Multi-factor impact analysis of agricultural production in Bangladesh with climate change

Diverse vulnerabilities of Bangladesh's agricultural sector in 16 sub-regions are assessed using experiments designed to investigate climate impact factors in isolation and in combination. Climate information from a suite of global climate models (GCMs) is used to drive models assessing the agricultural impact of changes in temperature, precipitation, carbon dioxide concentrations, river floods, and sea level rise for the 2040–2069 period in comparison to a historical baseline. Using the multi-factor impacts analysis framework developed in Yu et al. (2010), this study provides new sub-regional vulnerability analyses and quantifies key uncertainties in climate and production. Rice (aman, boro, and aus seasons) and wheat production are simulated in each sub-region using the biophysical Crop Environment REsource Synthesis (CERES) models. These simulations are then combined with the MIKE BASIN hydrologic model for river floods in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) Basins, and the MIKE21 Two-Dimensional Estuary Model to determine coastal inundation under conditions of higher mean sea level. The impacts of each factor depend on GCM configurations, emissions pathways, sub-regions, and particular seasons and crops. Temperature increases generally reduce production across all scenarios. Precipitation changes can have either a positive or a negative impact, with a high degree of uncertainty across GCMs. Carbon dioxide impacts on crop production are positive and depend on the emissions pathway. Increasing river flood areas reduce production in affected sub-regions. Precipitation uncertainties from different GCMs and emissions scenarios are reduced when integrated across the large GBM Basins’ hydrology. Agriculture in Southern Bangladesh is severely affected by sea level rise even when cyclonic surges are not fully considered, with impacts increasing under the higher emissions scenario.     

The chromite deposits associated with ophiolite complexes, Southeastern Desert, Egypt： Petrological and geochemical characteristics and mineralization

1 Introduction The association of massive Fe-Ni-Cu sulfides andchromite is a very unusual feature of podiformchromitites occurring in mantle tectonites of ophioliticcomplexes. It has only been described in theSoutheastern Desert, Egypt, where sulfides a…     

Temperature variations of one well-known UV ceti type flare star

Temperature variations of the flare star, EV Lac, at its quiet-state luminosity were computed from its colour indices,B - V, which were measured in Johnson's system, these daily temperature changes are the essential reason of the short-term behaviour appearance in the flare star which is due to the presence of active region(s) causing a temperature difference of a few hundred degrees from the photosphere. A correlation between the annual mean of temperature variations of the flare star at its quiet-state and the annual rate of some physical parameters of the flare star at its active-state was detected. This correlation can interpret the occurrence of the long-term behaviour of the flare star at its quiescent-state as found by Mavridiset al. (1982).     

Structure of magnetogasdynamic weak shock waves

The problem of the detailed structure of magnetogasdynamic shock waves is investigated. It is assumed that the flow takes place under normal magnetic fieldH ₀ and the conductivity of the medium is considered infinite. An approximate analytical solution of the nonlinear differential equations describing the phenomena is obtained. The suggested analytical results in this paper are in good agreement with the previous numerical computations for the thickness and the velocity distribution inside the transition region. In addition, the enthalpy distribution inside the shock front is predicted.     

Interaction of ion beam with dust grains produces dust-acoustic solitary waves in Herbig-Haro objects

Properties of dust-acoustic solitary waves in a warm dusty plasma are analyzed by using the hydrodynamic model for massive dust grains, electrons, ions, and streaming ion beam. For this purpose, Korteweg-de Vries (KdV) equation for the first-order perturbed potential and linear inhomogeneous KdV-type equation for the second-order perturbed potential have been derived and their analytical solutions are presented. In order to show the characteristics of the dust-acoustic solitary waves are influenced by the plasma parameters, the relevant numerical analysis of the KdV and linear inhomogeneous KdV-type equations are obtained. The dust-acoustic solitary waves, as predicted here, may be associated with the nonlinear structures caused by the interaction of polar jets with the interstellar medium, which is known as Herbig-Haro objects.     

Top-down approach to design the relief system in a metropolitan city using UAV technology,part I: the first 48 h

Natural Hazards - In this study, a relief system for a large metropolitan city exposed to serious earthquakes is designed and a top-down approach is applied. Afflicted people’s states and...     

Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in the northeastern part of Algeria

This work involves updating the evaluation of seismic hazard in Northeast Algeria by a probabilistic approach. This reassessment attempts to resolve inconsistencies between seismic zoning in regional building codes and is further motivated by the need to refine the input data that are used to evaluate seismic hazard scenarios. We adopted a seismotectonic model that accounts for differences in interpretations of regional seismicity. We then performed a probabilistic assessment of regional seismic hazard in Northeast Algeria. Based on a homogeneous earthquake catalog and geological and seismotectonic data gathered in the first part of the study, a seismotectonic zoning map was created and seven risk areas were identified. For each area, peak ground acceleration hazard maps were produced. Details of the calculations are provided, including hazard curves at periods of 0.1, 0.2, 0.33, 0.5, 1.0, and 2.0 s and uniform hazard spectra at urban locations in the area, including Sétif, Constantine, Kherrata, Bejaia, and Jijel.