1997年9月三水3.7和4.4级地震特征初析

对１９９７年９月２３日和２６日两次三水有感地震的特征进行了初步分析,认为这两次地震具有震前和震后地震活动水平低、面波发育和低震级高烈度等特性;震区的主压应力为北北西方向,两震的受力方向基本一致,但断层面解明显不同。     

排水管网多尺度几何语义建模

针对排水管网管理业务的不同需求,研究排水管网的多尺度几何语义表达方法,本文提出了包含“源—网—厂—汇”的排水管网多尺度几何语义模型。通过对排水管网组成要素及其相互间的关系进行系统地分析,并参考CityGML规范,提出了排水管网多细节层次模型;根据不同排水管网要素的特点,采用符号化及BIM等建模方式分别构建了不同细节层次的排水管网要素模型,支持排水管网多尺度可视化分析。并以某区域的排水管网数据为例,对本文提出的建模方法进行验证。     

利用贵阳单站对流参数的强降水潜势预报方法研究

该文利用2002-2011年10 a的常规观测资料,筛选出贵阳单站24 h强降水、12 h强降水及6h强降水个例.对大气温湿类、层结稳定度、热力及能量类物理指标与强降水进行相关性统计分析,确立了相关性较好的常用物理指标(IQ、K、mK、SWEAT、Tg).通过分析降水前后其物理指标的变化特征,并利用成功指数建立指标预警阈值.再利用逐步消空法和BP神经网络集成方法对指标进行集成,得到相应的预报模型,从而建立了贵阳强对流天气未来0～6h,0～12h的潜势预报的预警预报指标,对贵阳地区降雨预报具有一定的指示作用.分析表明,利用逐步消空法建立的预报模型要优于BP神经网络集成的模型.     

基于贝叶斯模型的器测、古气候重建与气候模拟数据的融合试验

气象部门馆藏的西部最早的器测气象资料始于20世纪30年代,不能满足建立20世纪以来中国气候变化序列的需求,而古气候重建或气候模拟资料则可以延伸到器测时代以前。为了探讨长序列多源气候资料序列融合方法,采用贝叶斯方法对中国北疆地区8条树轮气温重建资料、器测资料与国际耦合模式比较计划第5阶段（CMIP5）模式模拟资料进行了融合试验。首先利用器测资料对气温代用资料进行校验与网格重建,并以此作为贝叶斯模型的先验分布,然后,用泰勒图选出了该区域气候模拟效果最佳的几个模式;最后将网格重建和气候模拟序列用贝叶斯模型进行了融合试验。结果表明,贝叶斯融合模型能有效提取各种数据来源的有用信息进行融合,融合结果的长期变化（线性）趋势更接近器测气候序列,并在一定程度上提高了序列的精度,减小了结果的不确定性;并且,融合结果能够纠正先验分布及气候模拟数据的明显偏差,为长年代气候序列重建提供了一个可行的思路。      

Late Carboniferous-Early Permian Sequence Stratigraphy and Depositional Evolution in the Northeast Ordos Basin,North China

<正>Sequence stratigraphical analysis was applied to the Upper Carboniferous-Lower Permian sedimentary succession of the northeastern Ordos Basin,north China based on data acquired from ten entire logging curves and eight outcrops.The facies framework of the lithostratigraphical unit,the Taiyuan Formation comprises seven facies in two facies associations,varying from fluvio-delta to shelf-barrier islands.The facies are presented within a chronostratigraphical framework,linked by systems tract,which in turn are limited by flooding surfaces and sequence boundaries.Six third-order depositional sequences are recognised,bounded by six type 2 unconformities.An upwards-shallowing epicontinental sea sedimentary model is created,which consists of a sandstone,coal seam and carbonate succession.     

广西兴业县龙安高岭土矿床成矿地质特征、选矿试验及开采价值浅谈

广西兴业县龙安高岭土矿床产于大容山花岗岩体龙门单元补充侵入岩,成矿母岩为细粒斑状二长花岗岩。高岭土分布广,储量大,埋藏浅,易开采,矿物组分主要为高岭石和石英。高岭石为片状晶体,有序度高,粒度细,粒级分布理想,广泛用于陶瓷、造纸、橡胶、油漆及无线电电子元件、冶金、石油、原子能、建材等,具有巨大的经济开采价值及广阔的市场需求前景。     

