塔北沙西—轮台地区亚格列木组砂岩沉积相及储层评价

沙雅西—轮台地区卡普沙良群亚格列木组为一套棕红色陆相碎屑岩沉积,包括冲积扇、辫状河、三角洲、辫状河三角洲和砾质滨岸等沉积体系,多呈扇形。岩性较粗,通常具有较高的原始孔隙度,是有利的油气储集体,按储层的好坏可分为4类储层区。     

基于系留气艇平台的红外辐射传输算法实验验证

中国科学院大气物理研究所中层大气和全球环境探测重点实验室 (LAGEO) 建立了以系留气艇为平台的综合探测系统。通过气艇在大气边界层上升、下降过程获得不同高度的气象参数和同时的辐射参数。以气象参数为输入,应用辐射传输模式 (MODTRAN4.0) 获得模式辐射输出,将其与实测辐射值作对比,验证MODTRAN4.0模式的准确性,为有关目标识别与遥感提供基础。2006年8月在中国科学院大气物理研究所香河综合观测站利用系留气艇平台进行了验证实验,并对热红外波段的模式对比结果进行分析。结果表明:所建实验系统具备进行模式验证的能力,在热红外波段,MODTRAN4.0模式输出结果与实测辐射亮度之间的相对误差的均方差在边界层大气条件下小于3%。     

基于TOPSIS的GNSS数据质量评估方法研究

在当前数据质量评估指标（多路径效应、数据完整率、周跳以及信噪比等）基础上增加数据有效率指标,首次提出利用多指标综合评价方法对全球iGMAS、MGEX、IGS等观测站的GPS数据进行数据质量分析,建立了TOPSIS综合评价模型,并将该模型综合评价结果与各指标进行Pearson相关分析,综合评价结果与数据完整率和数据有效率指标呈强相关;并采用静态PPP结果与该综合评价结果进行相关分析,亦呈显著相关。     

基于GNSS的中国大陆地区COSMIC-2 PWV精度分析

COSMIC-2可提供连续大气数据源用于改进天气预报,有助于对极端天气进行监测预警。将中国大陆地区按照气候类型划分成5个区域,依托CMONOC站点PWV序列,开展COSMIC-2 PWV在中国大陆地区的精度分析。从站间距离和高程2个角度进行COSMIC-2掩星点与GNSS站点PWV匹配方案设计,分别针对中国大陆地区、不同气候类型和部分代表站点开展COSMIC-2精度评定。研究表明,高原山地、温带大陆、温带季风、亚热带季风和热带季风气候类型的RMSE分别为1.40 mm、1.49 mm、2.68 mm、3.11 mm和3.16 mm;内陆地区精度优于沿海地区。     

局地化方法在集合转换卡尔曼滤波同化的适用性研究

为了探索协方差局地化（Covariance Localization,CL）方法在集合转换卡尔曼滤波（Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter,     

鄂尔多斯盆地彭阳地区侏罗系延安组油气成藏主控因素分析

分析了鄂尔多斯盆地彭阳地区侏罗系延安组油藏成藏特征,并探讨了烃源岩、沉积、储层、构造等成藏主控因素,为寻找该区油气勘探有利区提供参考。结果表明:彭阳地区侏罗系延安组油藏类型为岩性圈闭和构造圈闭,岩性圈闭油藏主要受沉积因素控制,构造圈闭油藏主要受断层圈闭和构造因素控制;延安组烃源岩主要为炭质泥岩及暗色泥岩,有机质丰度较高,侏罗系成藏具有良好的油源条件;侏罗系延9、延8及延7沉积期间发育的三角洲平原分流河道砂体是重要的储集层,河流边滩微相砂体及河道心滩砂体是最有利的储集砂体;侏罗系延安组储层物性越好,含油性越好;侏罗系延安组构造复杂多样,断层和穹窿及小型鼻状隆起等微构造十分发育。综合分析认为,主砂体与有利构造叠合部位形成的构造圈闭和岩性圈闭是最有利的油气聚集区;侏罗系石油勘探重点应在穹窿、鼻隆等构造高点部位与主河道叠合区。     

8.4 ka以来纳木错湖芯介形类组合的环境变化意义

对青藏高原中南部纳木错长332cm的NMLC1孔湖芯研究发现,沉积物的介形类动物群计有6属15种。介形类属种生态特征和组合变化分析表明这些介形类对环境条件具有敏感性,其组合能够很好地反映过去环境变化的特征。结果表明,8．4ka以来具有三个不同的环境变化时期：早期在8400～6800aBP,湖泊由浅向深发展,环境具有相对冷湿的特征：中期在6800～2500aBP,湖泊深度逐渐加大,环境经历了暖湿-冷湿-冷干的变化．其中由冷湿向冷干的转化奠定了纳木错现今环境条件的基础：晚期在2500--9aBP,湖泊深度继续增加,这个时期的较早阶段,继续保持了前一时期的冷干特点,但湖水盐度可能开始增加．较晚阶段的冷干化加剧,陆面流水的活跃性大大降低。研究发现,纳木错NMLC1钻孔介形类黑色壳体的高峰值与介形类的最大生产量相一致,并且与沉积水动力条件增强相适应．指示了这些黑壳的产生与介形类的大量繁殖处于同一阶段．并且主要为异地搬运为主。钻孔中出现大量Candona幼虫壳体．其原因可能与沉积环境的水动力条件迅速改变有关。     

