NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF STRUCTURAL FRACTURES CONTROLLED BY PIQIANG STRIKE-SLIP FAULT

在深入探讨皮羌走滑断裂对构造裂缝控制作用的基础上,应用ANSYS有限元方法,模拟区域差应力、走滑断裂宽度和走向等因素影响下构造裂缝分布发育的规律.模拟结果表明,构造裂缝带宽随区域差应力增大呈线性增大,随断裂带宽度增大呈线性减小,随断裂走向与区域差应力夹角增大呈线性减小;施加的区域差应力值是影响构造裂缝发育的主要因素.     

The assessment of health impact caused by energy use in urban areas of China: an intake fraction–based analysis

The Indian Ocean Tsunami of December 2004 caused inundation of seawater along the Northern coast of Tamil Nadu, India, resulting in loss of 8,000 people with extensive damage to properties. The paper describes the inundation of seawater in two northern districts, namely Kancheepuram and Villupuram districts, which showed distinct patterns of inundation of seawater and run-up levels due to variations in geomorphic features. TUNAMI N2 model was used to predict the seawater inundation for earthquakes occurred in 1881 at Car Nicobar, Sumatra 2004 and a worst-case scenario. The coastal areas with beaches having gentle slope showed more inundation compared with coastal areas having varied slope and habited by sand dunes and coastal vegetation. Appreciable inundation of seawater with tsunami simulated for 1881 Car Nicobar indicated that proximity to the source plays a major role besides earthquake parameters in causing inundation. The worst-case scenario generated from subduction zone of Car Nicobar using Sumatra 2004 earthquake parameters revealed extreme vulnerability of coasts of both the districts to giant tsunamis.     

Bi-level optimization for risk-based regional hurricane evacuation planning

Almost all engineering evacuation models define the objective as minimizing the time required to clear the region or total travel time, thus making an implicit assumption that who will or should evacuate is known. Conservatively evacuating everyone who may be affected may be the best strategy for a given storm, but there is a growing recognition that in some places that strategy is no longer viable and in any case, may not be the best alternative by itself. Here, we introduce a new bi-level optimization that reframes the decision more broadly. The upper level develops an evacuation plan that describes, as a hurricane approaches, who should stay and who should leave and when, so as to minimize both risk and travel time. The lower level is a dynamic user equilibrium (DUE) traffic assignment model. The model includes four novel features: (1) it refocuses the decision on the objectives of minimizing both risk and travel time; (2) it allows direct comparison of more alternatives, including for the first time, sheltering-in-place; (3) it uses a hurricane-scenario-based analysis that explicitly represents the critically important uncertainty in hurricane track, intensity, and speed; and (4) it includes a new DUE algorithm that is efficient enough for full-scale hurricane evacuation applications. The model can be used both to provide an evacuation plan and to evaluate a plan’s performance in terms of risk and travel time, assuming the plan is implemented and a specified hurricane scenario then actually occurs. We demonstrate the model with a full-scale case study for Eastern North Carolina.     

The Significance of Intestinal Parasite Remains in Pollen Samples from Medieval Pits in the Piazza Garibaldi of Parma,Emilia Romagna,Northern Italy

This paper presents the study of parasite remains recovered in pollen samples collected from archaeological layers. Laboratory treatment enabled us to obtain very high concentrations of both pollen and parasite eggs from the same samples. The case study of the site of Piazza Garibaldi in Parma, a town in the Po plain, is reported. The site was a sacred area in Roman times and a market square in Medieval times (10th–11th century A.D.). Pollen, seeds, and fruits from the latter phase were collected from four Medieval pits and one cesspit. After a palynological treatment including sieving, floating, and light acetolysis, abundant quantities of parasite eggs were extracted. Human and animal parasite eggs belonging to Trichuris, Ascaris, Taenia/Echinococcus, Capillaria, Dicrocoelium, and Diphyllobothrium were found. The analyses of animal and plant remains identified in the same samples suggested that the pit infillings consisted of waste, human and animal excrements, deteriorated plant food, and refuse of grapes. Therefore, parasite remains help the interpretation of archaeobotanical data in identifying human behaviors and site functions.     

