Study of statistically correcting model CMAQ-MOS for forecasting regional air quality

Based on analysis of the air pollution observational data at 8 observation sites in Beijing including outer suburbs during the period from September 2004 to March 2005, this paper reveals synchronal and in-phase characteristics in the spatial and temporal variation of air pollutants on a city-proper scale at deferent sites; describes seasonal differences of the pollutant emission influence between the heating and non-heating periods, also significantly local differences of the pollutant emission influence between the urban district and outer suburbs, i.e. the spatial and temporal distribution of air pollutant is closely related with that of the pollutant emission intensity. This study shows that due to complexity of the spatial and temporal distribution of pollution emission sources, the new generation Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model developed by the EPA of USA produced forecasts, as other models did, with a systematic error of significantly lower than observations, albeit the model has better capability than previous models had in predicting the spatial distribution and variation tendency of multi-sort pollutants. The reason might be that the CMAQ adopts average amount of pollutant emission inventory, so that the model is difficult to objectively and finely describe the distribution and variation of pollution emission sources intensity on different spatial and temporal scales in the areas, in which the pollution is to be forecast. In order to correct the systematic prediction error resulting from the average pollutant emission inventory in CMAQ, this study proposes a new way of combining dynamics and statistics and establishes a statistically correcting model CMAQ-MOS for forecasts of regional air quality by utilizing the relationship of CMAQ outputs with corresponding observations, and tests the forecast capability. The investigation of experiments presents that CMAQ-MOS reduces the systematic errors of CMAQ because of the uncertainty of pollution emission inventory and improves the forecast level of air quality. Also this work employed a way of combining point and area forecasting, i.e. taking the products of CMAQ for a center site to forecast air pollution for other sites in vicinity with the scheme of model products "reanalysis" and average over the "area".     

Chemical forms of heavy metal contaminants in sediments of Miyun reservoir

The chemical forms, spatial distribution and sources of As, Hg, Cd, Pb and Zn in sediments of the Miyun reservoir were studied. The results of sequential extraction demonstrate that most of As, Pb and Zn were bound to the residual fraction, Hg was associated with the sulfide fraction while Cd was associated with the carbonate fraction and the residual fraction. On the vertical profiles the concentrations of the heavy metals in total and each fractions mostly decreased with increasing depths in sediments, suggesting that the heavy metals input from the upstream watershed increases yearly. Summation of the residual fraction, the sulfide fraction and the carbonate fraction accounts for 60.03%―85.60% of the total heavy metal contents in the sediments, which represent the geochemical background values of the elements and relate closely to soil erosion. Results of the main factor analysis show that most sediments of the reservoir come from the upstream soil erosion, the point source pollution and domestic waste. Moreover, the microbial activities taking place on the sediment-water interface are also one of the major factors to cause the increasing content of the organic matter fraction and the iron-manganese oxide fraction. Environmental change of the reservoir water could make the removability of the heavy metals increase, leading to the increase of their concentrations in pore water in sediments, and imperiling water quality of the reservoir.     

沙坡头没蒿和柠条叶片δ13C 和 N 含量的季节变化特征

通过对腾格里沙漠东南缘沙坡头人工固沙区油蒿和柠条叶片稳定碳同位素分辨率（△）和N 含量的测定，研究了不同种植方式下油蒿和柠条叶片△ 和 N 含量的季节变化及其关系。结果表明：在不同种植方式下，两种植物的△ 与 N 含量在不同月份之间均存在显著差异。油蒿叶片 △ 极显著高于柠条的：在不同种植方式下，油蒿单种下 △ 显著高于混种，柠条则反之。 油蒿叶片 N 含量极显著低于柠条的：不同种植方式下柠条叶片 N 含量无显著差异，而单种油蒿叶片 N 含量则显著低于混种。在 △ 与 N 含量的关系中，柠条叶片 △ 与 N 在两种生境、单种和混种下均极显著正相关，雨明柠条叶片 N 含量可以作为其 △ 与 N 含量的季节变化及其关系在不同微生境有所差异。     

