白令海峡治理的合作机制研究

近年来随着北极冰盖的融化,北极通航已成为可能,而白令海峡作为北极航道重要的出口/入口,其战略地位也将逐步显现并被各国关注。在讨论白令海峡的治理与合作时,首先要明确白令海峡是用于国际航行的海峡,而作为海峡沿岸国的美国和俄罗斯对于白令海峡的管控与合作将成为影响未来北极航行的重要因素。为同时保障海峡沿岸国与使用国的利益,可借鉴马六甲海峡的治理经验,在现有治理机制的基础上进一步深化海峡沿岸国与海峡使用国的合作机制。中国作为海峡使用国也有必要积极参与白令海峡的合作治理。     

基于贝叶斯层次时空模型的甘肃省土地利用程度演变分析

以甘肃省为例,在基于Google Earth Engine (GEE)平台实现1995年、2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年土地变化监测的基础上,利用贝叶斯层次时空模型(BHM)分析土地利用程度的时空变化特征。结果表明：① 研究期间内甘肃省土地利用程度呈增长趋势,其中1995―2000年和2010―2015年增长速度较明显;② 土地利用程度空间格局“东高西低”,热点区域主要分布在陇中、陇东和陇南地区;③ 土地利用程度局部变化呈现明显区域差异,整体表现为“东弱西强”,局部变化热点区域主要分布在河西地区;④ 影响土地利用程度变化的主要因素是经济规模和产业结构,其中经济因素影响程度最高。     

叶面积指数的快速测定方法——植被定量遥感的地面标定技术

本文论述了用“底视法”测量叶面积指数的基本原理,并在中国科学院禹城综合试验站遥感试验场以“冠层分析仪”对该方法进行了试验,提出了刺柏针叶叶面积指数的新估算方法。通过计算证明,测定值和估算值具有较好的一致性。这种以“底视法”为基础的冠层分析仪可以用于植被定量遥感的快速地面定标。     

论地球数据科学与共享

地球科学大数据的到来,迫切需要通过地球数据科学系统对地学数据机理、采集处理、存储管理,特别是集成共享与挖掘分析等进行研究,以便通过大数据资源,发现和揭示数据背后隐含的地学规律和知识,促进地学科技创新。本文首先分析了地球数据科学的内涵特征,提出了地球数据科学的基础理论方法和技术体系。然后基于国家地球系统科学数据共享实践,重点研究了大数据时代下,面向地球数据科学的地学数据共享新发展。     

临沂市地质灾害预警预报与指挥系统的设计与实现

本文结合国内外有关地质灾害预警预报的相关理论研究,论述了临沂市地质灾害预警预报与指挥系统的总体框架和功能设计,介绍了本系统的预警预报、应急指挥、态势标绘等功能。系统旨在逐步提高临沂市的地质灾害预警预报技术水平,为各级政府制定国民发展计划和城镇规划提供重要的科学依据,为减灾防灾提供技术支撑。     

Simulating urban land-use change based on the multi-hierarchal planning–environment interaction process

Urban land-use change is the result of coupling interaction between planning and environment systems. The aim of our study was to construct an effective model to show how the urban land-use changes under the planning–environment interaction system with multi-hierarchy and major function oriented zoning. Combining the Cellular automata (CA) model with logistic regression model, the proposed multi-hierarchal vector CA model (MH-VCA3) was constructed by mining multi-hierarchal land-use transition rules under the planning–environment interaction system. Taking Jiangyin City (China) as an example, we compared the simulated result of the proposed model to those of the well-accepted Logistic CA and traditional multi-level CA models to demonstrate the effectiveness of the consideration of top-down decomposition constraint and bottom-up updating. Furthermore, by simulating the land-use changes under different population regionalization scenarios, we found that in order to form the spatial pattern of “agglomeration in the north and ecology in the south,” the planned population growth at the global hierarchal level should be allocated to the district units according to the law of Central district > Chengxi district > Chengdong district > Chengnan district > Chengdongnan district. The proposed model is expected to provide scientific support for the formulation of urban planning schemes in the future.     

