Investigating the Transport Mechanism of PM2.5 Pollution during January 2014 in Wuhan,Central China

Severe haze pollution that occurred in January 2014 in Wuhan was investigated. The factors leading to Wuhan’s PM_2.5 pollution and the characteristics and formation mechanism were found to be significantly different from other megacities, like Beijing. Both the growth rates and decline rates of PM_2.5 concentrations in Wuhan were lower than those in Beijing, but the monthly PM_2.5 value was approximately twice that in Beijing. Furthermore, the sharp increases of PM_2.5 concentrations were often accompanied by strong winds. A high-precision modeling system with an online source-tagged method was established to explore the formation mechanism of five haze episodes. The long-range transport of the polluted air masses from the North China Plain (NCP) was the main factor leading to the sharp increases of PM_2.5 concentrations in Wuhan, which contributed 53.4% of the monthly PM_2.5 concentrations and 38.5% of polluted days. Furthermore, the change in meteorological conditions such as weakened winds and stable weather conditions led to the accumulation of air pollutants in Wuhan after the long-range transport. The contribution from Wuhan and surrounding cities to the PM_2.5 concentrations was determined to be 67.4% during this period. Under the complex regional transport of pollutants from surrounding cities, the NCP, East China, and South China, the five episodes resulted in 30 haze days in Wuhan. The findings reveal important roles played by transregional and intercity transport in haze formation in Wuhan.     

广义极值分布在重庆短历时极值降水中的应用

利用广义极值分布函数拟合1981—2016年重庆34个国家气象站短历时(1、3、6、12 h)极值降水序列,对拟合结果进行显著性水平检验,并给出不同重现期极值降水的空间分布。结果表明:广义极值分布函数能较好地拟合重庆地区的短历时极值降水。随着降水历时的延长,服从Weibull分布(Frechet分布)的站点数逐渐减少(增加)。各短历时不同重现期降水的空间分布具体表现为10 a以下及20 a以上基本相似,位于长江沿线以北的重庆西北部地区降水量明显大于重庆长江沿线以南地区,且渝东南降水的相对大值区位于彭水地区。随着重现期的增加,降水中心更加集中,渝东北的大值中心随着历时的延长向北移动。广义极值分布函数的形状参数的绝对值接近或超出0.5时,计算的高重现期(大于样本长度)极值降水存在较大偏差;当不同历时降水拟合的形状参数值具有明显差异时,高重现期降水可能出现与客观规律相悖的现象。     

利用GABLS2客观评估GRAPES的边界层参数化方案

根据GABLS(Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment Atmospheric Boundary Layer Study)的第2个个例在GRAPES(Global and Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System)单柱模式中构造了一个试验,用于检验规定的下垫面温度强迫条件下边界层过程的昼夜循环模拟能力。然后,将模拟结果与观测和大涡模拟结果进行了比较。结果表明,在规定的下垫面温度强迫下,GRAPES模拟的2m温度基本合理。然而,对于稳定条件(夜间),GRAPES模拟的向下的感热通量比观测的大,过估10m风速和摩擦速度,过估稳定边界层高度;对于不稳定条件(白天),GRAPES模拟的向上的感热通量比观测的小,低估不稳定边界层高度,低层位温偏冷。随后的敏感试验表明,减小边界层方案中的动量和热量的背景扩散值后,GRAPES模拟的稳定条件下的10m风速和摩擦速度,以及对流边界层的风和温度的廓线更接近大涡模拟。     

银额盆地侏罗纪孢粉植物群的发现及其地层时代意义——以蒙额地1井为例

由于露头资料缺乏,银额盆地生物地层研究一直较为薄弱,钻井的地层时代划分及主要油气产层时代归属存在较大争议.为了厘清银额盆地钻井所揭示的油气产层的地层时代,本研究对位于盆地西部乌珠尔坳陷的蒙额地1井下部岩芯样品开展了孢粉学研究工作.根据孢粉类群及其含量的变化,划分了2个孢粉组合:Osmundacidites-Deltoidospora-nonstriate bisaccate组合和Classopollis-Cyathidites-Quadraeculina组合.第一组合中裸子植物花粉和蕨类植物孢子含量相当,裸子植物花粉中无肋纹的双气囊花粉出现最为频繁,且多样性较高,并零星出现有具肋纹双气囊花粉,蕨类植物孢子以Osmundacidites为主,其他常见类群包括Lycopodiumsporites、Deltoidospora、Neoraistrickia等,均为我国侏罗纪常见属种,孢粉组合指示的地层时代为早侏罗世晚期,也可能下延至早侏罗世中期,气候温暖湿润;第二组合以Classopollis的高含量为特征,Quadraeculina和Cyathidites较第一组合含量增加,且未出现任何白垩纪的特征分子,反映了中侏罗世晚期的孢粉组合特征,气候由上述的温暖湿润转变为炎热干旱.根据本文的孢粉组合特征,原依据叶肢介化石定为上二叠统的地层宜重新厘定为中下侏罗统.同时,厘定的侏罗系在整个中国北方具有良好的可对比性,共同显示由早中侏罗世温暖潮湿的气候环境与含煤岩系向晚侏罗世酷热干旱环境与戈壁沙漠沉积体系的演化规律.     

