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1.
We present solutions for the effective stress induced by gas flow through a porous solid into a borehole resulting from sudden pressure reduction. Tensile effective stress that exceeds the strength of the solid will lead to borehole failure. This has applications to the intentional creation of cavities, relevant to the efficient recovery of coalbed methane, and the avoidance of borehole stability problems in conventional gas production. 相似文献
2.
The climate–population relationship has long been conceived. Although the topic has been repeatedly investigated, most of
the related works are Eurocentric or qualitative. Consequently, the relationship between climate and population remains ambiguous.
In this study, fine-grained temperature reconstructions and historical population data sets have been employed to statistically
test a hypothesized relationship between temperature change and population growth (i.e., cooling associated with below average
population growth) in China over the past millennium. The important results were: (1) Long-term temperature change significantly
determined the population growth dynamics of China. However, spatial variation existed, whilst population growth in Central
China was shown to be responsive to both long- and short-term temperature changes; in marginal areas, population growth was
only sensitive to short-term temperature fluctuations. (2) Temporally, the temperature–population relationship was obscured
in some periods, which was attributable to the factors of drought and social buffers. In summary, a temperature–population
relationship was mediated by geographic factors, the aridity threshold, and social factors. Given the upcoming threat posed
by climate change to human societies, this study seeks to improve our knowledge and understanding of the climate–society relationship. 相似文献
3.
Tingting Yao Craig Calvert Tom Jones Glen Bishop Yuan Ma Lincoln Foreman 《Mathematical Geology》2006,38(1):51-62
Spectral simulation has gained application in building geologic models due to the advantage of better honoring the spatial continuity of petrophysical properties, such as reservoir porosity and shale volume. Distinct from sequential simulation methods, spectral simulation is a global algorithm in the sense that a global density spectrum is calculated once and the inverse Fourier transform is performed on the Fourier coefficient also only once to generate a simulation realization. The generated realizations honor the spatial continuity structure globally over the whole field instead of only within a search neighborhood, as with sequential simulation algorithms. However, the disadvantage of global spectral simulation is that it traditionally cannot account for the local information such as the local continuity trends, which are often observed in reservoirs and hence are important to be accounted for in geologic models. This disadvantage has limited wider application of spectral simulation in building geologic models. In this paper, we present ways of conditioning geologic models to the relevant local information. To account for the local continuity trends, we first scale different frequency components of the original model with local-amplitude spectrum ratios that are specific to the local trend. The sum of these scaled frequency components renders a new model that displays the desired local continuity trend. The implementation details of this new method are discussed and examples are provided to illustrate the algorithm. 相似文献
4.
Kraft B.J. Overeem I. Holland C.W. Pratson L.F. Syvitski J.P.M. Mayer L.A. 《Oceanic Engineering, IEEE Journal of》2006,31(2):266-283
Geoacoustic properties of the seabed have a controlling role in the propagation and reverberation of sound in shallow-water environments. Several techniques are available to quantify the important properties but are usually unable to adequately sample the region of interest. In this paper, we explore the potential for obtaining geotechnical properties from a process-based stratigraphic model. Grain-size predictions from the stratigraphic model are combined with two acoustic models to estimate sound speed with distance across the New Jersey continental shelf and with depth below the seabed. Model predictions are compared to two independent sets of data: 1) Surficial sound speeds obtained through direct measurement using in situ compressional wave probes, and 2) sound speed as a function of depth obtained through inversion of seabed reflection measurements. In water depths less than 100 m, the model predictions produce a trend of decreasing grain-size and sound speed with increasing water depth as similarly observed in the measured surficial data. In water depths between 100 and 130 m, the model predictions exhibit an increase in sound speed that was not observed in the measured surficial data. A closer comparison indicates that the grain-sizes predicted for the surficial sediments are generally too small producing sound speeds that are too slow. The predicted sound speeds also tend to be too slow for sediments 0.5-20 m below the seabed in water depths greater than 100 m. However, in water depths less than 100 m, the sound speeds between 0.5-20-m subbottom depth are generally too fast. There are several reasons for the discrepancies including the stratigraphic model was limited to two dimensions, the model was unable to simulate biologic processes responsible for the high sound-speed shell material common in the model area, and incomplete geological records necessary to accurately predict grain-size 相似文献
5.
Extreme climatic events in the Amazon basin 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Jose Antonio Marengo Javier Tomasella Wagner R. Soares Lincoln M. Alves Carlos A. Nobre 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2012,107(1-2):73-85
During 2009 the Amazon basin was hit by a heavy flooding with a magnitude and duration few times observed in several decades. Torrential rain in northern and eastern Amazonia during the austral summer of 2008–2009 swelled the Amazon River and its tributaries. By July 2009, water levels of the Rio Negro, a major Amazon tributary, reached at Manaus harbor a new record, the highest mark of the last 107?years. During the 2008–2009 hydrological year, the rainy season on northern and northwestern Amazonia started prematurely, and was followed by a longer-than-normal rainy season. An anomalously southward migration of the ITCZ during May–June 2009, due to the warmer than normal surface waters in the tropical South Atlantic, was responsible for abundant rainfall in large regions of eastern Amazonia and Northeast Brazil from May to July 2009. We also compared the flood of 2009 with other major events recorded in 1989 and 1999. The hydrological consequences of this pattern were earlier than normal floods in Amazon northern tributaries, which peak discharges at their confluences with the main stem almost coincided with the peaks of southern tributaries. Since the time displacement of the contribution to the main stem of northern and southern Amazon tributaries is fundamental for damping flood waves in the main stem, the simultaneous combinations of peak discharges of tributaries resulted in an extreme flood. 相似文献
6.