沙漠沙丘污水处理系统:原理、方法和效果

“沙漠沙丘系统(DDS)”是以地球化学工程学原理为指导的特殊水处理系统,它利用沙漠沙作为滤料,通过“机械过滤”、“化学作用”和“生物作用”净化污染水,一方面可使沙丘变得湿润而不再移动,以固定移动沙漠;另一方面又能净化污染水,最终起到“以害克害、固沙治水、一举多得”的良好综合生态环境效应。DDS是绿色的水处理系统,所需的原料和生成物都属于自然界存在的物质,无二次污染的发生。在DDS设计中,要注意的主要因素应包括:滤料的种类、湿干时间比、微生物培养方式、滤料层厚度、进水水质、时间、温度和pH等。DDS可以把官厅水库水由V类和超V类处理成2~3类水,从而恢复官厅水库的饮用水功能。     

数字社区数据标准研究

当前数字社区建设缺乏统一的智能化综合管理平台以及相应的各项数据标准，使得数字社区难以真正实现统一的数字化管理。该文参考国内外相应数据标准，研究数字社区的标准体系结构。针对现有标准体系缺乏相关数据标准的现状，提出数字社区系列数据标准，包括数据接口层标准、数据分类编码标准、数据模型、数据字典和元数据标准。阐述系列标准中各标准间的相互关系以及各标准所包含的具体内容。     

广州市北京路步行街旅游形象策划

商业步行街是当今城市旅游购物和休闲的一个重要场所。广州市北京路是广州历史和现代有名的商业街之一,也是广州的一个著名景点。为了更好地包装广州市北京路的旅游形象,在详细分析其旅游文脉和旅游发展现状的基础上,采用企业识别系统的相关理论,对该区旅游形象MI、BI、VI三个方面进行了较为科学的策划。认为广州市北京路应突出“岭南第一街”的特点,对步行街的企业行为系统、市民行为系统等进行有效管理和规范,并改善现有的视觉景观和视觉标志,着力塑造一个集旅游观光、购物消费和休闲娱乐于一体的旅游形象。     

福建明清时期农作物的地理分布

明清时期,福建的农村经济发展比较快,多元化的农业生产是这一时期福建农村经济的最显著特点.粮食作物、经济作物在农村大量存在,但又有一定的区域差异.     

基于TLE数据的空间目标大气再入预报

空间态势感知的主要任务之一是空间目标监测和编目,目的是提供全链条轨道数据服务,其中包括空间目标的再入和陨落预报.Spacetrack网站向全球用户提供了公开可获取、编目空间目标数量最多的两行轨道根数(two line element ,TLE)数据库,是开展空间目标轨道力学研究的重要数据源.如何利用该数据库实现无控目标...     

烃源岩热模拟分子标志物演化特征及分子解析

为了研究地质体中分子标志物随热成熟度的演化规律,开展了烃源岩热模拟实验,并对产物进行了分子标志物定量及分子解析。结果表明,随着模拟温度的增高,三环萜烷和藿烷含量均逐渐降低,但降低幅度有差异,藿烷和高相对分子质量的三环萜烷降低幅度大于低相对分子质量的三环萜烷,导致在热模拟温度升至370℃的情况下,低相对分子质量三环萜烷的峰高高于藿烷;高相对分子质量甾烷含量降低幅度大于低相对分子质量甾烷,相同相对分子质量不同构型化合物甾烷热解速率不一致,同碳数ααα甾烷热解速率大于αββ甾烷,低相对分子质量的甾烷定量结果随热模拟温度升高先降低后升高再降低;低碳数的芳烃含量随热模拟温度升高先降低后升高,高碳数芳烃含量则一直处于降低状态。分子解析认为,C₁₉和C₂₀三环萜烷主要来自于高碳数三环萜烷的裂解,藿烷的贡献极低;17α(H)C₂₇三降藿烷(Tm)来自高碳数藿烷的贡献,18α(H)C₂₇三降藿烷(Ts)没有其他化合物加入;相同质量前提下,C₂₉甾烷裂解速率为:C₂₉ααS&...     

天然气水合物的开发试验有如星星之火——第6届国际天然气水合物会议

1会议概况 2008年7月610日,第6届国际天然气水合物大会在加拿大温哥华举行。参会人员共计526人,其中亚洲参会人员占38％,欧洲参会人员占25％,美洲参会人员占37％。本次大会共提交论文417篇,主题发言2篇,分别由加拿大地调局DallimoreS和美国地调局ColleztT所作,题目分别是“2007年Mallik天然气水合物开发情况介绍”和“印度天然气水合物国家计划成果介绍”。