海南省农村多维贫困及影响因素的空间分异

贫困具有多维属性,根据不同社会群体和背景从多维视角定义贫困已成为贫困问题研究的共识。依据Alkire-Foster多维贫困框架,拓展精准扶贫的“两不愁,三保障”识别标准,建立了涵盖教育、健康、居住、生活和收入指标的海南省农户多维贫困评估指标体系,基于海南省70个乡镇、134个贫困村3924户入户调查数据,采用双重临界值法评估了农户及村域多维贫困状况,进而运用地理加权回归(Geographically Weighted Regression,GWR)模型,分析了村域多维贫困影响因素的空间分异。结果显示,调查农户多维贫困率达18.22%,多维贫困程度严重的村多维贫困发生率不一定高,“两不愁、三保障”及收入指标对多维贫困指数的贡献率低。中、西部连片贫困地区多维贫困主要表现为较差的资产状况、不清洁的炊事燃料、较高的家庭成员患病率和较低的家庭成员最高学历。GWR模型分析表明,作为多维贫困最重要的影响因素,户主性别、户主受教育水平、女性劳动力占比和抚养比4个变量估计系数的空间分异明显。总体上,女性户主和低学历户主为主的地区倾向于更易发生多维贫困,二者的影响分别表现为从东到西、从北到南有所增强。女性劳动力占比为负向影响,抚养比为正向影响,呈现出自北向南增强的趋势,体现了海南贫困地区劳动力弱、女性相对更勤劳等典型地域特征。     

城市景观格局与热岛效应研究进展

概述了城市景观格局和城市热岛效应及城市景观格局对城市热岛效应影响等领域的研究现状,探讨了城市景观格局对城市热岛效应的影响作用,并结合城市景观格局研究中的新领域——景观格局优化,提出了解决城市热岛问题的新思路,即通过优化景观格局来达到缓解甚至消除热岛效应。展望了城市景观格局和城市热岛效应研究领域存在的问题和面临的任务。     

塔里木盆地塔中地区奥陶系碳酸盐岩储层空隙研究

空隙是构成碳酸盐岩储层的基本单元,空隙发育史对应了成岩演化史,且不同类型空隙的储层具有不同的分布规律。塔里木盆地塔中地区奥陶系碳酸盐岩储层的空隙可以分为６类２１种,以裂缝—孔洞型为主,礁、丘、滩相碳酸盐岩、中—细晶白云岩与古岩溶和构造岩溶的复合区为有利空隙发育带,也是风化壳型油气藏和内幕型油气藏的有利储集相带。     

Transport of waste heat from a nuclear power plant into coastal water

A numerical and experimental modeling is presented for studying the transport of waste heat from a nuclear power plant into coastal water by using a full-field physical model with scale distortion, a local physical model with normal scale and a depth-averaged k− turbulence model with a modified second-order upwind scheme. Field investigations are also used to provide the calibration and validation of the modeling. A case study simulating the turbulent tidal flow and waste heat transport in the coastal water near Daya Bay Nuclear Power Plant in Southern China was conducted. The experimental result of the case study shows that the water temperature in coastal water was a little oversimulated near the surface and was a little undersimulated near the bottom of heated-water layer by the full-field physical model. The numerical study shows that the depth-averaged k− turbulence model presented a satisfied prediction of turbulent tidal flow and far-field temperature distribution in coastal water, although the near-field stratification due to the heated water effluent was not accounted for. The result of the effect of scale distortion on physical model shows that a full-field physical model with a scale distortion of 10 produced a satisfied result of temperature distribution in the present case study.     

北极海冰快速减少期间加拿大海盆上层海洋夏季淡水含量变化

北极海冰近年来快速减少,北冰洋淡水含量也出现了急剧变化。加拿大海盆作为北冰洋淡水的主要存储区域,研究其淡水含量变化对于认识北冰洋淡水收支有重要意义。本文根据2003年、2008年中国北极考察以及2004年至2007年的加拿大考察数据进行计算,发现除2006年以外,夏季加拿大海盆淡水含量在此期间每年增加1m以上厚度。增加主要发生在冬季白令海水以上的上层海水中,而在此之下,淡水含量维持在3m左右,没有显著年际差异。在2006年,加拿大海盆西部上层淡水含量略微减少,但东部和北部海域淡水含量仍略有增加。与2003年相比,2008年加拿大海盆中心海区淡水含量增加量最高可达7m。分析表明,近年来的海冰减退对加拿大海盆上层淡水含量的增加起着重要作用,北极涛动(AO)正负相位变化也是控制其淡水含量变化的一个重要因素。而降水、径流以及白令海峡入流水的变化对加拿大海盆淡水含量变化影响较小。     