A novel agent-based model for tsunami evacuation simulation and risk assessment

Tsunami evacuation is an effective way to save lives from the near-field tsunami. Realistic evacuation simulation can provide valuable information for accurate evacuation risk assessment and effective evacuation planning. Agent-based modeling is ideal for tsunami evacuation simulation due to its capability of capturing the emergent phenomena and modeling the individual-level interactions among agents and the agents’ interactions with the environment. However, existing models usually neglect or simplify some important factors and/or mechanisms in tsunami evacuation. For example, uncertainties in seismic damages to the transportation network are not probabilistically considered (e.g., by simply removing the damaged links (roads/bridges) from the network). Typically a relatively small population (i.e., evacuees) is considered (due to computational challenges) while neglecting population mobility. These simplifications may lead to inaccurate estimation of evacuation risk. Usually, only single traffic mode (e.g., on foot or by car) is considered, while pedestrian speed adjustment and multi-modal evacuation (e.g., on foot and by car) are not considered concurrently. Also, pedestrian–vehicle interaction is usually neglected in the multi-modal evacuation. To address the above limitations, this study proposes a novel and more realistic agent-based tsunami evacuation model for tsunami evacuation simulation and risk assessment. Uncertainties in seismic damages to all links in the transportation network as well as uncertainties in other evacuation parameters are explicitly modeled and considered. A novel and more realistic multi-modal evacuation model is proposed that explicitly considers the pedestrian–vehicle interaction, walking speed variability, and speed adjustment for both the pedestrian and car according to traffic density. In addition, several different population sizes are used to model population mobility and its impact on tsunami evacuation risk. The proposed model is applied within a simulation-based framework to assess the tsunami evacuation risk assessment for Seaside, Oregon.

     

疏勒河源区水化学特征及其控制因素分析

以疏勒河源区为研究区,自2018年12月至2019年11月分别采集河水、泉水和雪样样品44个、4个和7个,综合运用Piper三线图、Gibbs图、离子比值法定性分析不同水体水化学特征及控制因素,利用质量平衡法（正向地球化学模型）量化不同来源对不同季节河水水化学成分的贡献率。结果表明：疏勒河源区不同水体水化学特征存在差异,TDS含量为泉水>河水>冰川融水>雪水,河水水化学类型冬季为HCO₃^--Mg²⁺?Ca²⁺型,春季为HCO₃^--Ca²⁺?Mg²⁺?Na⁺型,夏、秋季均为HCO₃^--Ca²⁺?Mg²⁺型,泉水和雪水分别为HCO₃^--Ca²⁺?Mg²⁺型、HCO₃^--Ca²⁺型;受多种因素共同影响,不同季节河水主离子时空变化均存在差异;河水和泉水水化学组成受岩石风化作用控制,主离子来源于以白云石为主的碳酸盐岩风化、硅酸盐岩风化和盐岩、石膏、硫酸盐矿物等蒸发岩溶解;正向地球化学模型计算结果表明冬春季河水阳离子主要来源于硅酸盐岩风化溶解,夏秋季碳酸盐岩对河水阳离子贡献率大于硅酸盐岩,总体河水阳离子主要来源于碳酸盐岩和硅酸盐岩风化。     

承德杏仁产区关键带基岩-土壤-作物果实BRSPC系统元素迁聚特征

特色经济作物品质与生态地球化学条件密切相关,查明山区地球关键带基岩-风化壳-土壤-作物BRSPC系统元素迁移富集规律,对农业种植布局优化具有重要意义.选取承德冀北山区仁用杏产区为研究区,结合多元统计分析采用多种化学风化指数、元素化学损耗分数CDF、质量迁移系数法、生物富集系数BCF法分碎屑岩建造区和火山岩建造区定量评价BRSPC体系中元素迁聚特征.结果表明:研究区土壤TK和TFe₂O₃含量丰富,Se元素含量适量,Cu和Ge含量中等-较丰富,TP、S和B元素含量较缺乏.区内基岩-土壤总体处于初等化学风化阶段,火山岩建造区土壤风化程度总体高于碎屑岩区.土壤S、B、Se、Ti、MgO和Fe₂O₃含量在基岩风化过程相对富集,基岩风化过程中Se、S、B、Ni和V为质量迁移强活动元素.全区85.71%的杏果肉样品Se含量达到富硒标准,25%杏仁达到含硒-富硒标准;碎屑岩区杏果实Se含量高于火山岩区.基岩风化过程中的元素富集亏损特征与土壤-作物吸收过程中的元素迁聚密切相关,BRSPC系统元素传导具有较好的继承性.土壤Cu、Zn、TP、Se、B、CaO和TFe₂O₃含量是制约研究区杏果实品质的主要地化因素,火山岩基岩风化过程中Cu和Zn元素淋滤流失程度大于碎屑岩区,碎屑岩区土壤TP、Se、B、CaO和TFe₂O₃含量高于火山岩建造区,相对更适宜于仁用杏种植.      

