Recent Rapid Regional Climate Warming on the Antarctic Peninsula

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) confirmed that mean global warming was 0.6 ± 0.2 °C during the 20th century and cited anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gases as the likely cause of temperature rise in the last 50 years. But this mean value conceals the substantial complexity of observed climate change, which is seasonally- and diurnally-biased, decadally-variable and geographically patchy. In particular, over the last 50 years three high-latitude areas have undergone recent rapid regional (RRR) warming, which was substantially more rapid than the global mean. However, each RRR warming occupies a different climatic regime and may have an entirely different underlying cause. We discuss the significance of RRR warming in one area, the Antarctic Peninsula. Here warming was much more rapid than in the rest of Antarctica where it was not significantly different to the global mean. We highlight climate proxies that appear to show that RRR warming on the Antarctic Peninsula is unprecedented over the last two millennia, and so unlikely to be a natural mode of variability. So while the station records do not indicate a ubiquitous polar amplification of global warming, the RRR warming on the Antarctic Peninsula might be a regional amplification of such warming. This, however, remains unproven since we cannot yet be sure what mechanism leads to such an amplification. We discuss several possible candidate mechanisms: changing oceanographic or changing atmospheric circulation, or a regional air-sea-ice feedback amplifying greenhouse warming. We can show that atmospheric warming and reduction in sea-ice duration coincide in a small area on the west of the Antarctic Peninsula, but here we cannot yet distinguish cause and effect. Thus for the present we cannot determine which process is the probable cause of RRR warming on the Antarctic Peninsula and until the mechanism initiating and sustaining the RRR warming is understood, and is convincingly reproduced in climate models, we lack a sound basis for predicting climate change in this region over the coming century.     

The numerical simulation of thesource development of the Tangshan earthquake

Ｔｈｅｎｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌｓｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅｓｏｕｒｃｅｄｅｖｅｌ┐ｏｐｍｅｎｔｏｆｔｈｅＴａｎｇｓｈａｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅＺＨＩ－ＲＥＮＮＩＵ（牛志仁）ＤＡＮＧ－ＭＩＮＣＨＥＮ（陈党民）ＢＩＮＧ－ＱＩＡＮＬＩ（李炳乾）Ｓｅｉｓｍｏｌｏ...     

现代医学影像在妇科肿瘤诊断中的应用

本文对ＣＴ及ＭＲＩ在妇科肿瘤诊断中的应用及征象分别进行了描述，并重点对各种不同的影响检查做了方法比较。     

利用不纯净十水芒硝与纯净氯化钾制取硫酸钾的研究

本文通过相图分析，对利用不纯净十水芒硝与纯净氯化钾通过二步转化制取硫酸钾进行了物料配比计算．给出了最佳物料配比及十水芒硝中氯离子的最大含量，对实际生产有指导意义。     

中国西北部“4.5”沙尘暴过程中尺度低压的数值模拟

利用改进型ＰＳＵ／ＮＣＡＲ中尺度数值模式（ＭＭ４标准版），取模式水平格距４０ｋｍ，４６×６１网格，垂直方向ａ取１５层，即从地面到模式顶（１００ｈＰａ），σ＝０．０、０．１、０．２、０．３、０．４、０．５、０．６、０．７、０．７８、０．８４、０．８９、０．９３、０．９６、０．９８、０．９９、１．００，采用ＮＣＡＲ的３０＇×３０＇地形资料，以常规观测资料作为初始场，较好地模拟了此次沙尘暴过程的海平面气压的演变和分布，特别是张掖、柴达本盆地以及敦煌附近的三个中低压。同时，模拟了张掖中低压与蒙古冷高压之间的甘肃河西沙尘暴东大风。敏感性试验表明，沙尘暴中低压的形成发展主要是受于物理过程制约；沙尘暴中尺度系统的研究与暴雨中尺度系统的研究是有区别的，积云对流参数化并不是特别重要，在设计研究沙尘暴的数值模式中，应当合理地处理其他的热力、动力过程及大气外强迫源的作用。模式水平格距、地形真实程度对模拟中低压的位置、中心强度有重要贡献；下垫面变化中低压强度有一定影响。张掖热低压的形成发展主要是在有利的环境形势下，特殊地势起了重要作用，表现为直接动力强迫和间接热力强迫。     

矿产资源开发环境影响评价的指标体系及方法

通过对矿产资源开发环境影响因素的系统分析，建立了环境影响评价的指标体系，它包括自然环境和社会经济环境两大指标体系；简评了矿产资源开发的环境影响评价方法；提出了建立矿产资源开发环境影响评价信息系统的设想，并简要介绍了该信息系统的组成、主要功能及值得重视研究的几个问题。     

八卦庙大型金矿床稀土元素地球化学研究

八卦庙大型金矿床是秦岭造山带中的一种与碳酸盐岩有关的中温热液矿床。本系统总结了该矿床的稀土元素地球化学特征，对矿石、围岩、含金石英脉、酸性岩脉、铁的硫化物中的稀土元素组成、关系及成因进行了分析研究，论证了这个金矿床的形成与围岩、酸性岩脉、地壳深部金的矿源层有关。在此基础上应用简化了的Ｇｒｅｓｅｎｓ方程－Ｇｒａｎｔ方法讨论了热液蚀变过程中稀土元素地球化学行为，并分析了样品中出现Ｃｅ和Ｅｕ异常的原因，     

区域构造形变不均匀分布与强震地点

强震的孕育、发生涉及大尺度的地壳运动和构造形变的分布.中国大陆西部现今构造形变强烈,一些强烈活动的深大断裂的分布,把地壳分割成了若干活动地块.GPS观测获得的大范围的水平运动速度场分布具有较好的空间有序性和协调性.大区域水平相对运动和变形的协调与平衡,主要是通过一些大的断裂带(活动地块的边界带)的剧烈运动和变形来调整实现的.大区域的继承性构造运动决定了这些大的活动断裂带的相对运动与变形的性质及其空间分布趋势.强震前局部区域的相对运动和变形的异常是与大区域的地壳运动和整体变形相联系的.强震活动引起的调整总体上是维护大区域地壳运动和变形的协调与平衡的趋势.研究大断裂带构造变形的趋势背景和识别异常区段,是预测未来强震地点的重要途径.     

云南省地震前兆模拟观测数据库的建设与实现

地震前兆现象的分析研究是开展地震预测的重要途径.在地震预测尚处于经验性预报的现阶段,积累可靠的前兆数据尤为重要.虽然我国的前兆台网观测技术已基本进入数字化发展阶段,但大量的模拟观测仍在运行,几十年来积累的模拟观测数据仍是十分宝贵的科研资料.如何对已有的模拟数据进行科学管理、使未来采集的模拟数据与已有数据进行科学的衔接、为分析预报提供方便快捷的数据服务、使前兆模拟数据的产出和使用真正实现网络数据库的管理等都是值得深入思考并认真解决的重要问题.     

Research on Relationship Between Fluorine in Tap Water and That in Urine of Chinese Residents

In this study, the relationship between fluorine in drinking water and that in urine of urban residents in China is assessed. Fluorine concentrations in tap water and those in urine show a good correlation with a linear regression coefficient of 0. 9798, indicating that the fluorine concentrations in big cities under investigation are extremely low, and the main source of fluorine is tap water. The weather effect on the intake amount of fluorine is also discussed. When air temperature is above 15℃, people would intake more fluorine through drinking water with the rise of air temperature. When temperature is below 15℃, no remarkable relationship is observed between air temperature and the intake amount of fluorine. This phenomenon indicates that the main source of fluorine in China is tap water instead of foodstuff.