军队参与国际重大自然灾害救援行动工作机制建设的思考

向遭受严重自然灾害的国家或地区提供人道主义紧急支援,是各国军队在和平时期的重要使命。目前中国军队还没有成建制地出国参加过重大自然灾害的国际救援。本文介绍了联合国重大自然灾害国际救援行动协调工作机制、联合国框架下的军队资源参与灾害救援的工作机制。结合印尼地震海啸、海地地震等灾害中各国军队救援的情况,对我国军队将来参与国际重大自然灾害救援,在法律、预案和工作机制准备方面进行了分析,并提出了建议。     

松辽盆地营城组火山岩储层成因及储集性能演化过程

在岩心观察基础上,通过应用全岩主量元素分析、显微镜下常规与铸体薄片观察鉴定和定量统计、图像孔喉分析、物性测试、X-射线衍射分析、包裹体荧光分析、均一温度与激光拉曼探针成分分析等多种手段,研究了松辽盆地营城组火山岩岩性和火山岩储层成因; 结合成岩作用与储集空间特征研究,分析了火山岩储层孔隙演化过程。结果表明,火山岩经历了冷却成岩作用、岩浆期后热液作用、风化淋滤剥蚀作用以及埋藏成岩作用等4个成岩作用阶段。火山岩储层的形成、孔隙演化和储集性能的改善主要与火山岩在浅埋A期后期—深埋成岩B期成岩过程中的断裂、不整合面及构造裂缝的发育以及热液流体沿断层、不整合面和构造裂缝流动的过程中对火山岩产生溶蚀作用密切相关,营城组火山岩属于构造—岩性火山岩气藏。     

浅析黄土滑塌与黄土滑坡

结合工程实例,分析了中国西北黄土高原地区两种地质灾害类型—黄土滑塌与黄士滑坡的地质特征以及二者之间的本质区别,并着重阐述了黄土滑塌灾害的研究要点.     

Discussion on the Abnormally Low Active Fault Slip Rate of the M_S 8. 0 Wenchuan Earthquake

Based on the collection of active fault slip rate data of large intra-continental shallow thrust earthquakes occurring in the triangular seismic region of the East Asia continent,a preliminary analysis has been performed with results showing that the Wenchuan,Sichuan, China earthquake ( MS = 8. 0) of May 12,2008 occurred on the Longmenshan Mountain active fault with an abnormally low slip rate.     

基于灰色关联法的县域台风灾情评估方法初探

利用2000—2016年的县域台风灾害历史灾情数据,选取受灾人数、死亡人数、倒损房屋数、农作物受灾面积和直接经济损失为评估指标,在对各项指标进行分级的基础上,通过灰色关联分析法建立了以县域为单位的台风灾害综合灾损指标,对所选取市县的台风灾害损失情况进行了分级评估分析。结果表明,所选取的指标能够快速实现不同台风灾害、不同市县间的台风灾害严重程度的对比分析,具有实际应用价值。灾害等级分布结果显示,东南沿海市县为台风灾害多发区,浙江省、广东省和福建省的各市县为严重灾害（特大型、大型灾害）的易发区;8月、9月为严重灾害的多发时间。以不同登陆地点、不同影响范围的1210号“达维”台风和1513号“苏迪罗”台风为例,对灾情评估的合理性进行了验证。     

推求无资料地区设计洪水的一种方法

在地貌单位线、菲利浦下渗公式和暴雨特征频率分布的基础上,引用产流开始时刻和净雨量的概念,推求不同净雨情况下不产流暴雨事件的概率,从而求得洪峰流量小于和等于给定Q_p值的理论频率分布及其相应的重现期。在贵州和山西应用结果表明,该方法更适用于半干旱地区。由模型验证实例分析了这种理论洪水频率分布模型的应用前景。     

Urban three-dimensional expansion and its driving forces —A case study of Shanghai, China

Urban expansion is a phenomenon of urban space increase, and an important measuring index of the process of urbanization. Taking Shanghai as an example, the changes of urban average height and built-up area were studied to represent city’s vertical and horizontal increases respectively, and statistical methods were used to analyze the driving forces of urban expansion. The research drew following conclusions: 1) The urban expansion process of Shanghai from 1985 to 2006 had a clear periodic feature, and could be divided into three stages: vertical expansion in dominance, coordinated vertical and horizontal expansion, and horizontal expansion in dominance. 2) The average height and quantity of buildings in core city were significantly bigger than those in suburbs, but the changing speed of the latter was faster. And 3) urbanization process was the major driving force for the city’s horizontal expansion, while industrial structure improvement was the key driving factor for the vertical expansion. Those two driving forces were simultaneously affected by city’s political factors.     

塔里木盆地古近纪岩相古地理

古近纪是塔里木盆地由海向陆转化的时期。当时该区的海侵来自研究区西侧的古地中海分支,物源则主要是盆地北部的南天山以及南部的昆仑山,沉积中心在库车坳陷西部以及塔西南坳陷带的西部。古新世-始新世早期（库姆格列木群沉积期）在盆地北部库车坳陷发育砾岩、砂岩、碳酸盐岩及膏盐岩,沉积环境有滨岸、漏湖、潮坪及扇三角洲等,塔西南坳陷以碳酸盐岩和膏岩为特征,从东到西发育开阔台地、近岸局限台地、蒸发盐台地、辫状河三角洲环境等,二者之间即在塔北隆起及北部坳陷带位置为宽阔的古隆起区。始新世晚期-渐新世（苏维依组沉积期）整个盆地以滨浅湖为主,发育粉砂岩与泥岩互层沉积,塔西南坳陷虽然仍发育多个海相层,但海水的影响明显比始新世早期弱,当时主要古地理单元有海湾渴湖、滨浅湖、扇三角洲和辫状河三角洲。总体上,塔里木盆地在古近纪经历了早期以扇三角洲为主的浅水环境到晚期的滨浅湖及海湾溻湖环境,古近纪研究区的古气候以热带-亚热带的干旱气候为主。     

塔里木河流域冰川洪水对气候变暖的响应

In past 50 years, the air temperature fluctuation was raising trend in Tarim River Basin. The annual mean temperature has increased by 0.3℃ in the whole Tarim River Basin, and by 0.6℃ in the mountain areas. With global warming, the frequency of unstable and extreme climatic events increased, glaciers retreating accelerated and snow meltwater increased have resulted in the more frequency of snow-ice disasters such as glacier debrisflow and glacier flash flood etc. Since 1980s, in the process of intense climate warming, glaciers melting intensified, ice temperature rose and glaciers flows accelerated, and lead to more glacial lakes and extending water storage capacity and stronger glacial lake outburst floods occurrence. It is proposed that the monitoring and evaluating of the impact of climate change on water resources and floods should be enhanced.     

Simulation of spatially correlated earthquake ground motions for engineering purposes

A new model to simulate spatially correlated earthquake ground motions is developed. In the model, the main factors that characterize three distinct effects of spatial variability, namely, the incoherency effect, the wave-passage effect and the site-response effect, are taken into account, and corresponding terms/parameters are incorporated into the well known model of uniform ground motions. Some of these terms/parameters can be determined by the root operation, and others can be calculated directly. The proposed model is fi rst verif ied theoretically, and examples of ground motion simulations are provided as a further illustration. It is proven that the ensemble expected value and the ensemble auto-/cross-spectral density functions of the simulated ground motions are identical to the target spectral density functions. The proposed model can also be used to simulate other correlated stochastic processes, such as wave and wind loads.