高时空分辨率三维风场在强对流天气临近预报中的融合应用研究

以业务应用为目标,开展高时、空分辨率三维风场在强对流天气临近预报中的融合应用研究。运用北京快速更新多尺度分析和预报系统集成子系统（RMAPS-IN,Rapid-refresh Multi-scale Analysis and Prediction System-Integration）,对雷达四维变分分析系统（VDRAS）30 min临近预报的高时、空分辨率三维风场作为数据源与自动气象站风场观测进行快速融合处理。结果表明,以VDRAS临近预报风场取代数值模式预报场作为融合初猜场后形成的分析结果对于风场有明显的改善:（1）长时间序列客观检验结果表明,地面10 m高风场U/V分量绝对误差分别为0.05和0.06 m/s。实时融合对未来预报的影响随着预报时效的延长,U/V分量的绝对误差不断增大。（2）对于11个强对流个例,地面10 m高风场风速均方根误差降低0.3 m/s,风向均方根误差降低13°;边界层三维风场,风速均方根误差降低0.8 m/s,风向均方根误差降低10°。平原站点融合以后风速、风向预报效果有较大改善,山区站点融合以后改善相对较小。（3）通过对2017年7月20日暴雨和7月7日雷暴大风个例的详细分析,发现融合基于雷达资料四维变分同化获得的高分辨率临近预报风场对各对流系统中的中尺度结构特征给出了更加细致准确的描述。      

Decomposition analysis on direct material input and dematerialization of mining cities in Northeast China

Material dematerialization is a basic approach to reduce the pressure on the resources and environment and to realize the sustainable development. The material flow analysis and decomposition method are used to calculate the direct material input (DMI) of 14 typical mining cities in Northeast China in 1995-2004 and to analyze the demateri-alization and its driving factors in the different types of mining cities oriented by coal, petroleum, metallurgy and multi-resources. The results are as follows: 1) from 1995 to 2006, the increase rates of the DMI and the material input intensity of mining cities declined following the order of multi-resources, metallurgy, coal, and petroleum cities, and the material utilizing efficiency did following the order of petroleum, coal, metallurgy, and multi-resources cities; 2) during the research period, all the kinds of mining cities were in the situation of weak sustainable development in most years; 3) the pressure on resources and environment in the multi-resources cities was the most serious; 4) the petro-leum cities showed the strong trend of sustainable development; and 5) in recent years, the driving function of eco-nomic development for material consuming has continuously strengthened and the controlling function of material utilizing efficiency for it has weakened. The key approaches to promote the development of circular economy of min-ing cities in Northeast China are put forward in the following aspects: 1) to strengthen the research and development of the technique of resources' cycling utilization, 2) to improve the utilizing efficiency of resources, and 3) to carry out the auditing system of resources utilization.     

Ecological quality assessment of small estuaries from the Portuguese coast based on benthic macroinvertebrate assemblages indices

Benthic macroinvertebrates communities are the most consistently emphasized biotic component of aquatic ecosystems and are one of the biological indicators required for assessment by the European Water Framework Directive. In this context, several indices based on these communities have been developed in order to assess ecological quality of estuarine systems. In the present work we used AMBI, M-AMBI, BENTIX and BAT to distinguish ecological status of five small estuarine systems of the Portuguese south and southwest coasts. Although indices outputs did not differ between systems and sampling seasons, results indicated that the metrics in which these indices are based could differentiate community structures as a result of two main gradients that force these communities: the natural variability, and the anthropogenic impact.     

