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运用地震活动标度ΔF对大华北地区MS≥6.0级地震震前资料进行时间扫描,结果表明,地震活动标度ΔF大多在震前1~2年出现超出一倍均方差的异常;运用该方法还对河南及邻区ML≥5.0级地震震前资料进行了探索,同样,中等地震震前也有一定的异常反映。 相似文献
124.
XU Jianming XU Xiangde LIU Yu DING Guoan CHEN Huailiang HU Jiangkai ZHANG Jianchun WU Hao LI Weiliang HE Jinhai YANG Yuanqin WANG Jiahe 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2005,48(Z2)
Based on analysis of the air pollution observational data at 8 observation sites in Beijing including outer suburbs during the period from September 2004 to March 2005, this paper reveals synchronal and in-phase characteristics in the spatial and temporal variation of air pollutants on a city-proper scale at deferent sites; describes seasonal differences of the pollutant emission influence between the heating and non-heating periods, also significantly local differences of the pollutant emission influence between the urban district and outer suburbs, i.e. the spatial and temporal distribution of air pollutant is closely related with that of the pollutant emission intensity. This study shows that due to complexity of the spatial and temporal distribution of pollution emission sources, the new generation Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model developed by the EPA of USA produced forecasts, as other models did, with a systematic error of significantly lower than observations, albeit the model has better capability than previous models had in predicting the spatial distribution and variation tendency of multi-sort pollutants. The reason might be that the CMAQ adopts average amount of pollutant emission inventory, so that the model is difficult to objectively and finely describe the distribution and variation of pollution emission sources intensity on different spatial and temporal scales in the areas, in which the pollution is to be forecast. In order to correct the systematic prediction error resulting from the average pollutant emission inventory in CMAQ, this study proposes a new way of combining dynamics and statistics and establishes a statistically correcting model CMAQ-MOS for forecasts of regional air quality by utilizing the relationship of CMAQ outputs with corresponding observations, and tests the forecast capability. The investigation of experiments presents that CMAQ-MOS reduces the systematic errors of CMAQ because of the uncertainty of pollution emission inventory and improves the forecast level of air quality. Also this work employed a way of combining point and area forecasting, i.e. taking the products of CMAQ for a center site to forecast air pollution for other sites in vicinity with the scheme of model products "reanalysis" and average over the "area". 相似文献
125.
Based on the land surface temperature (LST), the land cover classification map,vegetation coverage, and surface evapotranspiration derived from EOS-MODIS satellite data, and by the use of GIS spatial analytic technique and multivariate statistical analysis method, the urban heat island (UHI) spatial distribution of the diurnal and seasonal variabilities and its driving forces are studied in Beijing city and surrounding areas in 2001. The relationships among UHI distribution and landcover categories, topographic factor, vegetation greenness, and surface evapotranspiration are analyzed. The results indicate that: (i) The significant UHI occur in Beijing city areas in the four seasons due to high heat capacity and multi-reflection of compression building, as well as with special topographic features of its three sides surrounded by mountains,especially in the summer. The UHI spatial distribution is corresponding with the urban geometry structure profile. The LST difference is approximately 4-6℃ between Beijing city and suburb areas, comparatively is 8- 10℃ between Beijing city area and outer suburb area in northwestern regions. (ii) The UHI distribution and intensity in daytime are different from nighttime in Beijing city area, the nighttime UHI is obvious. However, in the daytime, the significant UHI mainly appears in the summer, the autumn takes second place, and the UHI in the winter and the spring seem not obvious. The surface evapotranspiration in suburb areas is larger than that in urban areas in the summer, and high latent heat exchange is evident, which leads to LST difference between city area and suburb area. (iii) The reflection of surface landcover categories is sensitive to the UHI, the correlation between vegetation greenness and UHI shows obviously negative.The scatterplot shows that there is the negative correlation between NDVI and LST (R2 = 0.6481).The results demonstrate that the vegetation greenness is an important factor for reducing the UHI,and large-scale construction of greenbelts can considerably reduce the UHI effect. 相似文献
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127.
北祁连山白山子花岗闪长岩成岩时代 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
寒山大型金矿是近年来在北祁连山西段发现的与侵人岩有关的构造蚀变岩型金矿。笔者首次利用锆石U-Pb方法测得白山子花岗闪长岩的形成年龄为370±25 Ma,属于华力西期。寒山金矿的成矿主要在213.95~339 Ma间。在多期热液叠加,多期成矿作用中,早期成矿的热液很可能是白山子花岗闪长岩(370±25 Ma) ,寒山辉长岩(347.1±6. 4 Ma)共同提供的。由于该区有较多的中酸性岩体存在,它们可能为金的主要来源,因而,确定这些侵入体的形成年龄,对于在该区寻找蚀变岩型金矿不仅有重要的理论意义,而且有重要的现实意义。 相似文献
128.
滑坡变形立体监测网建设 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
李长明 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2005,16(B12):19-22
论文简要介绍了滑坡监测工作内容和监测方法,对现有技术方法在实际工作中的优缺点进行了简要评述。认为在滑坡稳定性监测工作中应该建立全方位、多种手段的立体监测网,仅仅运用某一种或者某一单方面的监测方法是不行的,是片面的,无法准确了解滑坡的动态。所说的立体监测网既有水平位移监测又有垂直位移监测,既有滑坡地表表层变形监测又有滑体深部变形监测,既有专业监测又有群测群防体系。同时监测有可能准确地掌握使滑坡失稳的各种因素(自然因素和人为因素)。因此建议在滑坡监测中建立全方位、多种手段的立体监测网,并提出了立体监测网建设的主要内容。 相似文献
129.
小城镇土地定级是小城镇土地管理的基础性工作,以福建省天宝镇区土地定级为例,就地理信息系统技术在城镇土地定级中的应用进行了探讨。着重论述了GIS环境下土地定级基础图件库和基础属性数据库的建立、评价单元的生成、单元分值和单元总分值的计算及成果图的生成等属性数据和空间数据的处理过程。 相似文献
130.
云南沿边境地带生态环境3S监测、 评价与调控研究 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
本文利用全球新千年整体生态系统评估的理论,以云南省沿边境地带生态系统变化跨境生态安全为研究对象,探寻并揭示我国陆疆系统的跨境生态系统变化监测、评价和生态安全综合调控的基础理论与信息机理;进而研究基于“3S”云南沿边境地带的生态环境监测、评价与综合调控的方法和关键技术,包括方法和技术体系的建立、指标体系的建立、多尺度效应和尺度转换、数学模型的建立、综合调控模式和决策方案的建立等;在案例研究部分,建立了背景数据库,然后选择大、中、小尺度进行了全区生态环境现状评价,重点河道、典型路段和重点口岸的影响评价和预测预报研究,最后进行了综合调控模式和方案的探讨,并对研究结果进行了动态仿真和虚拟表达研究。 相似文献