南海东北部叶绿素a浓度对台风“风泵”和黑潮共同作用的响应

南海东北部是寡营养海域,夏季浮游植物叶绿素浓度较低,热带气旋"风泵"效应带来的上层海洋扰动可能引起表层浮游植物的显著增长。以往的研究通常关注热带气旋风应力和海洋中尺度涡对上层海洋浮游植物的影响,本文利用航次CTD、实测叶绿素a浓度、Argo温盐剖面和遥感数据,探讨了台风"风泵"和黑潮共同作用下真光层内浮游植物的变化特征及其成因。结果表明,2015年台风"莲花"过境1周后产生向吕宋海峡西北侧南海海域(A区)入侵的黑潮流套,该入侵的黑潮流套使台风前原有的气旋涡消失,抑制了台风产生的上升流对表层(0～40 m)营养盐供给,使次表层(60～90 m)营养盐富集,进而抑制了表层的叶绿素a增长,促进了次表层叶绿素a的增长;吕宋海峡西侧南海海域(B区)表层的浮游植物叶绿素a浓度增加不仅是源于叶绿素最大层浮游植物的向上输运,更是由于浮游植物的繁殖增长;A区台风引起的流套式的黑潮入侵,促进了B区台风后气旋式流场的形成,产生的持续增强的气旋涡为B区表层叶绿素持续增长提供了充足的营养盐供给。     

欠驱动AUV水平面动力定位控制方法研究

以欠驱动自主水下机器人(Autonomous Underwater Vehicle,AUV)为试验平台,提出了一种水平面动力定位控制方法.根据自研AUV平台的运动执行机构配置,针对其欠驱动特性设计运动控制器,控制纵向推力与转艏力矩,经过路径跟踪与区域镇定两个阶段,使航行器先沿预设路径快速接近目标点,再低速逐渐调整水平位...     

水下航行体双空泡相互作用数值模拟研究

高速水下航行体头肩部和表面突起等位置很容易产生空泡,不失一般性,将表面突起结构简化为一定高度的台阶.针对简化的航行体模型,基于数值模拟方法研究了头肩部空泡与台阶处空泡、头肩部空泡与尾空泡2种类型的双空泡相互作用问题.不同的来流攻角下,头肩部空泡与台阶处空泡的作用过程存在区别,可以分为大攻角和小攻角2种类型.当尾空泡内有...     

A hybrid ensemble method for improved prediction of slope stability

Accurate prediction of slope stability is a significant issue in geomechanics with many artificial intelligence (AI) techniques being utilised. However, the application of AI has not reached its full potential because of the lack of more robust algorithms. In this paper, we proposed a hybrid ensemble method for the improved prediction of slope stability using classifier ensembles and genetic algorithm. Gaussian process classification, quadratic discriminant analysis, support vector machine, artificial neural networks, adaptive boosted decision trees, and k‐nearest neighbours were chosen to be individual AI techniques, and the weighted majority voting was used as the combination method. Validation method was chosen to be the 10‐fold cross‐validation, and performance measures were selected to be the accuracy, the receiver operating characteristic curve, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Grid search and genetic algorithm were used for the hyperparameter tuning and weight tuning respectively. The results show that the proposed hybrid ensemble method has great potential in improving the prediction of slope stability. Compared with individual classifiers, the optimum ensemble classifier achieved the highest AUC value (0.943) and the highest accuracy (0.902) on the testing set, denoting that the predictive performance has been improved. The optimum ensemble classifier with the Youden's cut‐off was recommended for slope stability prediction with respect to the AUC value, the accuracy, the true positive rate, and the true negative rate. This research indicates that the use of the classifier ensembles, rather than the search for the ideal individual classifiers, might help for the slope stability prediction.     

The effect of density-driven flow on the transport of high-concentration solutes in the hyporheic zone

In this study, both laboratory experiments and numerical simulations were conducted to investigate the effect of density-driven flow on the transport of high-concentration pollutants in the hyporheic zone. The results show that the density gradient can change the flow of pore water and the strong density-driven flow can lead to an unstable flow, which increases the effect of preferential flow and thus causes the appearance of solute fingers in the hyporheic zone. Notably, these solute fingers become more obvious with the increase of depth. The appearance of solute fingers depends on the relative strength of the pumping exchange and density gradient, which are represented by the dimensionless number M* and N* respectively. Finger flows appear near the interface when M^* is less than 0.5 N^*. This study may contribute to better understanding the transport and destination of solutes and thus may provide some insights into the assessment on pollution incidents.     

简单随机模式进一步分析(Ⅰ)——非线性外通函数项处理

本文利用等效线性化法和Fokker-planck方程,对一个简单的非线性随机模式非线性项在不同气候时期的参数化进行了讨论,得到了冰期、间冰期和现代气候的概率分布密度及输出响应特征。     

景泰地震前后兰州台的中期形变异常

给出了兰州台浮子水管倾斜仪和石英伸缩仪１９８７～１９９３年间Ｍ２波潮汐因子的年度调和分析结果，然后对各分量月均值进行了残差分析，并绘出去除长期项后的倾斜矢量图，据此探讨了景泰地震的中期前兆异常和震后效应特征。     

一种新的射电源表综合方法

本文提出利用正交完备函数系拟合射电源表的局部系统差，并通过选择初始星表确定综合射电源表系统的轴方向，在综合计算时以射电源表包含的所有源坐标决定其轴方向．整个综合过程概念清晰，计算量较小．检验结果表明，用新方法得到的综合射电源表可靠性与稳定性都很好．     

Flare morphologies and coronal field configurations

Chromospheric flares are the footpoints of closed coronal field lines. In this paper we present different flare morphologies from observations and examine the implied coronal field configurations above the flaring region. Flares are grouped according to the number of ribbons, from unresolved compact point-like flare to four-ribbon flares. Quiet region flares having characteristics all their own are also presented here.We find that compact, unresolved point-like flares have two distinct footpoints when viewed in offband H. The footpoints of some of the compact flares also show increased separation as a function of time.Unlike large two-ribbon flares, the ribbons of many small and/or short-lived two-ribbon flares usually have no measurable separation of ribbons.Multiple-ribbon (three or more ribbon) flares consist of two or more pairs of two-ribbons, or two or more sets of field lines. Parity of the ribbons in multiple-ribbon flares, or the lack of it, depends on the magnetic makeup of the locale of the ribbons.Flares in old quiet regions resulting from sudden filament eruptions show discrete small patches of emissions reflecting the spottiness of decayed and dispersed field of quiet region.