Simulation of monsoon depressions using MM5: sensitivity to cumulus parameterization schemes

Summary The sensitivity of the simulation of the monsoon depressions to the cumulus parameterization schemes used in a numerical model is studied using the Pennsylvania State University – National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU-NCAR) model MM5 version 3.6.2. Three different cases of monsoon depressions were studied with a two way interacting domains of 45 km and 15 km resolutions. Two different cumulus parameterization schemes namely Grell (GR) and Kain-Fritsch (KF) were used for the sensitivity study. The model was integrated for 48 hours with the initial and boundary conditions of European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting Reanalysis (ERA-40) data. The results show that both the schemes are able to simulate the large scale features of the monsoon depressions realistically. However, both the schemes failed to simulate the exact location of the depression after 24- and 48-hour simulation. The rainfall simulations of both the schemes were very different. The model with the GR scheme tends to over predict the rainfall. The KF scheme could simulate the distribution of the rainfall comparable to the observations. The KF scheme could simulate the maximum observed rainfall but due to locational errors of the simulated depression, the location of the maximum rainfall was not exact. It is also seen that the resolution of the model has a positive impact on the rainfall simulation. The GR and KF schemes were able to realistically simulate the apparent heat sources, but the apparent moisture profile simulated with KF scheme was more comparable to the verifying analysis. The root mean square errors of mean sea-level pressure, temperature, zonal wind and meridional wind were smaller for KF simulation compared to the GR simulation. Permanent affiliation: Center for Development of Advanced Computing, Pune University Campus, Ganeshkhind, Pune-411 007, India.     

Effects of atmospheric dynamics and ocean resolution on bi-stability of the thermohaline circulation examined using the Grid ENabled Integrated Earth system modelling (GENIE) framework

We have used the Grid ENabled Integrated Earth system modelling (GENIE) framework to undertake a systematic search for bi-stability of the ocean thermohaline circulation (THC) for different surface grids and resolutions of 3-D ocean (GOLDSTEIN) under a 3-D dynamical atmosphere model (IGCM). A total of 407,000 years were simulated over a three month period using Grid computing. We find bi-stability of the THC despite significant, quasi-periodic variability in its strength driven by variability in the dynamical atmosphere. The position and width of the hysteresis loop depends on the choice of surface grid (longitude-latitude or equal area), but is less sensitive to changes in ocean resolution. For the same ocean resolution, the region of bi-stability is broader with the IGCM than with a simple energy-moisture balance atmosphere model (EMBM). Feedbacks involving both ocean and atmospheric dynamics are found to promote THC bi-stability. THC switch-off leads to increased import of freshwater at the southern boundary of the Atlantic associated with meridional overturning circulation. This is counteracted by decreased freshwater import associated with gyre and diffusive transports. However, these are localised such that the density gradient between North and South is reduced tending to maintain the THC off state. THC switch-off can also generate net atmospheric freshwater input to the Atlantic that tends to maintain the off state. The ocean feedbacks are present in all resolutions, across most of the bi-stable region, whereas the atmosphere feedback is strongest in the longitude–latitude grid and around the transition where the THC off state is disappearing. Here the net oceanic freshwater import due to the overturning mode weakens, promoting THC switch-on, but the atmosphere counteracts this by increasing net freshwater input. This increases the extent of THC bi-stability in this version of the model. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.     

Pauling bond strength, bond length and electron density distribution

The power law regression equation, <R(M–O)> = 1.46(<ρ(r _c)>/r)^?0.19, relating the average experimental bond lengths, <R(M–O)>, to the average accumulation of the electron density at the bond critical point, <ρ(r _c)>, between bonded pairs of metal and oxygen atoms (r is the row number of the M atom), determined at ambient conditions for oxide crystals, is similar to the regression equation R(M–O) = 1.41(ρ(r _c)/r)^?0.21 determined for three perovskite crystals at pressures as high as 80 GPa. The pair are also comparable with the equation <R(M–O)> = 1.43(<s>/r)^?0.21 determined for oxide crystals at ambient conditions and <R(M–O)> = 1.39(<s>/r)^?0.22 determined for geometry-optimized hydroxyacid molecules that relate the geometry-optimized bond lengths to the average Pauling bond strength, <s>, for the M–O bonded interactions. On the basis of the correspondence between the equations relating <ρ(r _c)> and <s> with bond length, it seems plausible that the Pauling bond strength might serve a rough estimate of the accumulation of the electron density between M–O bonded pairs of atoms. Similar expressions, relating bond length and bond strength hold for fluoride, nitride and sulfide molecules and crystals. The similarity of the expressions for the crystals and molecules is compelling evidence that molecular and crystalline M–O bonded interactions are intrinsically related. The value of <ρ(r _c)> = r[(1.41)/<R(M–O)>]^4.76 determined for the average bond length for a given coordination polyhedron closely matches the Pauling’s electrostatic bond strength reaching each the coordinating anions of the coordinated polyhedron. Despite the relative simplicity of the expression, it appears to be more general in its application in that it holds for the bulk of the M–O bonded pairs of atoms of the periodic table.     

Nonlinear regional economic dynamics: continuous-time specification,estimation and stability analysis

This paper presents an innovative approach to the study of regional economic dynamics within a nonlinear continuous-time econometric framework—a generalized specification of the Lotka–Volterra system of equations. This specification, which accounts for interdependent behavior of three industrial sectors and spillover effects of activities in neighboring regions, is employed in an analysis of five Italian regions between 1980 and 2003. For these regions, we report estimation results, characterize the varying systems dynamics, analyze the models’ local and global stability properties, and determine via sensitivity analyses which structural features appear to exert the greatest influence on these properties.

Advances in the state of the art for AUV inertial sensors andnavigation systems

This paper presents an overview of two new inertial systems that are now in production at the Guidance and Control Systems Division of Litton Systems, Inc. These units are small, lightweight, require little power, and are silent. Data are presented that show long-term performance as well as short-term attitude, position, and velocity reference data for the LN-100 system. Attitude, velocity, and body axis rate data are required for stabilization of such devices as laser line scanners and long baseline side-scan sonars. The relationship between the characteristics of these sensors and inertial type errors is explored. This analysis shows that it is not sufficient to specify the inertial system only in terms of its navigation CEP. The specification of the inertial unit must also be based on the needs of the sensor payload and include such considerations as short-term stability, the noise content, phase, and bandwidth of the stabilization reference