基于LMDI的中国特大城市能耗变化量的分解分析（英文）

特大城市的能耗在全国能源系统中扮演着极其重要角色,但其能耗已从生产领域转向城市功能和自身发展方面。因此,本文利用迪氏对数指标分解法对1996-2012年间32个特大城市的能耗变化做因素分解分析,综合考虑城市经济增长、人口规模扩大和空间扩张三方面因素的基础上选取5项指标,计算其对城市能耗的贡献率,分析共性与差异,以更有针对性的开展城市能源管理和节能减排工作。     

The role of organochlorines in cancer-associated mortality in California sea lions (Zalophus californianus)

Wild California sea lions (Zalophus californianus) have an unusually high prevalence of neoplasms (18% of stranded dead adults) and high levels of contaminants. The contribution of organochlorine (OC) tissue burdens to the probability of sea lions dying from carcinoma was explored using a logistic regression model. Levels of PCBs and DDTs were determined in blubber of sea lions diagnosed with metastatic carcinoma and animals that had died from non-carcinoma-related incidents (e.g., gunshot, domoic acid poisoning). Animals with carcinoma had higher mean concentrations (based on wet weight) of PCBs and DDTs (more than 85% and 30% higher, respectively) in blubber than did sea lions without carcinoma; the highest concentrations of OCs in the sea lions affected with carcinoma were measured in the males. Blubber thickness was significantly different between the two groups of sea lions, but after controlling for this difference, there was still a significant effect of PCBs, but not DDTs, on the probability of sea lions dying with carcinoma. Age, sex, mass and length did not affect the probability of dying from carcinoma.     

Influence of a Brazilian sewage outfall on the toxicity and contamination of adjacent sediments

The submarine sewage outfall of Santos (SSOS) is situated in the Santos Bay (São Paulo, Brazil) and is potentially a significant source of contaminants to the adjacent marine ecosystem. The present study aimed to assess the influence of SSOS on the sediment toxicity and contamination at Santos Bay. At the disposal site, sediments tended to be finer, organically richer and exhibited higher levels of surfactants and metals, sometimes exceeding the “Threshold Effect Level” values. The SSOS influence was more evident toward the East, where the sediments exhibited higher levels of TOC, total S and metals during the summer 2000 sampling campaign. Sediment toxicity to amphipods was consistently detected in four of the five stations studied. Amphipod survival tended to correlate negatively to Hg, total N and % mud. This work provides evidence that the SSOS discharge affects the quality of sediments from Santos Bay, and that control procedures are warranted.     

Determination of specific yield for the Biscayne Aquifer with a canal-drawdown test

Data from a large-scale canal-drawdown test were used to estimate the specific yield (sy) of the Biscayne Aquifer, an unconfined limestone aquifer in southeast Florida. The drawdown test involved dropping the water level in a canal by about 30 cm and monitoring the response of hydraulic head in the surrounding aquifer. Specific yield was determined by analyzing data from the unsteady portion of the drawdown test using an analytical stream-aquifer interaction model (Zlotnik and Huang 1999). Specific yield values computed from drawdown at individual piezometers ranged from 0.050 to 0.57, most likely indicating heterogeneity of specific yield within the aquifer (small-scale variation in hydraulic conductivity may also have contributed to the differences in sy among piezometers). A value of 0.15 (our best estimate) was computed based on all drawdown data from all piezometers. We incorporated our best estimate of specific yield into a large-scale two-dimensional numerical MODFLOW-based ground water flow model and made predictions of head during a 183-day period at four wells located 337 to 2546 m from the canal. We found good agreement between observed and predicted heads, indicating our estimate of specific yield is representative of the large portion of the Biscayne Aquifer studied here. This work represents a practical and novel approach to the determination of a key hydrogeological parameter (the storage parameter needed for simulation and calculation of transient unconfined ground water flow), at a large spatial scale (a common scale for water resource modeling), for a highly transmissive limestone aquifer (in which execution of a traditional pump test would be impractical and would likely yield ambiguous results). Accurate estimates of specific yield and other hydrogeological parameters are critical for management of water supply, Everglades environmental restoration, flood control, and other issues related to the ground water hydrology of the Biscayne Aquifer.     

“十一五”环保投资将达1．3万

国家环保总局有关部门负责人在近召开的国际环境论坛上表示,根据“十一五”环保目标,按照“多还旧账,不欠新账”的原则, 初步测算,“十一五”期间,我国全社会环保投资预计达到1．3万亿元,约占同期GDP的1．4％-1．5％。不考虑价格折扣,比“十五”期间增加近6000亿元。这位负责人表示,我国政府高度重视环境保护,把环境保护作为一项基本国策。随着中国经济的不断发展,环保投入也逐步     

中国区域可持续发展状态及类型划分

可持续发展的内涵就是人口、资源和环境的相互协调 ,目的是谋求社会和经济的持续发展。区域作为可持续发展的载体 ,在实施可持续发展战略中占据重要地位 ,它具有明显的区域性、复杂性和相对性等特征。影响区域可持续发展的主要因素有经济发展状况、社会发展状况、资源环境状况和可持续发展能力 ,据此 ,本文建立了区域可持续发展状态评价指标体系 ,对中国 31个省市区的可持续发展状态进行了评价 ,按照评价结果 ,全国共分为 6种不同类型 ,并得出中国区域可持续发展状态大体呈从沿海→沿边→中部→中西部递减的结论     

Biot介质中P波与井孔的耦合

依据全频域的Ｂｉｏｔ理论，推导了在Ｂｉｏｔ的流体饱和孔隙介质中，平面Ｐ波垂直井轴入时与井孔相互作用所产生的井内声压场的解析表达式．通过数值计算，对井内声压场出现的共振响应进行了分析．重点研究在不同频率段渗透率对井内声压的影响及偏离井轴记录时声压的变化．结果表明，在井内测量地震波声压，全频域都有明显影响；测量大于５００ＨＺ的地震信号，检波器偏离井轴放置以及方位不同的影响不能忽略；渗透率变化对井内声压的影响程度最大不超过弹性固体情况（零渗透率）下相应声压的１／５．     

长江产业带能源资源合理开发与能源供需解决途径*

本文从长江产业带持续发展建设的要求出发,针对能源生产、消费和供需平衡存在的主要矛盾与问题,提出并论证了产业带未来能源资源的合理开发方向及规模、缓解能源运输矛盾的途径和上中下游能源开发方向与重点。     

基于无干扰原理的终端安全模型研究

终端是信息系统中所有安全风险的根源,借鉴无干扰信息流的思想,从终端的访问行为安全的角度提出一种无干扰的终端安全模型.模型以终端的访问行为为基本元素,详细讨论了访问行为安全应满足的条件,指出安全策略与隔离性是保障终端安全的根本,并在此基础上扩展到整个终端安全.     

上海市近期地面沉降形势与对策建议

１９９１￣１９９６年期间,上海中心城区年均沉降达１０．２ｍｍ,约为前２５年的２．５倍。外加海平面上升与上海地壳下沉,上海近期沉降加速形势引起了新闻媒介和市政府的高度重视。本文概述了上海近期地面沉降的面上和垂向分布特征。指出上海近期地面沉降加速是在浅部土层保持持续性压缩的基础上,第Ⅱ、Ⅲ含水层水位上升速率大大降低,第Ⅳ、Ⅴ含水层开采量大幅增加而地下水位下降速率加大及建筑工程大面积施工等多种因素所产生