Analysis of elastic anisotropy of tight sandstone and the influential factors

Tight sandstone has a certain anisotropy. Using ultrasonic measurements of samples in three different directions and related matched experiments, this study systematically analyzes the pore structure and anisotropy of tight sandstone samples obtained from oil fields and compares results with those of shale. Results firstly show that the anisotropy of tight sandstone is mainly related to the compositional layering and thin interbedding which occur in different sedimentary environments. Tight sandstone has typical transverse isotropic medium characteristics, Young’s modulus increases in different directions with increasing confining pressure, Poisson’s ratio change is not obvious, anisotropic coefficients decrease with increasing effective pressure, and a certain linear relationship exists between ε, γ, and δ. This article finally summarizes anisotropy in different areas, thereby providing a foundation for the use of suitable appraisal models in different regions. This research can be used as an experimental reference for logging evaluation, seismic data interpretation, and fracturing develop of tight sandstones.     

国家级数值预报产品分发系统

随着９２１０工程系统建设的完成，Ｔ１０６中期数值预报产品分发采用了地面通信系统和卫星通信系统两种传输路径。地面通信系统由于受传输能力限制，国家气象中心根据区域、省，地市级的不同接收能力，采取了３种不同的传输方式以满足各级气象台站的需求；     

莆田文旦柚气候品质认证

为了提升莆田市文旦柚的品牌效应和市场竞争力,利用文旦柚种植区历年区域自动站气象观测资料及果实品质检测数据,通过分析影响文旦柚品质的关键气象因子和主要气象灾害,构建文旦柚气候品质评估指标,采用专家打分法和层次分析法,确定气候适宜性因子和致灾因子的权重,建立文旦柚气候品质评估模型,计算气候品质指数并进行量化等级划分,开展文...     

RegCM-Dust模式对东亚一次沙尘暴天气过程模拟的效果检验

为检验区域气候模式与沙尘模式耦合模式RegCM Dust的性能,以2006年东亚地区一次沙尘暴过程为例,将模拟结果与观测资料进行对比,以检验模式对沙尘天气过程的模拟能力。结果表明：模式对沙尘暴过程的地面风场特征模拟效果较好,总体上重现了大风区的分布;地面沙尘浓度和沙尘光学厚度模拟结果与观测分布总体吻合。模式虽然是区域气候模式与沙尘模式耦合模式,但由于其内核是建立在中尺度数值模式MM4基础上,因此对天气过程尤其是沙尘天气过程具备较好的把握能力,对于沙尘天气过程预测具有良好的应用前景。     

基于自动机器学习的机场温度预报方法研究

利用2015年1月—2021年3月ECMWF细网格数值预报产品构建训练样本,使用自动机器学习方法构建乌鲁木齐机场温度预测模型.结果表明:(1)ECMWF模式直接输出的乌鲁木齐机场温度平均绝对误差为1.7℃,基于自动机器学习方法的Auto-sklearn模型和Auto-Keras模型能够改善模式直接输出的误差,使平均绝对...     

Impacts of increased variability in precipitation and air temperature on net primary productivity of the Tibetan Plateau: a modeling analysis

We analyzed interannual variability (IAV) of precipitation and air temperature over a 40-year period (1969–2008) for 11 sites along a precipitation gradient on the Tibetan Plateau. The observed IAV for both precipitation and air temperature decreases with increasing mean annual precipitation. Using Biome-BGC, a process-based ecosystem model, we simulated net primary production (NPP) along this gradient and find that the IAV of NPP is positively correlated to the IAV of precipitation and temperature. Following projected climate change scenarios for the Tibetan Plateau, our simulations suggest that with increasing IAV of precipitation and temperature, the IAV of NPP will also increase and that climate thresholds exist that, if surpassed, lead to ecosystem die-off. The impacts of these changes on ecosystem processes and climate-vegetation feedbacks on the rapidly warming Tibetan Plateau are potentially quite significant.     

香河地区亚微米气溶胶粒子尺度谱分布特征

为了解香河地区气溶胶尺度谱的基本特征,自2012年5月起,利用扫描电迁移率粒径谱仪(SMPS)对河北香河地区的亚微米(13.8~723.4 nm)气溶胶尺度谱分布进行了近2 a的测量。基于该数据集,分析了气溶胶尺度谱的季节变化和日变化特征及气象要素对气溶胶浓度的影响。结果发现,观测期间埃根核模态(20.0~100.0 nm)、积聚模态(100.0~723.4 nm),以及总的气溶胶数浓度、表面积浓度和体积浓度均值分别为7.0×103cm~(-3)、7.5×103cm~(-3)、14.9×103cm~(-3)、1125μm2·cm~(-3)和50μm~3·cm~(-3)。香河地区积聚模态的粒子数浓度接近华北地区其他污染测站的结果,但高于发达国家的测值。冬季气溶胶的平均浓度最高(18.1×10~3cm~(-3)),而春季最低(12.3×10~3cm~(-3))。不同季节,气溶胶的数谱分布主要为单峰分布,平均峰值直径约为105 nm。气溶胶浓度的日变化受机动车排放的影响显著,存在早晚两个高值中心,分别出现在早上的06:00—09:00和晚上的19:00—21:00。风速、风向对气溶胶数浓度的影响较大,低风速(2 m/s)和南风条件,尤其是吹西南风时,气溶胶浓度的增加显著。