Assessment of regional seasonal predictability using the PRECIS regional climate modeling system over South America 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the accuracy and skill of the UK Met Office Hadley Center Regional Climate Model (HadRM3P) in describing the seasonal variability of the main climatological features over South America and adjacent oceans, in long-term simulations (30 years, 1961–1990). The analysis was performed using seasonal averages from observed and simulated precipitation, temperature, and lower- and upper-level circulation. Precipitation and temperature patterns as well as the main general circulation features, including details captured by the model at finer scales than those resolved by the global model, were simulated by the model. However, in the regional model, there are still systematic errors which might be related to the physics of the model (convective schemes, topography, and land-surface processes) and the lateral boundary conditions and possible biases inherited from the global model. 相似文献
7.
A. Lincoln MacKenzie 《新西兰海洋与淡水研究杂志》2014,48(3):430-465
New Zealand's reputation as a supplier of high quality food products is vital to the national economy; international consumers are acutely aware of food safety issues and markets are increasingly demanding higher standards. Filter feeding bivalves are particularly sensitive to the nature of the environment in which they are grown, and quality assurance is a major preoccupation of the shellfish aquaculture industry. With the exception of a couple of incidents, most notably the Gymnodinium catenatum blooms in 2000–2003, paralytic shellfish toxin (PST) contamination has, to date, not had an important effect on the economics and sustainability of the industry. However, the dinoflagellate species responsible for producing these toxins are not uncommon in New Zealand coastal phytoplankton communities, and it is important that awareness of the potential risk is maintained. This review summarises what we know about the causes and incidence of PST contamination from research and monitoring over the last 20 years, since it was first identified in New Zealand. It describes the dynamics of major events and their consequences, and evaluates what is likely to happen in the future as aquaculture expands into new areas with known histories of this problem. 相似文献
8.
Future change of climate in South America in the late twenty-first century: intercomparison of scenarios from three regional climate models 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1
Jose A. Marengo Tercio Ambrizzi Rosmeri P. da Rocha Lincoln M. Alves Santiago V. Cuadra Maria C. Valverde Roger R. Torres Daniel C. Santos Simone E. T. Ferraz 《Climate Dynamics》2010,35(6):1073-1097
Regional climate change projections for the last half of the twenty-first century have been produced for South America, as
part of the CREAS (Cenarios REgionalizados de Clima Futuro da America do Sul) regional project. Three regional climate models
RCMs (Eta CCS, RegCM3 and HadRM3P) were nested within the HadAM3P global model. The simulations cover a 30-year period representing
present climate (1961–1990) and projections for the IPCC A2 high emission scenario for 2071–2100. The focus was on the changes
in the mean circulation and surface variables, in particular, surface air temperature and precipitation. There is a consistent
pattern of changes in circulation, rainfall and temperatures as depicted by the three models. The HadRM3P shows intensification
and a more southward position of the subtropical Pacific high, while a pattern of intensification/weakening during summer/winter
is projected by the Eta CCS/RegCM3. There is a tendency for a weakening of the subtropical westerly jet from the Eta CCS and
HadRM3P, consistent with other studies. There are indications that regions such of Northeast Brazil and central-eastern and
southern Amazonia may experience rainfall deficiency in the future, while the Northwest coast of Peru-Ecuador and northern
Argentina may experience rainfall excesses in a warmer future, and these changes may vary with the seasons. The three models
show warming in the A2 scenario stronger in the tropical region, especially in the 5°N–15°S band, both in summer and especially
in winter, reaching up to 6–8°C warmer than in the present. In southern South America, the warming in summer varies between
2 and 4°C and in winter between 3 and 5°C in the same region from the 3 models. These changes are consistent with changes
in low level circulation from the models, and they are comparable with changes in rainfall and temperature extremes reported
elsewhere. In summary, some aspects of projected future climate change are quite robust across this set of model runs for
some regions, as the Northwest coast of Peru-Ecuador, northern Argentina, Eastern Amazonia and Northeast Brazil, whereas for
other regions they are less robust as in Pantanal region of West Central and southeastern Brazil. 相似文献
9.
10.
K. T. Brazier A. Carramiñana P. M. Chadwick T. R. Currell N. A. Dipper E. W. Lincoln V. G. Mannings T. J. L. McComb K. J. Orford S. M. Rayner K. E. Turver 《Experimental Astronomy》1989,1(2):77-99
The design of very high energy (VHE) gamma ray telescopes is discussed and it is shown that a triple-mirror telescope operating in threefold fast coincidence provides an effective instrument. The design, construction and operation of a large VHE gamma ray telescope with an energy threshold of 300 GeV (at the zenith) and incorporating several novel features is described. The use of a coincidence guard ring technique is shown to result in the rejection of about 50% of the off-source (proton) events which form a high background and limit the sensitivity of such telescopes. 相似文献