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51.
Lee Hannah Marc Steele Emily Fung Pablo Imbach Lorriane Flint Alan Flint 《Climatic change》2017,140(1):63-77
Improved cookstoves have been identified in Mexico as a key opportunity to advance sustainable local development priorities in disadvantaged regions while mitigating climate change. This paper reviews the Patsari Cookstove Project initiated in 2003 by an NGO, Interdisciplinary Group on Appropriate Rural Technology (GIRA). The project applied an interdisciplinary and participative user-centered approach to disseminate improved cookstoves in rural Mexico, with a special focus on indigenous and poor rural communities. To date, GIRA and the Patsari Network have disseminated thousands of stoves using a “training to trainers” model. Benefits from the project include tangible improvements in users’ health, as well as savings in time and money expended on fuelwood procurement and use. The project has also documented substantive environmental benefits from significant mitigation of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated with traditional open fires. To sustain scaling up efforts over the long-term, two networks have been created: The Patsari Network, which includes several organizations promoting Patsari stoves for household users, and the Tsiri Network, which supports local food security and the empowerment of indigenous women through the promotion of institutional cookstoves. Through appropriately designed and implemented local interventions, the project demonstrates that the goals of advancing sustainable local development in rural areas and climate change mitigation may not be contradictory, and may in fact reinforce one another. 相似文献
52.
André Lyra Pablo Imbach Daniel Rodriguez Sin Chan Chou Selena Georgiou Lucas Garofolo 《Climatic change》2017,141(1):93-105
Tropical rainforest plays an important role in the global carbon cycle, accounting for a large part of global net primary productivity and contributing to CO2 sequestration. The objective of this work is to simulate potential changes in the rainforest biome in Central America subject to anthropogenic climate change under two emissions scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The use of a dynamic vegetation model and climate change scenarios is an approach to investigate, assess or anticipate how biomes respond to climate change. In this work, the Inland dynamic vegetation model was driven by the Eta regional climate model simulations. These simulations accept boundary conditions from HadGEM2-ES runs in the two emissions scenarios. The possible consequences of regional climate change on vegetation properties, such as biomass, net primary production and changes in forest extent and distribution, were investigated. The Inland model projections show reductions in tropical forest cover in both scenarios. The reduction of tropical forest cover is greater in RCP8.5. The Inland model projects biomass increases where tropical forest remains due to the CO2 fertilization effect. The future distribution of predominant vegetation shows that some areas of tropical rainforest in Central America are replaced by savannah and grassland in RCP4.5. Inland projections under both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 show a net primary productivity reduction trend due to significant tropical forest reduction, temperature increase, precipitation reduction and dry spell increments, despite the biomass increases in some areas of Costa Rica and Panama. This study may provide guidance to adaptation studies of climate change impacts on the tropical rainforests in Central America. 相似文献
53.
A semi-numeric method was used to study the evolution of a general-relativistic radiating shell in its Post-Newtonian and
Newtonian approximations. The solutions, where the main parameters are given reasonable values, show that a relativistic effect
can be found in X-ray-burster-like objects.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
54.
Hazardous processes and events from glacier and permafrost areas: lessons from the Chilean and Argentinean Andes 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1 下载免费PDF全文
Glacier and permafrost hazards such as glacial‐lake outburst floods and rock–ice avalanches cause significant socio‐economic damages worldwide, and these processes may increase in frequency and magnitude if the atmospheric temperature rises. In the extratropical Andes nearly 200 human deaths were linked to these processes during the twentieth century. We analysed bibliographical sources and satellite images to document the glacier and permafrost dynamics that have caused socio‐economic damages in this region in historic time (including glacial lake outburst floods, ice and rock–ice avalanches and lahars) to unravel their causes and geomorphological impacts. In the extratropical Andes, at least 15 ice‐dammed lakes and 16 moraine‐dammed lakes have failed since the eighteenth century, causing dozens of floods. Some floods rank amongst the largest events ever recorded (5000 × 106 m3 and 229 × 106 m3, respectively). Outburst flood frequency has increased in the last three decades, partially as a consequence of long‐term (decades to centuries) climatic changes, glaciers shrinkage, and lake growth. Short‐term (days to weeks) meteorological conditions (i.e. intense and/or prolonged rainfall and high temperature that increased meltwater production) have also triggered outburst floods and mass movements. Enormous mass failures of glaciers and permafrost (> 10 × 106 m3) have impacted lakes, glaciers, and snow‐covered valleys, initiating chain reactions that have ultimately resulted in lake tsunamis and far‐reaching (> 50 km) flows. The eruption of ice‐covered volcanoes has also caused dozens of damaging lahars with volumes up to 45 × 106 m3. Despite the importance of these events, basic information about their occurrence (e.g. date, causes, and geomorphological impact), which is well established in other mountain ranges, is absent in the extratropical Andes. A better knowledge of the processes involved can help to forecast and mitigate these events. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
55.
