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991.
Size segregated sampling of aerosol particles at the coal-fired power station Šoštanj, Slovenia was performed by a newly developed
system. In addition, simultaneous sampling of particles was performed at two locations, Velenje and Veliki vrh, chosen on
the basis of long term monitoring of SO2 in the influential area of power plant. The signature of the power plant (e.g. characteristic size distributions of some
typical trace elements) was identified. For elements, like As, Mo, Cd and Ga, which are typical for coal combustion, the highest
concentrations were observed in the size range between 1 and 4 μm. For Se and sometimes for Ga two modes were identified,
first between 0.1 and 0.5 μm and second between 1 and 4 μm. Ratios between the average concentrations of selected elements
in fine and coarse particles collected at Veliki vrh (the most influenced location) and Velenje (usually not influenced by
the thermo power station) were significantly higher than 1 in the case of Mo and Se for coarse and fine size range, while
for As the ratio was higher than 1 for the coarse fraction. Consequently, Mo, Se and As were found as the most important tracers
for the emissions from the investigated source. On the basis of the ratios between the concentrations of elements measured
in particles at low and high SO2 concentrations at Veliki vrh, Cd was shown to be a typical tracer as well. Our results definitely showed that size segregated
measurements of particles at the source and in the influenced area give more precise information on the influence of source
to the surrounding region. It was found that patterns of size distributions for typical trace elements observed at the source
are found also in the influenced area, i.e. Veliki vrh. 相似文献
992.
A theoretical requirement of the Interaction by Exchange with the Conditional Mean (IECM) micromixing model is that the mean concentration field produced by it must be consistent with the mean concentration field produced by a traditional Lagrangian stochastic (LS) marked particle model. We examine the violation of this requirement that occurs in a coupled LS–IECM model when unrealistically high particle velocities occur. No successful strategy was found to mitigate the effects of these rogue trajectories. It is our hope that this work will provide renewed impetus for investigation into rogue trajectories and methods to eliminate them from LS models. 相似文献
993.
Rajani Nair Asha A. Juwarkar Tushar Wanjari S. K. Singh T. Chakrabarti 《Climatic change》2011,106(4):609-619
The micrometeorological technique of eddy covariance is a powerful tool for characterizing the carbon (C) budget of terrestrial
ecosystems. Eddy covariance method was used for estimating Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE) of carbon dioxide between atmosphere
and revegetated manganese mine spoil dump at Gumgaon, India. In this paper, we analyzed the diel CO2 flux pattern and its response to various physical environmental conditions. The carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems
is particularly sensitive to climatic changes. Study of diel pattern of CO2 flux showed that carbon uptake was dependent on sunlight. Effect of temperature and latent heat on the CO2 flux showed that rate of CO2 uptake increased proportionally, but later declined due to various factors like stomatal response, high evaporative demand,
circadian rhythm and/or a combination of all three. Net ecosystem production of revegetated land was found to be 28.196 KgC/ha/day
whereas average net carbon release by the ecosystem, through respiration was observed to be 5.433 KgC/ha/day. Thus, quantifying
net carbon (C) storage in degraded land is a necessary step in the validation of carbon sequestration estimates and in assessing
the possible role of these ecosystems in offsetting adverse impacts of fossil fuel emissions. 相似文献
994.
Impact of Cloud Microphysical Processes on the Simulation of Typhoon Rananim near Shore. Part II: Typhoon Intensity and Track 下载免费PDF全文
The impact of cloud microphysical processes on the simulated intensity and track of Typhoon Rananim is discussed and analyzed
in the second part of this study. The results indicate that when the cooling effect due to evaporation of rain water is excluded,
the simulated 36-h maximum surface wind speed of Typhoon Rananim is about 7 m s−1 greater than that from all other experiments; however, the typhoon landfall location has the biggest bias of about 150 km
against the control experiment. The simulated strong outer rainbands and the vertical shear of the environmental flow are
unfavorable for the deepening and maintenance of the typhoon and result in its intensity loss near the landfall. It is the
cloud microphysical processes that strengthen and create the outer spiral rainbands, which then increase the local convergence
away from the typhoon center and prevent more moisture and energy transport to the inner core of the typhoon. The developed
outer rainbands are supposed to bring dry and cold air mass from the middle troposphere to the planetary boundary layer (PBL).
The other branch of the cold airflow comes from the evaporation of rain water itself in the PBL while the droplets are falling.
Thus, the cut-off of the warm and moist air to the inner core and the invasion of cold and dry air to the eyewall region are
expected to bring about the intensity reduction of the modeled typhoon. Therefore, the deepening and maintenance of Typhoon
Rananim during its landing are better simulated through the reduction of these two kinds of model errors. 相似文献
995.