Virtual geographic environment-based integrated rockfall risk simulation method for canyon bridges

Bridges located in mountainous areas are vulnerable to rockfall accidents, posing a threat to bridge engineering construction and operation safety in these regions. Under the coupling effect of complex environments and engineering disturbances, integrated rockfall risk simulation has become increasingly important for canyon bridge structural protection in long-term construction and operation phases. One of the main scientific challenges in rockfall risk simulation is studying the interaction between rockfalls and the topography and engineering environments during consecutive contacts. To systematically simulate the integrated bridge rockfall risk, an integrated construction of multivariable elements coupled with rockfall risk environments and scenarios is required. In this article, we proposed a VGE-based integrated rockfall scenario simulation method that uses the “associated representation—integrated modelling—interactional simulation” core strategy. Our method constructs a virtual rockfall risk environment by fusing multisource data to represent rockfall factors that induce rockfall disasters, hazard-forming environments, and elements at risk. We design rockfall scenarios under different bridge engineering construction conditions and extreme environmental conditions to analyze the interactional rockfall risks. The results demonstrate that our method enables a systematic analysis of the potential integrated rockfall risk, providing realistic reference value for the timely and effective disposal of emergencies, and reducing the harm and losses caused by such emergencies.     

国土资源部门户网站全球地质矿产信息发布平台设计与开发

为满足社会公众深度获取地质矿产信息服务的需求,基于国土资源门户信息服务平台开展了全球地质矿产信息系统的建设实践和应用研究工作,实现了对全球地质矿产图文数据、关系数据、GIS地理信息数据、统计分析图表数据等多类型信息内容的统一管理、集成和发布,提升国土资源信息化服务水平。本文从建设思路、总体架构和功能设计等方面详细阐述了系统的开发和建设情况。     

Mapping and monitoring carbon stocks with satellite observations: a comparison of methods

Mapping and monitoring carbon stocks in forested regions of the world, particularly the tropics, has attracted a great deal of attention in recent years as deforestation and forest degradation account for up to 30% of anthropogenic carbon emissions, and are now included in climate change negotiations. We review the potential for satellites to measure carbon stocks, specifically aboveground biomass (AGB), and provide an overview of a range of approaches that have been developed and used to map AGB across a diverse set of conditions and geographic areas. We provide a summary of types of remote sensing measurements relevant to mapping AGB, and assess the relative merits and limitations of each. We then provide an overview of traditional techniques of mapping AGB based on ascribing field measurements to vegetation or land cover type classes, and describe the merits and limitations of those relative to recent data mining algorithms used in the context of an approach based on direct utilization of remote sensing measurements, whether optical or lidar reflectance, or radar backscatter. We conclude that while satellite remote sensing has often been discounted as inadequate for the task, attempts to map AGB without satellite imagery are insufficient. Moreover, the direct remote sensing approach provided more coherent maps of AGB relative to traditional approaches. We demonstrate this with a case study focused on continental Africa and discuss the work in the context of reducing uncertainty for carbon monitoring and markets.     

Determining the size of spatial clusters in focused tests: Comparing two methods by means of simulation in a GIS

 Based on a four-point evaluation system consisting of accuracy, consistency, power, and chance to commit type I errors, this study compares Tango's minimum p (MinP) and Stone's maximum relative risk (MaxRR) methods for detecting focused cluster size through simulations in GIS. It reveals that the MinP method is more effective than the MaxRR method. The MinP method exhibits higher levels of accuracy and consistency; and its power and chance to commit type I errors are similar to the MinP method. The MaxRR method has a tendency to underestimate the cluster size, while the MinP method tends to overestimate the cluster size, particularly when the clusters are relatively big and have high relative risk levels. In addition, the MinP method seems to be most effective in revealing the size of clusters when clusters are neither too strong nor too weak. The lowest detection rates for clustering occur when the clustering signal is relatively weak, which is easily understandable. In practice, it might be useful to use both the methods to estimate a range of possible cluster sizes, where the MaxRR method indicates the lower estimate, while the MinP method gives the higher estimate of the cluster size. Received: 24 August 2002 / Accepted: 20 December 2002