A review of advances in China’s flash flood early-warning system

This paper summarizes the main flash flood early-warning systems of America, Europe, Japan, and Taiwan China and discusses their advantages and disadvantages. The latest development in flash flood prevention is also presented. China’s flash flood prevention system involves three stages. Herein, the warning methods and achievements in the first two stages are introduced in detail. Based on the worldwide experience of flash flood early-warning systems, the general research idea of the third stage is proposed from the viewpoint of requirements for flash flood prevention and construction progress of the next stage in China. Real-time dynamic warning systems can be applied to the early-warning platform at four levels (central level, provincial level, municipal level, and county level) . Through this, soil moisture, peak flow, and water level can be calculated in real-time using distributed hydrological models, and then flash flood warning indexes can be computed based on defined thresholds of runoff and water level. A compound warning index (CWI) can be applied to regions where rainfall and water level are measured by simple equipment. In this manner, flash-flood-related factors such as rainfall intensity and antecedent and cumulative rainfall depths can be determined using the CWI method. The proposed methodology for the third stage could support flash flood prevention measures in the 13th 5-Year Plan for Economic and Social Development of the People’s Republic of China (2016–2020). The research achievements will serve as a guidance for flash flood monitoring and warning as well as flood warning in medium and small rivers.     

Carbon dioxide emission reduction quota allocation study on Chinese provinces based on two-stage Shapley information entropy model

Chinese central government made a commitment to achieve a 40–45% reduction in carbon dioxide (CO₂) per unit of GDP by 2020 compared with 2005. This targeted reduction was allocated averagely among all the provinces rather than individually according to different situations of each province. Though some research has been done regarding this rough allocation, two shortcomings in previous studies exist: Firstly, CO₂ marginal abatement cost (MAC) has been ignored as one of the CO₂ emission reduction allocation indexes. Secondly, either subjective or objective method has been used rather than comprehensively of both subjective and objective method to calculate the weight of each index in the previous studies. In order to fill the gaps, this paper builds a two-stage Shapley information entropy model to allocate CO₂ emission reduction quota among the Chinese provinces based on the equity and efficiency principles. Afterward, three CO₂ emission reduction quota allocation scenarios have been proposed. The results show that the CO₂ MAC is an indispensable index in CO₂ emission reduction quota allocation, because its value of CO₂ Shapley information entropy is the highest among five indexes. CO₂ emission reduction quota of lower-MAC provinces should be allocated larger, while the quota of higher-MAC provinces should be allocated smaller. Therefore, two suggested policies have been proposed: First, differential CO₂ emission reduction quota allocation should be proposed. Second, synergetic development should be promoted.     

中朝边境天池破火山口湖底地形多波束测深探测

为调查天池破火山口湖的基本参数和湖底地形特征,研究破火山口的内部构造、破火山口的组合样式和垮塌堆积分布,本文采用多波束测深方法,对天池湖底地形进行了探测。探测结果显示:天池最大水深值为373.2m,天池水域边界实测周长为13.44km,天池湖水面面积9.4km~2,天池总蓄水量约为19.88×10~8m~3。天池周边分布4个温泉,温度为7~47℃。根据湖底地形推断,现今的天池破火山口形成于千年大喷发。其后,在天池西侧形成一个喷火口,东侧形成一个熔岩丘。天池湖底存在5个较大的破火山口内壁垮塌堆积区,但在湖底未见熔岩流。天池边缘出露的温泉点对应环状断裂,同时反映深部存在岩浆体。     

塔里木溢流玄武岩火山通道的三维结构及其热成因气体释放

塔里木上奥陶统-志留系沉积地层中广泛发育早二叠世溢流玄武岩的火山通道相岩床-岩墙网络。三维地震数据解释结果显示,这些火山通道以平行围岩地层的岩床和斜切围岩地层的"碟状岩床"为主要特征。在玄武岩喷发过程中,火山通道岩浆的热量可以导致沉积围岩发生热接触变质并将沉积围岩中的有机质转化为"热成因气体"。在塔北英买2井区火山通道烘烤沉积围岩模型基础上,利用有限元热模拟方法确定了该区早二叠世玄武岩喷发时火山通道热烘烤影响范围随时间的变化。基于沉积围岩有机质丰度估算,该区热烘烤成因甲烷释放量可达11.3Gt(即113亿吨)。如果整个塔里木溢流玄武岩省具有与英买2地区相同的释放强度,则塔里木溢流玄武岩省活动期间释放的甲烷总量可达7062.5Gt,必然导致非常显著的环境效应。同时,玄武岩火山通道岩浆引起的热接触变质作用对已存在的油藏具有明显的破坏作用,塔里木盆地古生界总量约8~10Gt的油藏破坏和大量沥青的形成可能与此有关。     

高密度电法在草炭土分布特征调查中的应用

为了更好的研究草炭土湿地基本信息,获取草炭土分布特征,选择吉林省东部沼泽草炭土湿地为研究对象,运用高密度电阻率法,对比不同装置下探测结果的差异,再与已知的探槽资料做对比,得出温纳—施伦贝格装置为最可靠、最合理的探测装置。再将该装置运用到其他草炭土地区,得出对草炭土湿地的探测为浅层地质问题,草炭土的视电阻率为50~300Ω·m,深度为1.2~3.9 m,在反演图像中表现为低阻体部分,各地层间层状结构明显,电性界限分明。     