LANG Xianmei 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2011,25(5):682-690
In this paper, seasonal prediction of spring dust weather frequency (DWF) in Beijing during 1982-2008 has been performed. First, correlation analyses are conducted to identify antecedent climate signals during last winter that are statistically significantly related to spring DWF in Beijing. Then, a seasonal prediction model of spring DWF in Beijing is established through multivariate linear regression analysis, in which the systematic error between the result of original prediction model and the observation, averaged over the last 10 years, is corrected. In addition, it is found that climate signals occurring synchronously with spring dust weather, particularly meridional wind at 850 hPa over western Mongolian Plateau, are also linked closely to spring DWF in Beijing. As such, statistical and dynamic prediction approaches should be combined to include these synchronous predictors into the prediction model in the real-time operational prediction, so as to further improve the prediction accuracy of spring DWF in Beijing, even over North China. However, realizing such a prediction idea in practice depends essentially on the ability of climate models in predicting key climate signals associated with spring DWF in Beijing. 相似文献
996.
997.
Adaptation of California’s electricity sector to climate change 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1
Edward Vine 《Climatic change》2012,111(1):75-99
Climate change is likely to pose considerable new challenges to California’s electricity sector. This paper primarily focuses
on the adaptation challenges of an important component of the energy arena: electricity demand in the residential and commercial
sectors and electricity supply. The primary challenge to California’s electricity sector will likely be the increase in demand
for air conditioning as a result of rising temperatures. In addition, renewable energy sources, which are an increasing share
of the electricity portfolio, are particularly vulnerable to climate change. Many of the key players have been actively considering
the implications of climate change. Because electricity generation accounts for nearly 30% of greenhouse gas emissions, this
sector has been a target of the state’s efforts to reduce emissions. Fortunately, many of the same tools can simultaneously
improve the sector’s resilience to a changing climate. Demand management strategies and supply diversification are both important
strategies. Local governments can play a central role in encouraging the adoption of more energy efficient building codes
and the use of more renewable sources, such as solar energy. The positive steps taken by many local governments are encouraging.
Steps to increase public awareness are an important, often missing component, however. Increases in research, development,
and demonstration to improve system resiliency and develop new energy conservation tools are also needed. 相似文献
998.
Climate change might lead to large shifts in tourist flows, with large economic implications. This article simulates the effect
of future climate change by the 2080s on outdoor international tourism expenditure within Europe. The assessment is based
on the statistical relationship between bed nights and a climate-related index of human comfort, after accounting for other
determinants of bed nights such as income and prices. It is concluded that climate change could have significant impacts on
the regional distribution of the physical resources supporting tourism in Europe. For example, in summer, Southern Europe
could experience climate conditions that are less favourable to tourism than the current climate, while countries in the North
could enjoy better conditions. The economic effects of these changes are likely to be sizeable, albeit difficult to assess.
Crucially, they are shown to depend on tourists’ temporal flexibility with respect to holiday planning. The greater the prominence
of institutional rigidities such as school holidays, the larger the differences between winning and losing regions in terms
of economic impact. 相似文献
999.
This paper scopes a number of the health impacts of climate change in Europe (EU-27) quantitatively, using physical and monetary
metrics. Temperature-related mortality effects, salmonellosis and coastal flooding-induced mental health impacts resulting
from climate change are isolated from the effects of socio-economic change for the 2011–2040 and 2071–2100 time periods. The
temperature-induced mortality effects of climate change include both positive and negative effects, for winter (cold) and
summer (heat) effects, respectively, and have welfare costs (and benefits) of up to 100 billion Euro annually by the later
time-period, though these are unevenly distributed across countries. The role of uncertainty in quantifying these effects
is explored through sensitivity analysis on key parameters. This investigates climate model output, climate scenario, impact
function, the existence and extent of acclimatisation, and the choice of physical and monetary metrics. While all of these
lead to major differences in reported results, acclimatisation is particularly important in determining the size of the health
impacts, and could influence the scale and form of public adaptation at the EU and national level. The welfare costs for salmonellosis
from climate change are estimated at potentially several hundred million Euro annually by the period 2071–2100. Finally, a
scoping assessment of the health costs of climate change from coastal flooding, focusing on mental health problems such as
depression, are estimated at up to 1.5 billion Euro annually by the period 2071–2100. 相似文献
1000.
This paper identifies a critical systematic error in greenhouse gas accounting in renewable biomass systems. While CO2 emissions from renewable biomass energy systems are generally considered to have a net impact of 0, no similar adjustment
is made for carbon-based products of incomplete combustion, such as methane, in renewable systems. This results in an under-
or overestimation of the impact of CH4 by 12.3% and CO by ∼478% in renewable systems. This error is propagated both in scientific studies and in carbon accounting
policies. We advocate first for full-carbon accounting of biomass-derived emissions, but also provide adjusted global warming
impacts for emissions from proven renewable systems. 相似文献