In this paper, we first discuss the controversial result of the work by Cabanes et al. (Science 294:840–842, 2001), who suggested that the rate of past century sea level rise may have been overestimated, considering the limited and heterogeneous
location of historical tide gauges and the high regional variability of thermal expansion which was supposed to dominate the
observed sea level. If correct, this conclusion would have solved the problem raised by the IPCC third assessment report [Church
et al, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 881, 2001], namely, the factor two difference between the 20th century observed sea level rise and the computed climatic contributions.
However, recent investigations based on new ocean temperature data sets indicate that thermal expansion only explains part
(about 0.4 mm/year) of the 1.8 mm/year observed sea level rise of the past few decades. In fact, the Cabanes et al.’s conclusion
was incorrect due to a contamination of abnormally high ocean temperature data in the Gulf Stream area that led to an overestimate
of thermal expansion in this region. In this paper, we also estimate thermal expansion over the last decade (1993–2003), using
a new ocean temperature and salinity database. We compare our result with three other estimates, two being based on global
gridded data sets, and one based on an approach similar to that developed here. It is found that the mean rate of thermosteric
sea level rise over the past decade is 1.5±0.3 mm/year, i.e. 50% of the observed 3 mm/year by satellite altimetry. For both
time spans, past few decades and last decade, a contribution of 1.4 mm/year is not explained by thermal expansion, thus needs
to be of water mass origin. Direct estimates of land ice melt for the recent years account for about 1 mm/year sea level rise.
Thus, at least for the last decade, we have moved closer to explaining the observed rate of sea level rise than the IPCC third
assessment report. 相似文献
An ESR experimental study of artificial optical bleaching of sedimentary quartz has shown that the aluminum center was maximally bleached after a 6-month illumination equivalent to natural light. This duration seems too long to apply in natural conditions. Nevertheless, the measurement of the ESR intensity of aluminum centers in quartz extracted from modern sediments and deposited in sandy bars shows that the maximum bleaching has effectively been reached.
In order to determine the relationship between the bleaching and the distance covered by a quartz grain in a river, samples were collected along the Creuse River (France) from its spring to about 170 km downstream, where maximum bleaching levels were observed in previous studies. The ESR intensities of the aluminum and titanium centers in quartz were measured, using X-band spectroscopy, before and after artificial bleaching. The difference measured between these sub-samples shows that the maximum bleaching level is obtained in the course of the first kilometer. Hence, the assumption that ESR dating of fluvial sediment is based on the optical bleaching was validated. 相似文献
Geomagnetic activity affects aeromagnetic surveys. Geomagnetic variations are quite complex and can be quantified in different
ways. A measure of geomagnetic activity that is useful for planning aeromagnetic surveys is the Pc3 pulsation index developed
by the Australian Space Weather Agency. Purposeful to developing guidelines for planning aeromagnetic surveys in Canada, we
study the variations in Pc3 index amplitude over Canada in 2000. This study shows distinct patterns associated with the sub-auroral
zone, the auroral zone, and the polar cap. Average Pc3 index activity is higher during the months of February, July, September,
and November in the auroral and sub-auroral zones. The station in the polar cap exhibits maximum activity near midday during
the summer months. Detailed analysis of a magnetic storm shows that Pc3 index amplitude during the beginning of the solar
storm is least important at the polar cap. The mean Pc3 index also relates to solar wind parameters such as the solar wind
velocity and the vertical polarity of the interplanetary magnetic field. Analysis of the morning maximum of the Pc3 index
observed in the auroral zone can be used to develop guidelines for planning aeromagnetic surveys in Canada and other areas
of the world affected by auroral zones. 相似文献
A clear model of structures and associated stress fields of a volcano can provide a framework in which to study and monitor
activity. We propose a volcano-tectonic model for the dynamics of the summit of Piton de la Fournaise (La Reunion Island,
Indian Ocean). The summit contains two main pit crater structures (Dolomieu and Bory), two active rift zones, and a slumping
eastern sector, all of which contribute to the actual fracture system. Dolomieu has developed over 100 years by sudden large
collapse events and subsequent smaller drops that include terrace formation. Small intra-pit collapse scars and eruptive fissures
are located along the southern floor of Dolomieu. The western pit wall of Dolomieu has a superficial inward dipping normal
fault boundary connected to a deeper ring fault system. Outside Dolomieu, an oval extension zone containing sub-parallel pit-related
fractures extends to a maximum distance of 225 m from the pit. At the summit the main trend for eruptive fissures is N80°,
normal to the north–south rift zone. The terraced structure of Dolomieu has been reproduced by analogue models with a roof
to width ratio of approximately 1, suggesting an original magma chamber depth of about 1 km. Such a chamber may continue to
act as a storage location today. The east flank has a convex–concave profile and is bounded by strike-slip fractures that
define a gravity slump. This zone is bound to the north by strike-slip fractures that may delineate a shear zone. The southern
reciprocal shear zone is probably marked by an alignment of large scoria cones and is hidden by recent aa lavas. The slump
head intersects Dolomieu pit and may slide on a hydrothermally altered layer known to be located at a depth of around 300 m.