自动气象站的网络化构想

本文是针对气象服务社会的这个宗旨,在自动气象站正式运行之后,应用路由器、交换机、微机ADSL宽带网络等通信设备和通信方式,对气象数据进行网络化管理和使用,提高气象信息的使用率。     

南极企鹅粪土沉积柱样、蛋卵中OCPs、PCBs含量分布及其环境意义

对南极阿德雷岛企鹅栖息地粪土层进行210Pb测年,同时采用气相色谱-电子捕获检测器(GC-ECD)内标定量法测定了企鹅栖息地粪土混合地层和企鹅蛋卵中有机氯污染物含量,粪土混合地层中有机氯污染物最高浓度:表层PCBs为0.92ng/g,HCHs为0.42ng/g,DDTs在0.70ng/g,与非栖息地相比较,研究结果显示,通过鸟类活动的粪土混合地层(营巢和粪便)输入PCBs和OCPs含量比无鸟类生命途径的土壤相对要高。企鹅蛋卵样∑PCB在0.4-10.2ng/g,∑DDT2.4-10.3ng/g,HCB0.1-9.4ng/g,∑HCH0.1-0.5ng/g,总积蓄水平依次为:∑PCB>∑DDT>HCB>∑HCH。     

关于露天矿山边坡稳定性管理研究的若干问题讨论

本文从科学管理的角度,讨论了露天矿山边坡稳定性管理研究的目的意义;详细论述了边坡稳定性管理研究的基本内容;并探讨了边坡岩体滑坡预报和治理加固时机问题,对保证露天矿山的安全生产具有现实意义。     

基于测量机器人的数字化船坞建设方法及应用研究

阐述了基于测量机器人的数字化船坞建设方法,主要分析了数字化船坞建设的关键技术,深入研究了基准控制点选择及基准控制点稳定性观测的方法,并对控制网测量平差及精度进行了评定,最后结合案例给出了建设数字化船坞在建设及应用中的几点意见。     

基于HASM-SSOR模型的近60年来中国气温与降水变化趋势模拟

为了改善HASM模型计算速度慢及存储量大等问题,提出了一种快速有效算法(HASM-SSOR),并以高斯合成曲面为例验证了该方法的有效性。利用全国752站1951—2010年的气象观测资料,对近60年的平均气温、降水分别采用多元回归与HASM-SSOR相结合的方法及多项式回归与HASM-SSOR相结合的方法进行模拟与分析;近60年平均气温、降水拟合的复相关系数分别为0.9923、0.9987;并对1951-2010年各年代际的平均气温、降水的变化趋势进行拟合与分析,发现各年代际气温变化并不一致,全国平均气温呈上升趋势,平均上升率为0.35℃/10a,全国降水平均变化率为9.4mm/10a,无明显的变化趋势。     

Synthesis and characterisation of a multifunctional oil-based drilling fluid additive

An oil-based drilling fluid additive H-DEA (or humic acid-cocamide diethanolamine) was synthesised using humic acid and cocamide diethanolamine as raw materials. The rheological behaviors of H-DEA showed that the synthesised product has the good properties in both decreasing the filtrate loss and improving rheology property of oil-based drilling fluids compared with other commercially available additives. Under the optimal additive amount of 3%, both API filtrate loss and yield point changed remarkably from 5.40 to 0.41 mL and 9.0 to 25.6 Pa, respectively. Furthermore, differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) showed that H-DEA has good thermal stability in a wide temperature range up to 170 °C. Infrared spectroscopy (IR) and rheological analysis revealed that the possible mechanism of the multifunctional effects may be attributed to the existing of high density of strong polar groups, hydrogen bonds, electrostatic forces, and intermolecular association on H-DEA molecular structure. The results of the study showed that the synthesised H-DEA can be potentially used as a multifunctional oil-based drilling fluid additive in oil-drilling excavation.     

长乐-南澳韧性剪切带走滑特征探讨

长乐-南澳韧性剪切带可能是在碰撞造山缝合带基础上发育的,其走滑特性严格受闽台微大陆与闽浙中生代火山弧碰撞过程中碰撞动力学的制约。岩石韧性组构和糜棱岩变形的微构造研究表明,碰撞前期走滑为左行。在早垩世晚期(100-120Ma)的主碰撞期和以伸展作用为主的碰撞后期,该带以右行为主,这种右行走滑一直持续至今。发育韧性剪切带的闽台微大陆(或称平潭-东山带)原始位置可能比现今更靠南,这是属于几百公里的漂移位移而不是剪切位移。