Projected Changes in Water Balance Components of 11 Large River Basins during the 21st Century and Their Uncertainties

Water Resources - Changes in the water balance components of 11 large-scale river basins due to possible climate change during the 21st century were simulated with the land surface model SWAP and...     

Density,stress, and gravity anomalies in the interiors of the earth and mars and the probable geodynamical implications: Comparative analysis

The formulas that allow, within the quadratic approximation, for the contribution of the anomalous masses, distributed along the height relative to the reference ellipsoid, in the Stokes parameters are derived. It is shown that the contribution of the quadratic terms is largest and commensurate, by the order of magnitude, with the linear contribution if the anomalous masses have a dipole distribution along the height. The quadratic contribution is particularly significant for Mars, where the span of relative variations in the surface topography is by an order of magnitude larger than in the Earth. The problem is solved and the method is developed for finding the depths of compensation for the topographical harmonics of different order and degree. The most probable levels of compensation for topographic irregularities are determined by the analysis of the distribution histograms for the depths of compensation. The maps of lateral distributions of the compensating masses at the selected levels are calculated. It is shown that the observed anomalous structures generate the anomalies in the internal gravity field, which may serve as a cause for the convective motion in the mantle and core of the planet. Besides, the probable nonisostatic vertical stresses in the crust and mantle of the Earth and Mars are calculated.     

Scenario prediction of changes in water balance components of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers in the context of possible climate change in the region of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)

Forecasts of the dynamics of meteorological characteristics in the basins of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers (the Republic of Sakha) in the XXI century have been obtained for four IPCC global climate scenarios of SRES family, corresponding to specified scenarios of economic, technological, political, and demographic development of human civilization. The forecasts have been used to calculate scenarios of possible changes in water balance components for the basins under consideration up to the year of 2063. The calculation procedure involves a physically-based model of heat and mass exchange between the land surface and the atmosphere SWAP and climate scenario generator MAGICC/SCENGEN.