The first peak ground motion attenuation relationships for North of Vietnam

The first attenuation relationships of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and peak ground velocity (PGV) for northern Vietnam are obtained in this study. Ground motion data are collected by a portable broadband seismic network in northern Vietnam as a part of cooperation between the Institute of Geophysics, Vietnamese Academy of Science and Technology, Vietnam and Institute of Earth Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taiwan. The database comprises a total of 330 amplitude records by 14 broadband stations from 53 shallow earthquakes, which were occurred in and around northern Vietnam in the period between 01/2006 and 12/2009. These earthquakes are of local magnitudes between 1.6 and 4.6, focal depths less than 30 km, and epicentral distances less than 500 km. The new attenuation relationships for PGA and PGV are:

log₁₀(PGA)=-0.987+0.7521M_L-log₁₀(R)-0.00475R,     

Laboratory organic matter maturation at high pressures: heat-up effect on vitrinite reflectance

A laboratory study was conducted to assess the effect of heat-up to high diagenetic to low metamorphic temperatures on vitrinite reflectance (VR) at high pressures using the same heat-up processes, apparatus and starting material as those employed in prior experimental studies on huminite/vitrinite maturation. ??Heat-up?? is the isobaric increase in temperature of an organic matter maturation experiment from room temperature to the desired run temperature T ^ehu (T ^ehu ?=?temperature at the end of heat-up). The experiments were performed on xylite of swamp cypress and used a heating rate of 50?°C/min. These confined system maturation experiments were carried out at 10?kbar and involved temperatures T ^ehu ranging from 175 to 450?°C. Additional experiments were conducted at pressures of 5, 20 and 25?kbar to evaluate the influence of pressure on the effect of heat-up on VR. At 10?kbar, results of this study show that heat-up does not influence VR for T ^ehu ?< ~270?°C. This absence of maturation is viewed as the result of an activation time delaying vitrinite maturation at these diagenetic to very low metamorphic temperatures. For T ^ehu ?> ~270?°C, heat-up has a significant effect on VR at 10?kbar: VR greatly increases with T ^ehu during the short heat-up event. This effect of heat-up on VR points out the rapid kinetics of the initial VR increase. Increasing pressure reduces VR increase gained during heat-up. Obviously, pressure retards the initial VR increase and thus controls organic matter maturation. In addition to temperature, the formulation of VR evolution rate equation must consider pressure, activation time and VR gained during heat-up.     

基于典型物候特征的MODIS-EVI时间序列数据 农作物种植面积提取方法 —小区域冬小麦实验研究

利用MODIS植被指数时间序列这一特性,以北京市通州及周边为实验区,冬小麦种植面积为研究对象,提出 了农作物种植面积指数模型(Pan-CPI模型)的概念,并构造了冬小麦特征物候期植被指数与种植面积的定量函数关系, 通过样区TM影像求解关键参数,对研究区冬小麦种植面积测量方法进行了试验研究。研究结果表明：(1)Pan-CPI模 型能够很好地反映特定目标农作物种植面积状况,为基于植被指数时间序列影像识别农作物种植面积提供了新方法; (2)精度分析结果表明：Pan-CPI模型具有很高的稳定性,且不受样本变化的影响,只要达到满足模型计算的样本量(如： 5%),多次测量结果间具有很好的一致性。选取MODIS 6×6像元大小的窗口时,TM样本的复相关系数(R2)稳定在0.85 左右,与TM结果比较,窗口相对精度稳定在95%左右,区域精度稳定在92%以上,经调整的区域精度高达96%以上; (3)对于种植结构复杂、目标作物种植破碎的地区,Pan-CPI模型可以充分利用MODIS植被指数时间序列的优势,有效改 善TM单时相和多时相提取信息因时相缺失无法表征作物变化的不足。     

Aridity changes in the Temperate-Mediterranean transition of the Andes since ad 1346 reconstructed from tree-rings

