A mass ratio limit for primordial black holes

We augment our scenario for the formation of astronomical objects from macroscopic superstrings by the assumption that the central matter keeps its identity in the fragmentation. From the condition that the angular momentum per mass squared of this matter should be less than the Kerr limit G/c, we obtain upper limits for the ratio of the mass of central black holes M(BH) to the mass M of the host object. This limit is M(BH)/M ≈ 0.001, and, expressed in observed quantities, approximately M(BH)/M ≈ σ²/(v · c) where σ is the r.m.s. velocity, v the rotational velocity and c the velocity of light. The valuesM(BH) agree with the observed behaviour both in order of magnitude and in the variation with velocity dispersion. (© 2003 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

The role of prior model calibration on predictions with ensemble Kalman filter

This paper, based on a real world case study (Limmat aquifer, Switzerland), compares inverse groundwater flow models calibrated with specified numbers of monitoring head locations. These models are updated in real time with the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and the prediction improvement is assessed in relation to the amount of monitoring locations used for calibration and updating. The prediction errors of the models calibrated in transient state are smaller if the amount of monitoring locations used for the calibration is larger. For highly dynamic groundwater flow systems a transient calibration is recommended as a model calibrated in steady state can lead to worse results than a noncalibrated model with a well-chosen uniform conductivity. The model predictions can be improved further with the assimilation of new measurement data from on-line sensors with the EnKF. Within all the studied models the reduction of 1-day hydraulic head prediction error (in terms of mean absolute error [MAE]) with EnKF lies between 31% (assimilation of head data from 5 locations) and 72% (assimilation of head data from 85 locations). The largest prediction improvements are expected for models that were calibrated with only a limited amount of historical information. It is worthwhile to update the model even with few monitoring locations as it seems that the error reduction with EnKF decreases exponentially with the amount of monitoring locations used. These results prove the feasibility of data assimilation with EnKF also for a real world case and show that improved predictions of groundwater levels can be obtained.     

La forme rotationnelle des équations de la dynamique atmosphérique et les invariants du mouvement de l'air

Résumé Après avoir rappelé quelques notions de calcul tensoriel et les équations de la dynamique atmosphérique en coordonnées généralisées, l'auteur établit l'équation fondamentale de la rotationnelle absolue de l'air. Diverses formes de cette équation sont mentionnées. La première de ces formes est celle d'un bilan qui permet de définir le transport et le taux de production de la rotationnelle absolue de l'air. De la forme particulière de ce transport, il résulte que ce bilan se réduit à un bilan dans un espace à deux dimensions. Deux exemples illustrent les formules générales, le premier, en coordonnées sphériques (, ,r), le second, en coordonnées (, , ) où est un scalaire quelconque (pression atmosphérique, température potentielle, ...). