256层多排螺旋CT小肠成像(MDCTE)对小肠疾病的诊断价值

目的:探讨256层多排螺旋CT小肠造影(MDCTE)扫描技术在小肠疾病诊断中的临床应用价值。材料和方法:对118例临床怀疑小肠疾病患者,男53例,女65例,平均年龄48.5岁。行256-MDCTE平扫及增强扫描,通过横断面及多平面重建,观察病变部位、大小、形态、周围侵犯及转移情况,结果与最终临床诊断对照分析。结果:本组118例患者中,56例MDCTE诊断为小肠病变,并与最终临床诊断相符。另外62例MDCTE诊断为阴性,其中47例符合,9例漏诊,6例误诊。并且通过统计分析得出MDCTE对小肠疾病诊断的灵敏度为78.87%(56/71),特异度为100%(47/47),正确率为87.29%((56+47)/118),阳性预测值为100%(56/56),阴性预测值为75.80%(47/62)。结论:小肠肿瘤、炎症、肠梗阻等病变在MDCTE上具有特征性的表现,MDCTE对小肠疾病的临床诊治具有重要价值。     

我国标贯液化判别方法对黄土适用性研究

鉴于我国20世纪50年代以来,地震液化现场很少有黄土液化的实例,而饱和黄土甚至高含水率的黄土也具有很高的液化势和流态破坏势.为工程设计准确预测饱和黄土在设计地震动的作用下是否会液化,本文用Seed-Idriss简化判别法对兰州某民用机场的饱和黄土和砂土进行液化判别,并以此结果为依据检验规范判别式对黄土液化判别的适用性.结论证实用Seed-Idriss简化判别法结果检验规范方法对黄土的适用性是可行的,规范方法对于黄土液化判别过于保守.     

Investigating the uncertainty and transferability of parameters in SWAT model under climate change

ABSTRACT

There is an implicit assumption in most work that the parameters calibrated based on observations remain valid for future climatic conditions. However, this might not be true due to parameter instability. This paper investigates the uncertainty and transferability of parameters in a hydrological model under climate change. Parameter transferability is investigated with three parameter sets identified for different climatic conditions, which are: wet, intermediate and dry. A parameter set based on the baseline period (1961–1990) is also investigated for comparison. For uncertainty analysis, a k-simulation set approach is proposed instead of employing the traditional optimization method which uses a single best-fit parameter set. The results show that the parameter set from the wet sub-period performs the best when transferred into wet climate condition, while the parameter set from the baseline period is the most appropriate when transferred into dry climate condition. The largest uncertainty of simulated daily high flows for 2011–2040 is from the parameter set trained in the dry sub-period, while that of simulated daily medium and low flows lies in the parameter set from the intermediate calibration sub-period. For annual changes in the future period, the uncertainty with the parameter set from the intermediate sub-period is the largest, followed by the wet sub-period and dry sub-period. Compared with high and medium flows/runoffs, the uncertainty of low flows/runoffs is much smaller for both simulated daily flows and annual runoffs. For seasonal runoffs, the largest uncertainty is from the intermediate sub-period, while the smallest is from the dry sub-period. Apart from that, the largest uncertainty can be observed for spring runoffs and the lowest one for autumn runoffs. Compared with the traditional optimization method, the k-simulation set approach shows many more advantages, particularly being able to provide uncertainty information to decision support for watershed management under climate change.

EDITOR Z.W. Kundzewicz ASSOCIATE EDITOR not assigned     

基于SuperMap GIS的道路网络特征分析

道路网络特征分析是进行交通网络分析的基础,本文基于SuperMap GIS分析了道路网络特征,其中包括网络统计特征、网络中心性等网络特征,并以北京市道路网络数据为例进行了实验分析,实验结果表明SuperMapGIS是研究道路网络特征分析的重要计算平台。     

用卫星工具软件包进行北斗单天线姿态仿真测量

从载体姿态测量的实际需要和多天线姿态测量的局限性出发,分析了单天线测姿的应用价值和基本原理,从我国的具体国情出发,提出了基于北斗系统的单天线测姿算法。利用卫星工具软件包仿真的北斗系统星座,以民航飞机为载体,基于MATLAB平台进行了仿真实验,仿真结果分析表明,基于北斗系统的单天线测姿方法在适用条件和测姿准确性等方面效果理想,在一定精度要求下满足应用需要,对建立实用可靠的单天线测姿具有积极的推动作用。     

测量标志管理信息系统的设计与实现

本文在分析测量标志管理信息系统设计目标的基础上,提出了以ArcGIS Server为开发平台并采用Brow-ser/Server架构构建系统的设计方案,论文详细介绍了系统建设的功能设计、数据库设计和系统实现的技术创新点,基于此方案设计的管理系统进一步规范了测量标志信息的普查工作,提高了测量标志管理的工作效率,实现了测量标志信息管理数字化的需求。     

Observational Subseasonal Variability of the PM2.5 Concentration in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Area during the January 2021 Sudden Stratospheric Warming

It is still not well understood if subseasonal variability of the local PM_2.5 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region is affected by the stratospheric state. Using PM_2.5 observations and the ERA5 reanalysis, the evolution of the air quality in BTH during the January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) is explored. The subseasonal variability of the PM_2.5 concentration after the SSW onset is evidently enhanced. Stratospheric circumpolar easterly anomalies lasted for 53 days during the January–February 2021 SSW with two evident stratospheric pulses arriving at the ground. During the tropospheric wave weakening period and the intermittent period of dormant stratospheric pulses, the East Asian winter monsoon weakened, anomalous temperature inversion developed in the lower troposphere, anomalous surface southerlies prevailed, atmospheric moisture increased, and the boundary layer top height lowered, all of which favor the accumulation of pollutant particulates, leading to two periods of pollution processes in the BTH region. In the phase of strengthened East Asian winter monsoon around the very beginning of the SSW and another two periods when stratospheric pulses had reached the near surface, opposite-signed circulation patterns and meteorological conditions were observed, which helped to dilute and diffuse air pollutants in the BTH region. As a result, the air quality was excellent during the two periods when the stratospheric pulse had reached the near surface. The increased subseasonal variation of the regional pollutant particulates after the SSW onset highlights the important role of the stratosphere in the regional environment and provides implications for the environmental prediction.     

电法在秦岭钼多金属矿区找盲应用

本文以电法在秦岭某钼多金属矿区寻找深部盲矿的应用为例,介绍了电法勘查方法应用效果,说明物探资料在地球物理前提条件具备时,可以为矿区设计和开发生产过程提供重要的信息和依据,在相似地区深部找矿和寻找盲矿体具有一定借鉴意义。     

依托科技创新 实现找矿突破

安徽矿产资源自然秉赋良好,已发现矿种138种,资源潜在总值居全国第十位。建国以来,安徽地质科技不断创新,找矿成果不断扩大,奠定了我省矿产资源大省地位。随着工业强省战略的深入实施,为缓解矿产资源瓶颈制约,必须进一步加大科技创新力度,加强基础地质研究、加强重点区带地球动力学与成矿预测研究、加强深部探测技术方法研究、加强资源高效利用和循环利用技术研究、加强地质科技创新机制研究,多找矿、找好矿、找大矿,真正实现地质找矿新的突破。