The Andes Cordillera acts as regional ??Water Towers?? for several countries and encompasses a wide range of ecosystems and climates. Several hydroclimatic changes have been described for portions of the Andes during recent years, including glacier retreat, negative precipitation trends, an elevation rise in the 0° isotherm, and changes in regional streamflow regimes. The Temperate-Mediterranean transition (TMT) zone of the Andes (35.5°?C39.5°S) is particularly at risk to climate change because it is a biodiversity hotspot with heavy human population pressure on water resources. In this paper we utilize a new tree-ring network of Austrocedrus chilensis to reconstruct past variations in regional moisture in the TMT of the Andes by means of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). The reconstruction covers the past 657?years and captures interannual to decadal scales of variability in late spring?Cearly summer PDSI. These changes are related to the north?Csouth oscillations in moisture conditions between the Mediterranean and Temperate climates of the Andes as a consequence of the latitudinal position of the storm tracks forced by large-scale circulation modes. Kernel estimation of occurrence rates reveals an unprecedented increment of severe and extreme drought events during the last century in the context of the previous six centuries. Moisture conditions in our study region are linked to tropical and high-latitude ocean-atmospheric forcing, with PDSI positively related to Ni?o-3.4 SST during spring and strongly negatively correlated with the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) during summer. Geopotential anomaly maps at 500-hPa show that extreme dry years are tightly associated with negative height anomalies in the Ross?CAmundsen Seas, in concordance with the strong negative relationship between PDSI and AAO. The twentieth century increase in extreme drought events in the TMT may not be related to ENSO but to the positive AAO trend during late-spring and summer resulting from a gradual poleward shift of the mid-latitude storm tracks. This first PDSI reconstruction for South America demonstrates the highly significant hindcast skill of A. chilensis as an aridity proxy.     

Meshless BEM and overlapping Schwarz preconditioners for exterior problems on spheroids

We consider the exterior Neumann problem of the Laplacian with boundary condition on spheroids. We propose to use spherical radial basis functions in the solution of the boundary integral equation arising from the Dirichlet-to-Neumann map. Our meshless approach with radial basis functions is particularly suitable for handling scattered satellite data. We also propose a preconditioning technique based on an overlapping domain decomposition method to deal with ill-conditioned matrices arising from the approximation problem.     

The May 2005 eruption of Fernandina volcano,Galápagos: The first circumferential dike intrusion observed by GPS and InSAR

The May 2005 eruption of Fernandina volcano, Galápagos, occurred along circumferential fissures parallel to the caldera rim and fed lava flows down the steep southwestern slope of the volcano for several weeks. This was the first circumferential dike intrusion ever observed by both InSAR and GPS measurements and thus provides an opportunity to determine the subsurface geometry of these enigmatic structures that are common on Galápagos volcanoes but are rare elsewhere. Pre- and post- eruption ground deformation between 2002 and 2006 can be modeled by the inflation of two separate magma reservoirs beneath the caldera: a shallow sill at ~1 km depth and a deeper point-source at ~5 km depth, and we infer that this system also existed at the time of the 2005 eruption. The co-eruption deformation is dominated by uplift near the 2005 eruptive fissures, superimposed on a broad subsidence centered on the caldera. Modeling of the co-eruption deformation was performed by including various combinations of planar dislocations to simulate the 2005 circumferential dike intrusion. We found that a single planar dike could not match both the InSAR and GPS data. Our best-fit model includes three planar dikes connected along hinge lines to simulate a curved concave shell that is steeply dipping (~45–60°) toward the caldera at the surface and more gently dipping (~12–14°) at depth where it connects to the horizontal sub-caldera sill. The shallow sill is underlain by the deep point source. The geometry of this modeled magmatic system is consistent with the petrology of Fernandina lavas, which suggest that circumferential eruptions tap the shallowest parts of the system, whereas radial eruptions are fed from deeper levels. The recent history of eruptions at Fernandina is also consistent with the idea that circumferential and radial intrusions are sometimes in a stress-feedback relationship and alternate in time with one another.