Wo ist das äquivalentbarotrope Niveau zu suchen?

Zusammenfassung Fjörtofts graphische Integration der geostrophisch approximierten, divergenzfreien barotropen Wirbelgleichung weist einen Weg, wie man ohne kostspielige Rechenmaschinen der objektiven Wettervorhersage näherkommen kann; sie ist deshalb besonders beachtenswert. Ein wesentlicher Punkt dieser Methode ist das Steuerungsprinzip, das einer eingehenden Untersuchung bedarf. Erfahrungsberichte liegen kaum vor. Es wird zu einer einschlägigen Arbeit vonSanders undKessler [3] kritisch Stellung genommen. Da in dieser Arbeit die Abweichungen von der ArbeitsweiseFjörtofts in tragbaren Grenzen bleiben, die Steuerung aber nicht im Sinne der graphischen Integrationsmethode funktioniert, wird der Schluß gezogen, daß die fundamentale Voraussetzung der Barotropie in den untersuchten Fällen nicht erfüllt war. Wegen der im natürlichen Wetterablauf vorherrschenden Windzunahme mit der Höhe wäre das äquivalentbarotrope Niveau in tieferen Schichten als in 500 mb zu suchen, was den Erfahrungen vonRiehl entspräche. Bevor ein abschließendes Urteil abgegeben wird, soll deshalb die MethodeFjörtofts noch für die Vorhersage von Topographien tieferer Druckflächen herangezogen werden.

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Summary Fjörtoft's graphic integration of the geostrophically approximated, nondivergent, and barotropic vorticity equation shows a way of approaching objective weather forecasting without costly calculating-machines. For this reason it is of particular interest. An essential point of the method is the steering-principle which calls for a thorough investigation. A paper bySanders andKessler concerning this problem is discussed. As, in this paper, differences fromFjörtoft's results remain within tolerable limits, while steering does not work in the sense of the graphic integration method, it is concluded that the basic assumption of barotropy was not fulfilled in the investigated cases. On account of the increase of wind velocity with height predominating under normal weather conditions the equivalent-barotropic level should be found in layers lower than 500 mb which would correspond toRiehl's experiences. Therefore, before definitely judging in this matter,Fjörtoft's method should be applied also in forecasting topographies of lower pressure levels.

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Résumé Le procédé deFjörtoft d'intégration graphique de l'équation tourbillonnaire (géostrophisme approché, sans divergence et avec barotropie) montre comment on peut espérer une prévision objective du temps sans machine à calculer coûteuse; elle est de ce fait intéressante. Un point essentiel de la méthode réside dans le principe de «l'action directrice» qui mérite un examen attentif. On ne connaît pas de résultats d'expérience. L'auteur prend position à l'égard d'une étude deSanders etKessler. Comme dans cette dernière les divergences par rapport à la méthode deFjörtoft restent petites, tandis que l'action directrice ne fonctionne pas dans le sens de la méthode graphique d'intégration, il en résulte que l'hypothèse fondamentale de la barotropie n'a pas été réalisée dans les cas étudiés. Vu qu'en général le vent augmente avec l'altitude, le niveau équivalent-barotrope devrait être recherché dans les basses couches plutôt qu'à 500 mb., ce qui correspondrait aux expériences deRiehl. Avant de conclure définitivement, il convient donc d'appliquer la méthode deFjörtoft aussi à la prévision de la topographie des basses couches.

     

Ergänzung zur Arbeit: „Zur Physik der Taubildung an der Erdoberfläche”

Zusammenfassung In einer früheren Arbeit wurde auf Grund der Voraussetzung eines höhenkonstanten Austauschkoeffizienten eine Tauformel abgeleitet und diskutiert, die für größere Turbulenz Abweichungen von der Wirklichkeit zeigt. Durch zusätzliche Überlegungen werden nun die nachteiligen Folgen des Rechnens mitA = const. behoben.     

Disequilibrium of strontium isotopes between mineral phases of parental rocks during magma genesis — a discussion

Consideration of available diffusion rate data at high temperatures and pressures casts serious doubt on disequilibrium melting as a mechanism by which variable ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr ratios can be generated in basaltic melts whose parental rocks were at or below the low-velocity layer for more than a million years. Diffusion rates are orders of magnitude faster in these regions than in the upper lithosphere and lower crust. Ultramafic fragments with minerals in isotopic disequilibrium are pieces of the upper lithosphere, where elapsed time and comparatively low temperatures have resulted in the observed disequilibrium. Regional isotopic heterogeneity in the mantle is the most reasonable explanation for isotopic variability found in abyssal basalts.     

A strontium isotope evolution model for cenozoic magma genesis,Estern Great Basin,U.S.A.

