A legal regime for the Arctic?: Interplay with the Law of the Sea Convention

The Law of the Sea Convention constrains regional environmental regimes, especially with respect to navigation beyond the territorial sea. Existing soft-law institutions, notably the Arctic Council, have already strengthened environmental governance in the region by (1) improving the knowledge base; (2) preparing practical guidance on risk reduction; (3) highlighting in broader regulatory fora the Arctic dimension of problems like long-range transported hazardous compounds; and (4) supporting the capacity of Arctic states to implement existing commitments. None of those functions would be much enhanced by a legally binding Arctic environmental regime. The political impediments to reaching circumpolar agreement on a single comprehensive legal regime would suggest a flexible approach to norm building that seeks productive interplay with existing institutions.     

Modeling river dune development and dune transition to upper stage plane bed

Large asymmetric bedforms known as dunes commonly dominate the bed of sand rivers. Due to the turbulence generation over their stoss and lee sides, dunes are of central importance in predicting hydraulic roughness and water levels. During floods in steep alluvial rivers, dunes are observed to grow rapidly as flow strength increases, undergoing an unstable transition regime, after which they are washed out in what is called upper stage plane bed. This transition of dunes to upper stage plane bed is associated with high transport of bed sediment in suspension and large decrease in bedform roughness. In the present study, we aim to improve the prediction of dune development and dune transition to upper stage plane bed by introducing the transport of suspended sediment in an existing dune evolution model. In addition, flume experiments are carried out to investigate dune development under bed load and suspended load dominated transport regimes, and to get insight in the time scales related to the transition of dunes to upper stage plane bed. Simulations with the extended model including the transport of suspended sediment show significant improvement in the prediction of equilibrium dune parameters (e.g. dune height, dune length, dune steepness, dune migration rate, dune lee side slope) both under bed load dominant and suspended load dominant transport regimes. The chosen modeling approach also allows us to model the transition of dunes to upper stage plane bed which was not possible with the original dune evolution model. The extended model predicts change in the dune shapes as was observed in the flume experiments with decreasing dune heights and dune lee slopes. Furthermore, the time scale of dune transition to upper stage plane bed was quite well predicted by the extended model. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Nonlinear solver for three-phase transport problems based on approximate trust regions

Implicit transport solvers used in reservoir simulation can take longer time steps than explicit solvers, but for long time steps, the commonly used Newton-Raphson’s method will often fail to converge. The convergence issues may manifest themselves as oscillating residuals even though the implicit discretization itself is stable. This behavior occurs because the fractional flow-type flux functions often change between convex and concave during long time steps, resulting in multiple contraction regions for the Newton-Raphson solver. The common strategy to overcome this is to set limits on the saturation changes during the nonlinear iteration, but such a limit has to be determined on a case by case basis, excess iterations may be required, and practical convergence is not guaranteed for a given problem. Previous work on this problem by multiple authors has resulted in solvers based on trust regions, where unconditional convergence can be obtained for incompressible two-phase flow provided a priori analytical knowledge of the flux function exists. The goal of our work is to extend this methodology to a solver where inflection points demarking the different contraction regions do not need to be explicitly known. Instead, these values are estimated during the solution process, giving improved convergence by a local computation for each interface in the simulation model. By systematically reducing updates over regions known to produce convergence issues, it is possible to greatly reduce the computational expense, making the same formulation suitable for an arbitrary number of components. We present a series of numerical results, including arbitrary time-step lengths for two and three-phase gravity segregation, as well as three-dimensional gas and water injection problems with wells and a mixture of both viscous and gravity-dominated flow regimes. The test cases are a systematic validation on a wide variety of both analytical and tabulated relative permeability curves.     

Structural geology of the Huldra Field, northern North Sea—a major tilted fault block at the eastern edge of the Horda Platform

The Huldra fault block is a rotated major fault block on the east margin of the Viking Graben in the northern North Sea. Unlike the rest of the Horda Platform area, the Jurassic section in the Huldra fault block was rotated more than 20° during slip on the listric Huldra fault, which forms a low-angle detachment beneath the Huldra fault block. The fault block is interpreted as resulting from marginal collapse of the Horda Platform after relief along the eastern margin of the Viking Graben built up in early parts of the middle to late Jurassic rifting history. The collapse resulted in NW directed transport of the Huldra fault block, consistent with a previously postulated change in extension direction from W–E to NW–SE toward the end of the Jurassic period. Minor faults within the Hulrda fault block are consistent with E–W extension and thus may have formed early during the late Jurassic rifting phase. Nevertheless, the crest (Huldra Field) seems surprisingly intact, considering its proximity to a major fault zone. Deformation bands studied from core material are non-cataclastic and concentrated in zones. Evidence for smearing along a cored fault surface indicates that minor subseismic faults may be sealing. Production data from the field indicate good communication between most wells, suggesting that the subseismic faults and deformation band zones that are present in the reservoir have relatively small influence on the flow of gas in the reservoir.     

Relict Shorelines and Ice Flow Patterns of the Northern Puget Lowland From Lidar Data and Digital Terrain Modelling

Airborne lidar data from the northern Puget Lowland provide information on the spatial variability and amplitude of raised postglacial shorelines, marine deltaic features and glaciomarine sediments deposited between approximately c. 12 920 and 11 050 ¹⁴C yr BP (15 960‐12 364 cal yr BP). Relict shorelines preserved in embayments on Whidbey and Camano islands (between 47°54′N and 48°24′N) are found up to an altitude of c. 90 m and record glacio‐isostatic movements attributed to postglacial rebound. The tilt of the regional minimum highstand sea level surface to the north of 0.80 m km^?1, with local variability from 0.25 m km^?1 to 0.77 m km^?1, is consistent with previous studies (Thorson 1989; Dethier et al. 1995). The local variability is related to the uncertainty in the depth of the water column above these features at the time of deposition and probable tectonic deformation. The information generated by these lidar data is most valuable in posing new research questions, generating alternative research hypotheses to those already formulated in the northern Puget Lowland.     

On the prograde rotation of asteriods

Sets of diameter determinations before and after opposition for the asteriods Ceres, Pallas, Vesta, and Fortuna have been studied statistically for indications of spin direction. All four asteriods are tentatively found to have prograde spin. For Ceres, that conclusion is virtually certain.     

Search for correlation between asteroid families and classes

A correlation between membership in a dynamically defined asteroid family and membership in a given asteroid spectral class is sought. Examination of 10 families each with five or more classified members indicates a correlation for the 4 families whose existence is best established, and no correlation for the remaining 6 families. This conclusion supports the break-up hypothesis for the origin of some families, while not contradicting that hypothesis for any family.