转换点位置对转换波速度分析精度的影响

在多波地震勘探中,转换点位置的求取精度直接影响共转换点道集的抽取,进而影响转换波速度分析的精度。利用DSR方程,对比了用不同的转换点计算方法进行转换波速度分析,分析其计算精度。     

银花败毒汤联合牛黄晶治疗扁平疣68例临床观察

目的：观察银花败毒汤联合牛黄晶治疗扁平疣的临床疗效。方法：将137 例扁平疣患者随机分为治疗组（68 例）与对照组（69 例）。治疗组采用银花败毒汤联合牛黄晶治疗,对照组采用阿昔洛韦乳膏治疗。观察2组综合疗效,治疗前后皮疹评分（含皮疹数量、皮疹大小、皮疹颜色、皮疹厚度、瘙痒程度）、皮肤病患者生活质量指数（DLQI）评分以及治疗后免疫反应现象与不良反应,治疗后3个月及1年时随仿,观察其复发情况。结果：总有效率治疗组为98.53%（67/68）,对照组为73.91%（51/69）,组间比较,差异有统计学意义（P<0.05）。治疗组皮疹数量、皮疹大小、皮疹颜色、皮疹厚度、瘙痒程度及DLQI评分治疗前后组内比较及治疗后与对照组比较,差异均有统计学意义（P<0.01或P<0.05）。2组免疫反应发生率、不良反应发生率、治疗后3个月及1年的复发率比较,差异均有统计学意义（P<0.01）。结论：银花败毒汤联合牛黄晶治疗扁平疣,能有效改善皮损,提高患者生活质量,减少复发,提高免疫反应,疗效显著,安全可靠,值得临床推广应用。     

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ON THE INFLUENCE OF THE LANDFALLING STRONG TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE CATASTROPHIC MIGRATIONS OF NILAPARVATA LUGENS(STL) IN CHINA

In order to clarify the statistical pattern by which landfalling strong tropical cyclones(LSTCs)influenced the catastrophic migrations of rice brown planthopper(BPH),Nilaparvata lugens(stl)in China,the data of the LSTCs in China and the lighting catches of BPH that covered the main Chinese rice-growing regions from 1979 to 2008 were collected and analyzed in this work with the assistance of ArcGIS9.3,a software of geographic information system.The results were as follows:(1)In China,there were 220 strong tropical cyclones that passed the main rice-growing regions and 466 great events of BPH’s immigration in the 30 years from 1979 to 2008.73 of them resulted in the occurrence of BPH’s catastrphic migration(CM)events directly and 147 of them produced indirect effect on the migrations.(2)The number of the LSTCs was variable in different years during 1979 to 2008 and their influence was not the same in the BPH’s northward and southward migrations in the years.In the 30 years,the LSTCs brought more obvious influence on the migrations in 1980,1981,2005,2006 and 2007.The influence was the most obvious in2007 and all of the 7 LSTCs produced remarkable impact on the CMs of BPH’s populations.The effect of the LSTCs on the northward immigration of BPH’s populations was the most serious in 2006 and the influence on the southward immigration was the most remarkable in 2005.(3)In these years,the most of LSTCs occurred in July,August and September and great events of BPH's immigration occurred most frequently in the same months.The LSTCs played a more important role on the CM of BPH’s populations in the three months than in other months.(4)The analysis on the spatial distribution of the LSTCs and BPH’s immigration events for the different provinces showed that the BPH’s migrations in the main rice-growing regions of the Southeastern China were influenced by the LSTCs and the impact was different with the change of their spatial probability distribution during their passages.The most serious influence of the LSTCs on the BPH’s migrations occurred in Guangdong and Fujian provinces.(5)The statistical results indicated that a suitable insect source is an indispensable condition of the CMs of BPH when a LSTC influenced a rice-growing region.     

区域Gamma混合模型的SAR图像分割

针对传统Gamma混合模型用于SAR图像分割时忽略像素间空间相关性,导致分割结果不连续并产生大量误分割的现象,提出了区域Gamma混合模型的SAR图像分割算法。首先对图像进行分水岭分割,得到过分割区域块,然后将其作为输入样本进行基于Gamma混合模型的聚类,在模型的参数估计过程中进一步考虑区域间的空间相关性,设计邻域因子融入到迭代过程,得到邻域加权类分布概率。该算法充分利用像素间的空间相关性,能够降低噪声对分割结果的影响。通过合成图像和真实SAR图像的实验表明,本文算法能够实现SAR图像的准确分割。