互联网+社区地震应急桌面演练的设计与实施——以青海省海西州为例

地震灾害应对实践表明,社区作为社会治理的基本单元,在抢救生命、安置群众生活等方面发挥着重要作用。应急演练是有效提升民众防灾减灾意识和社区应对灾害能力的重要途径。近年来,社区开展了不同程度的地震应急演练,但在专业性和实效性方面仍存在很大提升空间。本文基于互联网+应急演练理念,提出基于互联网云服务的分布式、多社区、不限人数、同步或异步开展的应急桌面演练新模式,并在青海省海西蒙古族藏族自治州进行了试点应用。实践表明,互联网+社区地震应急桌面演练融合了传统桌面演练与实战演练的优势,可针对社区管理层开展地震灾害全过程桌面推演,能有效促进社区管理层应急组织协调能力的提升。     

北黄海盆地东部坳陷火成岩地震相识别与分布预测

北黄海盆地东部坳陷火成岩分布复杂并具有多期性,直接影响了油气成藏作用,然而目前对其空间分布尚缺乏深入认识,制约着该区勘探开发的部署。利用全三维地震资料,根据地震反射特征识别出了不同类型的火成岩地震相模式,并对其不同特征进行了分析,通过地震相识别进行平面追踪,结合时间切片三维地震技术及属性分析对火成岩分布进行了预测。结果表明,北黄海盆地东部坳陷主要发育柱状、尖峰状、蘑菇状和丘状4种火成岩反射地震相;研究区火成岩分区性较明显,主要发育3处火成岩体,分别位于东部隆起剥蚀区、坳陷中部和坳陷的西北部。     

Fully coupled time-domain simulation of dynamic positioning semi-submersible platform using dynamic surface control

A fully coupled 6-degree-of-freedom nonlinear dynamic model is presented to analyze the dynamic response of a semi-submersible platform which is equipped with the dynamic positioning （DP） system. In the control force design, a dynamic model of reference linear drift frequency in the horizontal plane is introduced. The dynamic surface control （DSC） is used to design a control strategy for the DP. Compared with the traditional back-stepping methods, the dynamic surface control combined with radial basis function （RBF） neural networks （NNs） can avoid differentiating intermediate variables repeatedly in every design step due to the introduction of a first order filter. Low frequency motions obtained from total motions by a low pass filter are chosen to be the inputs for the RBF NNs which are used to approximate the low frequency wave force. Considering the propellers’ wear and tear, the effect of filtering frequencies for the control force is discussed. Based on power consumptions and positioning requirements, the NN cen-ters are determined. Moreover, the RBF NNs used to approximate the total wave force are built to monitor the disturbances. With the DP assistance, the results of fully coupled dynamic response simulations are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed con-trol strategy.     

萨拉乌苏河流域萨拉乌苏组砂丘砂沉积特征

The Salawusu Formation of Milanggouwan section in Salawusu River Valley includes 7 layers of paleo-mobile dune sands, and 4 layers of paleo-fixed and semi-fixed dune sands. Their structures have been observed and their grain size, surface textural features and several main chemical elements have been analyzed. The results showed that： 1） Some of the aeolian structural characteristics of these dune sands are similar to that of the recent dune sands. 2） They are also similar to the recent dune sands in grain size components, and parameters of Mz,σ, Sk and Kg, as well as in several main chemical components. 3） The scattergrams of Mz-σ and SiO2-Al2O3＋TOFE and the probability curves of grain size showed that these paleo-dune sands are different from paleosols and fluvio-lacustrine facies, but are consistency with recent dune sands. 4） Quartz sands have well roundness and surface textural features such as dish-shaped pits, crescent-shaped pits, pockmarked pits, upturned cleavage plates, siliceous precipitates and siliceous crevasses, indicating that they had been carried for a long time by the wind. As the 11 layers of paleo-dune sands possess the aeolian characteristics in structure, grain size, surface textural features and chemical elements, the origin of their formation should be attributed to eolation.     

基于不同主体的城镇人居环境要素需求特征——以广州市新塘镇为例

从城镇人居环境特点及不同主体的需求出发,构建了一套包括5个综合指标项和32个要素的城镇人居环境指标体系。以广州市新塘镇为例,通过问卷调查和非参数检验分析,揭示了不同主体人居环境要素需求特征;运用相关分析、聚类分析探讨了城镇人居环境要素需求差异性影响因素及不同群体要素需求的空间差异。结果表明:受访者对闲暇活动等10个要素的需求表现出差异性,对生活能源等22个要素的需求表现出共性;居住时间和经济状况对不同主体人居环境要素需求的差异性影响最大。同时结合4个类群主体的差异性环境要素需求和空间分布特征,提出了新塘镇未来人居环境优化应该重点建设的内容。