料,对东亚冬季风强度与我国东北地区冬季气温序列经去除线性趋势处理后的变化特征进行对比分析。结果表明:去除线性趋势后,东亚冬季风强度与我国东北地区冬季气温序列的相关系数为-0.69,较原始序列更为显著;两者变化的阶段性较为同步,我国东北地区冬季气温于2004年已转入低温阶段,这与东亚冬季风同时转为偏强阶段关系密切;两者均存在20年左右的长周期,同样存在相近的阶段性短周期;我国东北地区冬季气温的增温变化趋势在1986年前后的增暖性气候突变中起重要作用。东亚冬季风强度与我国东北地区冬季气温年代际信号的相关系数达-0.86,较原始序列年代际相关更为显著;两者的年代际变化存在21.5年左右的共同准周期。东亚冬季风强度与我国东北地区冬季气温的年际变化序列存在4年左右的共同准周期。我国东北地区冬季气温的年际和年代际异常存在与东亚冬季风相关联的200 hPa东亚急流、500 hPa东亚大槽、乌拉尔高压、850 hPa风场、地面西伯利亚高压等的异常背景。     

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华东沿海ASCAT反演风速的检验和订正

基于2010—2014年ASCAT反演风速、华东沿海14个浮标站和浙江沿海249个自动气象站资料,对华东沿海ASCAT反演风速进行检验和订正。研究表明:站点ASCAT风速误差不仅与离岸距离相关,而且与站点周围地形有关,误差较大的5个浮标站均位于舟山群岛附近海区,平均偏大4.79 m·s-1,其他海区浮标站的ASCAT反演风速平均偏差仅为0.46 m·s-1。ASCAT反演风速与浮标站风速的线性回归可有效减小反演风速误差,订正后误差大幅减小,误差越大的站点订正效果越好。相距160 km内的浮标站点间风速误差呈正相关,且站点间距越小,误差正相关越明显。考虑带影响半径的反距离权重,采用邻站方程订正法和邻站误差订正法分别对华东沿海ASCAT反演风速进行订正,均能明显减小平均偏差和均方根误差,两种方法订正效果接近,即两种方法均有较好的订正效果,可用于实际业务。     

气象装备寿命概念及其在气象装备保障中的应用

将现已广泛应用于电子产品、机械设备尤其是军工产品制造和应用领域的寿命周期概念和理论引进到气象装备技术保障领域中,对气象装备的设计寿命、实际寿命、经济寿命、技术寿命和剩余使用寿命等几种不同的寿命概念进行了定义,并就每种寿命概念的应用进行了初步探讨.充分认识装备寿命的不同概念,将有助于提高气象装备维护、维修、更新、报废等各个业务环节的科学性,尤其是剩余使用寿命的概念,它的预测和应用将会促进现代维护维修理念的建立.     

Investigation of the channelling effect on pollutants dispersion between adjacent roadway tunnels

The health risks presented by noxious vehicle emissions inside tunnels has been amplified due to the increasing use of roadway tunnels. Particularly, for adjacent roadway tunnels, vehicular emissions from the upstream tunnel can further deteriorate the air quality within the following tunnels. A scale vehicle tunnel model was designed to experimentally modelled the airflow and pollutants dispersion in contiguous roadway tunnels. The channelling effect on pollutants dispersion between adjacent roadway tunnels was studied, and factors such as ventilation speed, open road section length, traffic condition (e.g. car free, car running and traffic congestion) were considered. Pollutants mass flow rate ratio between downstream and upstream tunnels was calculated to evaluate the variation of the entrained pollutants amount. For the car free condition, pollutant can be easily entrained into the downwind tunnel when the gap distance between roadway tunnels decreased. For the car running condition with fixed tunnel gap distance, the traffic speed variation barely changed the pollutants mass flow rate ratio. Furthermore, evident influences on pollutants concentration were observed from continuous congestion and partial congestion. Lastly, numerical simulation using computational fluid dynamics approach was conducted for the car free scenario, and reasonably good agreements were found for pollutants concentration ratio compared with the experimental data. The results yielded from this study further quantified the relationships among different influential factors on the pollutants dispersion between roadway tunnels, and can contribute to an improved tunnel ventilation system design, especially for the downstream tunnel.