Our model has the summit activity controlled by the pit crater collapse structure, not the rifts. The rifts become important
on the mid-flanks of the cone, away from pit-related fractures. On the east flank the superficial structures are controlled
by the slump. We suggest that during pit subsidence intra-pit eruptions may occur. During tumescence, however, the pit system
may become blocked and a flank eruption is more likely. Intrusions along the rift may cause deformation that subsequently
increases the slump’s potential to deform. Conversely, slumping may influence the east flank stress distribution and locally
control intrusion direction. These predictions can be tested with monitoring data to validate the model and, eventually, improve
monitoring. 相似文献
We question the correlation between vertical velocity (w) on the one hand and the occurrence of convective plumes in lidar reflectivity (i.e. range corrected backscatter signal Pz2) and depolarization ratio (Δ) on the other hand in the convective boundary layer (CBL). Thermal vertical motion is directly
investigated using vertical velocities measured by a ground-based Doppler lidar operating at 2 μm. This lidar provides also
simultaneous measurements of lidar reflectivity. In addition, a second lidar 200 m away provides reflectivities at 0.53 and
1 μm and depolarization ratio at 0.53 μm. The time series from the two lidars are analyzed in terms of linear correlation
coefficient (ρ). The main result is that the plume-like structures provided by lidar reflectivity within the CBL as well as the CBL height
are not a clear signature of updrafts. It is shown that the lidar reflectivity within the CBL is frequently anti-correlated
(ρ (w, Pz2 )) with the vertical velocity. On the contrary, the correlation coefficient between the depolarization ratio and the vertical
velocity ρ (w, Δ ) is always positive, showing that the depolarization ratio is a fair tracer of updrafts. The importance of relative humidity
on the correlation coefficient is discussed.
An erratum to this article can be found at 相似文献
The deep drill hole SG6 in western Siberia (66°N, 78.5°E) penetrated 1.1 km of lower Triassic basalts, which are possibly an extension of the central Siberian Permo– Triassic flood basalt province. About 300 samples of these basalts were progressively demagnetized and measured. Principal component analysis often shows multiple magnetizations carried by haematite and magnetite. The corrected mean inclinations are +77° and −77° for the haematite component. A magnetostratigraphic scale was derived and showed a N–R–N–R–N succession. This is quite different from the Noril'sk and Taimyr typical polarity scale, R–N. The basalts found in the SG6 deep drill hole are slightly younger than those of central Siberia and Taimyr. They correspond to middle–upper Induan age, whereas the Noril'sk and Taimyr sections correspond to an uppermost Permian and lower Induan age. Altogether they indicate that, after a high output rate of volcanic material near the Permo–Triassic boundary, this activity slowed down drastically on the Siberian platform and Taimyr, but persisted for several million years in western Siberia. 相似文献
The model for baroclinic solitary waves previously described by Flierl is developed to include effects of bottom variations.Topographic disturbances are shown to act, through their first and second derivatives, on both the phase speed correction and the maximum horizontal amplitude.The combined effects of mean shear flow steepening and bottom variations are considered; an equation is derived, showing the relative importance of each effect. 相似文献
An air-water system coupled by heat and stress is modelled by two interacting fluid loops. When heated from above and cooled from below the system can become unstable and self-sustained oscillations develop, whereas a single fluid system is stable in the same situation. The oscillations are explained by thermal lag between the loops. The water loop oscillates stably under its restoring buoyancy torque but the coresponding air oscillations, generated by heat conduction from the water loop, lag by roughly half a period, and the air stress therefore acts to amplify rather than damp oscillations in the water loop. 相似文献
Two oligochaete communities were sampled monthly during one year in two 35 m deep locations of Lake Geneva (Switzerland).
Organic sedimentation was lower and less variable in station 1 than in station 2 (157 versus 214 g C m−2yr−1). The oligochaete community in station 1 was more diverse and more stable (persistent over time) than in station 2, as long
as the organic sedimentation was low. Diversity and stability decreased in station 1 when the organic sedimentation increased,
and during anOscillatoria bloom. The less diverse community in station 2 was more resistent to these changes. Diversity was associated with environmental
stability, but resistance to perturbation was greater in the simpler community which is adapted to changing environmental
conditions. The value of oligochaete communities as an indicator of the level of eutrophication was reassessed according to
our present data. Changes in the structure of oligochaete communities were related to changes in sedimentation processes. 相似文献