Cenozoic volcanism in the Great Basin is characterized by an outward migration of volcanic centers with time from a centrally located core region, a gradational decrease in the initial Sr⁸⁷/Sr⁸⁶ ratio with decreasing age and increasing distance from the core, and a progressive change from calc-alkalic core rocks to more alkalic basin margin rocks. Generally each volcanic center erupted copious silicic ignimbrites followed by small amounts of basalt and andesite. The Sr⁸²/Sr⁸⁶ ratio for old core rocks is about 0.709 and the ratio for young basin margin rocks is about 0.705. Spatially and temporally related silicic and mafic suites have essentially the same Sr⁸⁷/Sr⁸⁶ ratios. The locus of older volcanism of the core region was the intersection of a north-south trending axis of crustal extension and high heat flow with the northeast trending relic thermal ridge of the Mesozoic metamorphic hinterland of the Sevier Orogenic Belt. Derivation of the Great Basin magmas directly from mantle with modification by crustal contamination seems unlikely. Initial melting of lower crustal rocks probably occurred as a response to decrease in confining pressure related to crustal extension. Volcanism was probably also a consequence of the regional increase in the geothermal gradient that is now responsible for the high heat flow of the Basin and Range Province. High Sr isotopic ratios of the older core volcanic rocks suggests that conditions suitable for the production of silicic magmas by partial fusion of the crust reached higher levels within the crust during initial volcanism than during production of later magmas with lower isotopic ratios and more alkaline chemistry. As the Great Basin became increasingly attenuated, progressively lower portions of the crust along basin margins were exposed to conditions suitable for magma genesis. The core region became exhausted in low temperature melting components, and volcanism ceased in the core before nearby areas had completed the silicic-mafic eruption cycle leading to their own exhaustion of crustal magma sources.     

Application of general circulation models to the study of stratospheric ozone

Summary Observations of the ozone distribution indicate that modifications are required to the photochemical theory. These modifications involve ozone destruction by hydrogen and nitrogen products and ozone transport (both vertical and horizontal) due to atmospheric motions in the stratosphere. If the photochemical terms in the ozone continuity equation are omitted, changes due to atmospheric transport alone can be evaluated.Numerical computations were made of the three-dimensional wind structure as derived from the 12-layer (0–36 km) General Circulation Model developed by NCAR. The results showed that ozone is transported from the equatorial stratosphere poleward and downward in both hemispheres. The horizontal transport is primarily by the Hadley Cell in the tropics and by large-scale eddies in mid and high latitudes. The dominant mechanism for ozone transport are found to be similar to those derived for the horizontal heat and momentum transport found in other general circulation studies.     

On the Eulerian source-receptor relationship

A new approach is proposed to delineate the source-receptor relationship in an Eulerian model. A small, unique oscillatory signal is superimposed on each emission source in the airshed. At receptor sites the concentration time series are analyzed by a Fourier transform to give the amplitudefrequency spectrum. Distinct peaks found in the spectrum are identified at the emission frequencies. The amplitude of the spectrum at the source frequency represents the individual contribution from that emitter. Various atmospheric transport and diffusion models are solved to show the effects of different physical and chemical processes on the oscillatory signals. Both analytical and numerical solutions are used to demonstrate the performance of the method.The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation.     

One‐Pot Synthesis of Xanthate‐Functionalized Cellulose for the Detection of Micromolar Copper(II) and Nickel(II) Ions

A one‐pot synthesis and application of cellulose‐based sensors to efficiently detect various toxic metal ions in aqueous solutions in micromolar quantities is reported. Cellulose microfibers have been functionalized with carbon disulfide in alkaline solution to form cellulose xanthate. The material detects several toxic metal ions such as copper, nickel, or cobalt ions through color change detectable by the naked eye. The optical sensor can be used as an ideal flash test for assessing the quality of drinking water.     

Comparing the adaptive Gaussian mixture filter with the ensemble Kalman filter on synthetic reservoir models

Over the last years, the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has become a very popular tool for history matching petroleum reservoirs. EnKF is an alternative to more traditional history matching techniques as it is computationally fast and easy to implement. Instead of seeking one best model estimate, EnKF is a Monte Carlo method that represents the solution with an ensemble of state vectors. Lately, several ensemble-based methods have been proposed to improve upon the solution produced by EnKF. In this paper, we compare EnKF with one of the most recently proposed methods, the adaptive Gaussian mixture filter (AGM), on a 2D synthetic reservoir and the Punq-S3 test case. AGM was introduced to loosen up the requirement of a Gaussian prior distribution as implicitly formulated in EnKF. By combining ideas from particle filters with EnKF, AGM extends the low-rank kernel particle Kalman filter. The simulation study shows that while both methods match the historical data well, AGM is better at preserving the geostatistics of the prior distribution. Further, AGM also produces estimated fields that have a higher empirical correlation with the reference field than the corresponding fields obtained with EnKF.     

Social media insights on public perception and sentiment during and after disasters: The European floods in 2021 as a case study

Detecting and collecting public opinion via social media can provide near real-time information to decision-makers, which plays a vital role in urban disaster management and sustainable development. However, there has been little work focusing on identifying the perception and the sentiment polarity expressed by users during and after disasters, particularly regional flood events. In this article, we comprehensively analyze tweets data related to the “European floods in 2021” over time, topic, and sentiment, forming a complete workflow from data processing, topic modeling, sentiment analysis, and topic and sentiment prediction. The aim is to address the following research questions: (1) What are the public perception and main concerns during and after floods? (2) How does the public sentiment change during and after floods? Results indicate that there is a significant correlation between a flood's trend and the heat of corresponding tweets. The three topics that receive the most public concern are: (1) climate change and global warming; (2) praying for the victims: and (3) disaster situations and information. Negative sentiments are predominant during the floods and will continue for some time. We tested five different classifiers, of which TextCNN-attention turned out to deliver the best predictions in topic and sentiment prediction, and performed well for sparse flood tweets, it can be used to predict the topic and sentiment polarity of a single tweet in real-time during the flood events. Our findings can help disaster agencies to better understand the dynamics of social networks and develop stronger situational awareness towards a disaster, which can contribute to scientifically justified decision-making in urban risk management and also meet the challenges associated with the global sustainable development goal 11 (SDGs) on Sustainable Cities and Communities.