Among marine debris, monofilament fishing lines often result in negative impacts on marine organisms. We characterized marine debris and incidence of lost and discarded monofilament lines along beaches used by recreational fishers, and report the impact of lines on Kelp Gulls (Larus dominicanus) at the Bahía San Blas protected area, site of one of the main shore-based recreational fisheries of the southwestern Atlantic. Over 55% of the marine debris recorded originated from recreational fishing activities. Balls of tangled monofilament lines were found at a rate of 40.5 items per km. A total of 27 adult Kelp Gulls were found entangled with monofilament. All individuals were tangled to vegetation within colony boundaries. Four of the gulls had a monofilament line protruding from the bill, showing that they may be also killed when trying to obtain bait. Our results indicate that lost or discarded monofilament lines in the Bahía San Blas recreational fishing area result in undesired impacts on coastal wildlife. 相似文献
56.
57.
Pichel WG Veenstra TS Churnside JH Arabini E Friedman KS Foley DG Brainard RE Kiefer D Ogle S Clemente-Colón P Li X 《Marine pollution bulletin》2012,65(1-3):28-41
Marine debris, particularly debris that is composed of lost or abandoned fishing gear, is recognized as a serious threat to marine life, vessels, and coral reefs. The goal of the GhostNet project is the detection of derelict nets at sea through the use of weather and ocean models, drifting buoys and satellite imagery to locate convergent areas where nets are likely to collect, followed by airborne surveys with trained observers and remote sensing instruments to spot individual derelict nets. These components of GhostNet were first tested together in the field during a 14-day marine debris survey of the Gulf of Alaska in July and August 2003. Model, buoy, and satellite data were used in flight planning. A manned aircraft survey with visible and IR cameras and a LIDAR instrument located debris in the targeted locations, including 102 individual pieces of debris of anthropogenic or terrestrial origin. 相似文献
58.
New classes of spectral densities for lattice processes and random fields built from simple univariate margins 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Emilio Porcu Jorge Mateu Pablo Gregori Martin Ostoja-Starzewski 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2012,26(4):479-490
Quasi arithmetic and Archimedean functionals are used to build new classes of spectral densities for processes defined on
any d-dimensional lattice
\mathbbZd{\mathbb{Z}^d} and random fields defined on the d-dimensional Euclidean space
\mathbbRd{\mathbb{R}^d}, given simple margins. We discuss the mathematical features of the proposed constructions, and show rigorously as well as
through examples, that these new classes of spectra generalize celebrated classes introduced in the literature. Additionally,
we obtain permissible spectral densities as linear combinations of quasi arithmetic or Archimedean functionals, whose associated
correlation functions may attain negative values or oscillate between positive and negative ones. We finally show that these
new classes of spectral densities can be used for nonseparable processes that are not necessarily diagonally symmetric. 相似文献
59.
Cyclogenesis and long-fetched winds along the southeastern coast of South America may lead to floods in populated areas, as the Buenos Aires Province, with important economic and social impacts. A numerical model (SMARA) has already been implemented in the region to forecast storm surges. The propagation time of the surge in such extensive and shallow area allows the detection of anomalies based on observations from several hours up to the order of a day prior to the event. Here, we investigate the impact and potential benefit of storm surge level data assimilation into the SMARA model, with the objective of improving the forecast. In the experiments, the surface wind stress from an ensemble prediction system drives a storm surge model ensemble, based on the operational 2-D depth-averaged SMARA model. A 4-D Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (4D-LETKF) initializes the ensemble in a 6-h cycle, assimilating the very few tide gauge observations available along the northern coast and satellite altimeter data. The sparse coverage of the altimeters is a challenge to data assimilation; however, the 4D-LETKF evolving covariance of the ensemble perturbations provides realistic cross-track analysis increments. Improvements on the forecast ensemble mean show the potential of an effective use of the sparse satellite altimeter and tidal gauges observations in the data assimilation prototype. Furthermore, the effects of the localization scale and of the observational errors of coastal altimetry and tidal gauges in the data assimilation approach are assessed. 相似文献
60.
Pablo Huq 《Estuaries and Coasts》2009,32(4):709-719
This investigation examines the influence of the Kelvin number (K) and fractional depth (h/D) on bulge formation from buoyant outflows from an estuary or strait perpendicular to the coastline. Here K = W/R is the ratio of the width (W) at the mouth of the estuary to the deformation radius (R), and h and D are the buoyant layer and ambient ocean depths, respectively. Measurements of velocity and lateral shear (≈ relative vorticity
ζ) at the baymouth are reported for experiments on a flat-bottomed rotating turntable. The form of the velocity profile across
the mouth depends on the value of K. The buoyant outflow flows across the entire width of the estuary for narrow estuaries (i.e., K ≤ 1). In contrast, for wide estuaries (K > 2), dense oceanic water inflows on the left and the buoyant waters outflow on the right (looking seaward). Velocity profiles
of the inflowing oceanic waters are laterally uniform with velocities (V/C ≈ −0.4), whereas velocity profiles of the outflowing buoyant waters are laterally sheared with peak velocities of V/C ≈ 1.0 at the right hand exit. The flow pathways when bulges form comprises an anticyclonic turn offshore of the mouth and
a downshelf propagating coastal current. Anticyclonic bulges form for surface-advected outflows h/D < 0.25. Anticyclonic bulges do not form for sufficiently large magnitudes of non-dimensional relative vorticity ζ/f (>0.4), and an additional flow pathway is that buoyant waters recirculate back cyclonically into the estuary at the left-hand
(upshelf) side of the estuary. The offshore extent of buoyant waters associated with this cyclonic recirculation can be as
large as 7R. 相似文献