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101.
Johanna Desprez Basil V. Iannone III Peilin Yang Christopher M. Oswalt Songlin Fei 《Climatic change》2014,126(1-2):151-162
Species are predicted to shift their distribution ranges in response to climate change. Region-wide, empirically-based studies, however, are still limited to support these predictions. We used a model tree species, blackgum (Nyssa sylvatica), to study climate-induced range shift. Data collected from two separate sampling periods (1980s and 2007) by the USDA’s Forestry and Inventory Analysis (FIA) Program were used to investigate changes in abundance and dominance, and shifts in distribution, of blackgum in four ecoregions of the eastern United States. Our results indicated new recruitment of blackgum in the northern portion of its range, along with increases in both density and annual rates of change in importance value (IV). Conversely, declines in recruitment were found in the southern portion of blackgum’s range, along with decreases in density and IV. The center portion of blackgum’s range had mixed patterns of change (i.e., both increases and decreases) throughout. A northward range expansion was also detected by comparing blackgum’s historic range to where it was detected during our two more-recent sampling periods. Our findings suggest that blackgum is migrating north in response to climate change. Our study also suggests two broader implications about tree migration patterns in response to climate change: (1) species can respond to changing climate in relatively short time periods, at least for generalist species such as blackgum, and (2) climate-induced vegetation dynamic patterns can be detected at the regional level, but are inherently complex. 相似文献
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104.
Johanna Anjar Nicolaj K. Larsen Lena Håkansson Per Möller Henriette Linge Derek Fabel Sheng Xu 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2014,43(1):132-148
We present 23 cosmogenic surface exposure ages from 10 localities in southern Sweden. The new 10Be ages allow a direct correlation between the east and west coasts of southern Sweden, based on the same dating technique, and provide new information about the deglaciation of the Fennoscandian Ice Sheet in the circum‐Baltic area. In western Skåne, southernmost Sweden, a single cosmogenic surface exposure sample gave an age of 16.8±1.0 ka, whereas two samples from the central part of Skåne gave ages of 17.0±0.9 and 14.1±0.8 ka. Further northeast, in southern Småland, two localities gave ages ranging from 15.2±0.8 to 16.9±0.9 ka (n=5) indicating a somewhat earlier deglaciation of the area than has previously been suggested. Our third locality, in S Småland, gave ages ranging from 10.2±0.5 to 18.4±1.6 ka (n=3), which are probably not representative of the timing of deglaciation. In central Småland one locality was dated to 14.5±0.8 ka (n=3), whereas our northernmost locality, situated in northern Småland, was dated to 13.8±0.8 ka (n=3). Samples from the island of Gotland suggest deglaciation before 13 ka ago. We combined the new 10Be ages with previously published deglaciation ages to constrain the deglaciation chronology of southern Sweden. The combined deglaciation chronology suggests a rather steady deglaciation in southern Sweden starting at c. 17.9 cal. ka BP in NW Skåne and reaching northern Småland, ~200 km further north, c. 13.8 ka ago. Overall the new deglaciation ages agree reasonably well with existing deglaciation chronologies, but suggest a somewhat earlier deglaciation in Småland. 相似文献
105.
We introduce a weighted method of clustering the individual units of a segmented image. Specifically, we analyze geologic
maps generated from experts’ analysis of remote sensing images and provide geologists with a powerful method to numerically
test the consistency of a mapping with the entire multidimensional dataset of that region. Our weighted model-based clustering
method (WMBC) employs a weighted likelihood and assigns fixed weights to each unit corresponding to the number of pixels located
within the unit. WMBC characterizes each unit by the means and standard deviations of the pixels within that unit and uses
the expectation-maximization algorithm with a weighted likelihood function to cluster the units. With both simulated and real
data sets, we show that WMBC is more accurate than standard model-based clustering. Specifically, we analyze Magellan data
from a large, geologically complex region of Venus to validate the mapping efforts of planetary geologists. 相似文献
106.
Catharina Johanna Maria Philippart Jolanda Martine van Iperen Gerhard Cornelis Cadée Alain François Zuur 《Estuaries and Coasts》2010,33(2):286-294
Analyses of long-term field observations (1974–2007) on chlorophyll-a concentrations in the western Wadden Sea showed no long-term trends in the timing of the wax and wane of phytoplankton spring
blooms. There is weak evidence, however, that the height of the autumn bloom has decreased since the early 1990s. This fading
of the autumn bloom may have had consequences for the carbon transfer to higher trophic levels, currently hampering primary
consumer species that mostly rely on food supply during late summer. Current and other findings suggest a shortening of the
growing season due to the fading of the autumn bloom in the Wadden Sea and a lengthening of the growing season due to an advancement
of the spring bloom in the North Sea. These regionally different changes in seasonality may have contributed to the coinciding
decrease in bivalve filtering capacity in the western Wadden Sea and the large-scale offshore shift of juvenile plaice from
the Wadden Sea to the adjacent North Sea. 相似文献
107.
Climate change impacts and adaptation of commercial marine fisheries in Australia: a review of the science 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Commercial marine fishing contributes significantly to the Australian economy, and has great importance for coastal communities. However, climate change presents significant challenges for Australia’s fishing industries, now and into the future. With greater use of targeted information, the fishing industry will be better placed to minimise the negative impacts and take advantage of opportunities associated with the effects of climate change. The future of the fishing industry—specifically wild capture fisheries—will depend on its ability and capacity to apply appropriate adaptation strategies for its viability and sustainability in the long-term. Knowledge regarding expected long-term changes in species distributions, improved weather and seasonal climate forecasts and their influence on target species, and better understanding of species tolerances, can inform adaptation responses. This paper provides a review of recent advances in research addressing Australia’s priorities in relation to commercial marine fisheries’ responses to current and anticipated future climate change impacts, and considers barriers and adaptation options for fisheries management over the near-term planning horizon of 5–7 years. 相似文献