东昆仑五龙沟金矿田控矿构造带的变形条件——来自EBSD组构的启示

五龙沟金矿田是东昆仑地区最重要的金矿集中区之一,金矿田主要控矿构造为偏脆性断裂破碎带,在三条控矿构造带中仅在萤石沟—红旗沟构造带邻近北侧的局部出露韧性变形带。本文作者运用电子背散射衍射技术(EBSD)技术方法,对东昆仑五龙沟金矿田萤石沟—红旗沟构造带变形岩石的组构分析显示,花岗质糜棱岩韧性变形强烈,大部分样品石英变形机制是以中温I级柱面(1010)1120滑移为主,变形式样比较单一;少量样品为中高温II级柱面(101—0)0001滑移和中低温底面(0001)112—0滑移。从岩石组构特点结合宏观构造分析,五龙沟金矿田萤石沟—红旗沟构造带及其邻近北侧经历了中-中深层次、中-中高温条件(15~25 km,t=350~550°C,P=0.40~0.60 Gpa)的韧性变形,局部叠加中浅层次、中低温条件(10~15 km,t=250~350°C,P=0.25~0.40 Gpa)的韧脆性变形;而岩金沟和三道梁—苦水泉构造带为低温低压条件的脆性破碎带。结合变形花岗闪长岩年代学资料,确定构造变形时代为早中生代。     

江西兴国县偏酸性地下水研究现状

兴国县浅层地下水为各城镇和农村的主要饮用水源,浅层地下水中酸性地下水(p H6.5)分布范围占全区面积的1/2,区域地下水酸化现象较为明显,已成为该地区安全用水问题之一。中国地质调查局根据原国土资源部的统一部署,于2017年启动了兴国水文地质调查工作。基于768组地下水现场水质测试和80组相关水化学分析资料,本文研究了兴国县偏酸性地下水的分布特征及其影响因素。结果发现:pH6.5的偏酸性地下水分布普遍,主要分布于花岗岩类裂隙水中,地下水pH值受当地酸雨影响明显,与酸性土壤分布吻合,与含水介质类型密切相关,随地下水位埋深的增加,pH值增大。本研究对正确认识偏酸性地下水分布特征与影响因素,促进城镇农村居民安全用水,为预防地下水酸化污染具有重要意义。     

江西兴国县溶解性总固体分布规律初探

本文聚焦于反映地下水宏量离子组分总量的溶解性总固体,应用统计描述、相关分析法、离子比例法分析了其在兴国县全境的分布演化规律。结果表明,兴国县89.8%采样点的溶解性总固体含量都处于200 mg/L以内,但存在空间分布差异显著,在松散岩类孔隙水、碎屑岩类孔隙裂隙水、变质岩类裂隙水和花岗岩类裂隙水中溶解性总固体的变异系数分别为0.37、0.77、0.56和0.59。对1977—2018年两期地下水水质数据分析,兴国县地下水中溶解性总固体不论是单点极值还是均值,均呈现大幅增加的趋势,其含量增幅在24.23%~458.13%之间。在空间分布上,溶解性总固体分布与高程具有较好的相关性,高溶解性总固体的地下水普遍分布在400 m高程以下。兴国县对地下水开发的增加,改变了地下水的补径排条件,加速了地下水与围岩和岩石矿物风化组分间的溶滤和离子交换,使Na+浓度减少,Ca~(2+)和Mg~(2+)含量增加。     

新疆西南天山阿万达金矿区赋矿围岩物源及形成时代:碎屑锆石U-Pb年代学制约

阿万达金矿位于西南天山造山带内。此次研究在简要总结其矿床地质特征基础上,对与阿万达金矿成矿密切相关的阿克苏群中硅质片岩围岩分别进行了岩石地球化学分析和LA-ICP-MS碎屑锆石U-Pb定年研究,以期对围岩的沉积环境、物源及形成时代进行讨论。岩石地球化学分析结果显示,阿万达金矿赋矿围岩中硅质片岩的原岩可能为一套成熟度较低的泥岩或砂岩,物源主要为石英岩质沉积物,沉积环境可能处于活动大陆弧内的沉积盆地内。U-Pb定年结果显示,其碎屑锆石定年数据主要形成了加权平均年龄值为405 Ma或406 Ma的年龄峰,其谐和年龄最小峰值即405 Ma可以作为其最大沉积年龄。因此笔者认为阿克苏群中硅质片岩的沉积时代并不是前人所定的长城纪,而是不老于早泥盆世。另外,这一地层的物源组成具有多样性,～405 Ma碎屑锆石占主体,可能与哈尔克山北缘火山弧内的早泥盆世岩浆活动有关;～745Ma的碎屑锆石的出现,表明其物源有少部分来自新元古代岩石;极少数～2.50 Ga的碎屑锆石的出现,反映了华北地台对本地层有物源上的贡献。