高盐强酸性地下水中复合苯系污染物原位芬顿氧化实验研究

在原位氧化过程中,实际场地地下水和含水介质的物化特征是影响氧化效果的重要因素,而目前对此影响的研究较少。以某场地实际高盐强酸性复合苯系污染地下水为研究对象,以地下水中2-硝基-4-甲氧基苯胺(2-nitro-4-methoxyaniline,2-N)和3-硝基-4-甲氧基苯胺(3-nitro-4-methoxyaniline,3-N)为特征污染物,探究芬顿(Fenton)试剂原位氧化特征,并研究液相环境因素(初始H2O2浓度、初始Fe2+浓度、初始pH值、初始醋酸(Acetic acid,HAc)浓度、初始SO4^2-浓度)以及含水层介质对Fenton法去除2-N和3-N的影响。结果显示:(1)Fenton法去除2-N和3-N效果显著,且在初始液相条件为c(H2O2)=7 mmol/L、c(Fe²⁺)=4 mmol/L、pH=4、c(HAc)=0 mg/L和c(SO4^2-)=0 mmol/L时去除效果最佳;(2)各因素对Fenton法氧化2-N和3-N的影响不同,加入H₂O₂和Fe²⁺使2-N和3-N去除率上升,增大HAc浓度使2-N和3-N去除率下降;(3)含水层介质对2-N和3-N具有一定吸附性,且对3-N的吸附性强于2-N,二者在本实验中最大吸附态占比分别为29%和42%,而吸附态的存在会抑制Fenton法对2-N和3-N的去除;(4)矿物分析结果显示介质含有少量黄铁矿,在硫酸环境下,介质腐蚀溶解释放Fe²⁺,在达到一定浓度后,无需额外添加Fe²⁺即可完成Fenton反应进而去除2-N和3-N。     

环介导等温扩增联合横向流动试纸条快速检测扁浒苔(Ulva compressa)的研究

本研究将环介导等温扩增技术(loop-mediated isothermal amplification,LAMP)与横向流动试纸条(lateral flow dipstick,LFD)的可视化检测方法结合,建立了扁浒苔(Ulva compressa)的LAMPLFD快速检测技术。该方法以扁浒苔的内转录间隔区(ITS1-5.8S-ITS2)序列为检测靶标,设计了3对特异性引物(其中,上游内引物由生物素标记)和1条异硫氰酸荧光素标记的探针。结果表明,LAMP最适反应温度为63°C,扩增时间为60 min,从核酸扩增到LFD结果判读需70 min。利用LAMP-LFD可特异性检出扁浒苔,对浒苔、曲浒苔、缘管浒苔和孔石莼等石莼属绿藻以及塔玛亚历山大藻、无纹环沟藻、东海原甲藻、锥状斯克里普藻和赤潮异弯藻等常见微藻的检测结果为阴性。该方法最低可检测到0.1 pg的扁浒苔基因组DNA,是以Uco ITS-F3和Uco ITS-B3为特异性引物的PCR方法的100倍。对实际样品的检测结果表明,LAMP-LFD方法检测扁浒苔与传统的形态学观察的结果一致。因此,该方法可快速、特异地检测出扁浒苔,而且操作简单,仪器设备依赖性低,有潜力成为扁浒苔现场检测的常规技术手段。     

Change in Extreme Climate Events over China Based on CMIP5

The changes in a selection of extreme climate indices(maximum of daily maximum temperature(TXx),minimum of daily minimum temperature(TNn),annual total precipitation when the daily precipitation exceeds the 95th percentile of wet-day precipitation(very wet days,R95p),and the maximum number of consecutive days with less than 1 mm of precipitation(consecutive dry days,CDD))were projected using multi-model results from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in the early,middle,and latter parts of the 21st century under different Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)emissions scenarios.The results suggest that TXx and TNn will increase in the future and,moreover,the increases of TNn under all RCPs are larger than those of TXx.R95p is projected to increase and CDD to decrease significantly.The changes in TXx,TNn,R95p,and CDD in eight sub-regions of China are different in the three periods of the 21st century,and the ranges of change for the four indices under the higher emissions scenario are projected to be larger than those under the lower emissions scenario.The multi-model simulations show remarkable consistency in their projection of the extreme temperature indices,but poor consistency with respect to the extreme precipitation indices.More substantial inconsistency is found in those regions where high and low temperatures are likely to happen for TXx and TNn,respectively.For extreme precipitation events(R95p),greater uncertainty appears in most of the southern regions,while for drought events(CDD)it appears in the basins of Xinjiang.The uncertainty in the future changes of the extreme climate indices increases with the increasing severity of the emissions scenario.