A numerical method of viscoelastic finite element coupled with spring-block model to simulate the interaction of faults and crustal blocks

A numerical method of viscoelastic finite element coupled with spring-block model is developed to study temporal processes from the slow tectonic motion of large-scale crust to the rapid failure of small-scale faults. Our modeling demonstrates that the motion of crustal blocks is driven by forces from tectonic plate boundaries, and the deformation is distributed on faults for the stress accumulating. The coupling model generates earthquake sequences that display a magnitude-frequency scaling consistent with Gutenberg-Richter law. The frictional heterogeneities affeci earthquakes occurrence and stresses distribution of crustal blocks. Rupture of earthquakes starts at the nucleation node, and propagates bilaterally along faults with the stress triggering, release and redistribution. The failure of faults releases part of crustal stresses, the stress state of crustal blocks near fault is affected by the rupture of local segments on the fault, and the stress state of crustal blocks far away from the fault is controlled by the seismic activity of the whole fault.     

Snow water equivalent over Eurasia in the next 50 years projected by aggregated CMIP3 models

Based on remote sensing snow water equivalent (SWE) data, the simulated SWE in 20C3M experiments from 14 models attending the third phase of the Coupled Models for Inter-comparison Project (CMIP3) was first evaluated by computing the different percentage, spatial correlation coefficient, and standard deviation of biases during 1979–2000. Then, the diagnosed ten models that performed better simulation in Eurasian SWE were aggregated by arithmetic mean to project the changes of Eurasian SWE in 2002–2060. Results show that SWE will decrease significantly for Eurasia as a whole in the next 50 years. Spatially, significant decreasing trends dominate Eurasia except for significant increase in the northeastern part. Seasonally, decreasing proportion will be greatest in summer indicating that snow cover in warmer seasons is more sensitive to climate warming. However, absolute decreasing trends are not the greatest in winter, but in spring. This is caused by the greater magnitude of negative trends, but smaller positive trends in spring than in winter. The changing characteristics of increasing in eastern Eurasia and decreasing in western Eurasia and over the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau favor the viewpoint that there will be more rainfall in North China and less in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in summer. Additionally, the decreasing rate and extent with significant decreasing trends under SRES A2 are greater than those under SRES B1, indicating that the emission of greenhouse gases (GHG) will speed up the decreasing rate of snow cover both temporally and spatially. It is crucial to control the discharge of GHG emissions for mitigating the disappearance of snow cover over Eurasia.     

Carbon and oxygen isotope chemostratigraphies of the Yangtze platform,South China: Decoding temperature and environmental changes through the Ediacaran

Multicellular animals first appeared on the earth during the Ediacaran period. However, the relationship between the abrupt biological evolution and environmental changes is still ambiguous. In order to examine seawater temperature and the carbon cycle through the Ediacaran, we analyzed the carbon and oxygen isotope compositions of carbonate rocks from drill cores from the Three Gorges area, South China. Importantly, the core samples include the Nantuo tillite, corresponding to the Marinoan glaciation, through the Doushantuo to the lower Dengying Fms. in ascending order.The δ¹³C profile displays five positive and five negative anomalies (PI-1 to 5 and NI-1 to 5), and the oxygen isotopes display very high absolute values around 0‰ with the highest at + 1.83‰. The combined δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C chemostratigraphies display both positive and negative correlations between the δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C values. The occurrence of the negative correlations supports the preservation of primary δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C values.The sample NI-4 has a negative correlation of the δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C excursions. The correlation supports a primary signature for both δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C variations. The positive δ¹⁸O excursion, accompanied by evidence of a eustatic sea-level fall, provides direct evidence for global cooling in the mid-Ediacaran; the 580 Ma Gaskiers Glaciation is a potential candidate for this global cooling event. The negative δ¹³C excursion was possibly caused by an increase in remineralization of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) due to enhanced continental weathering during the glaciation.Sample NI-5 is characterized by very low δ¹³C values, down to ? 10‰, corresponding to the Shuram-Wonoka-Pertatataka Excursion. The cause of the δ¹³C negative excursion is still not clear. However, a ubiquitous occurrence in excursions worldwide, and the lower δ¹³C values in deeper sections favor the enhancement of remineralization and respiration rather than secondary alteration, a restricted sea environment and lithification in coastal areas.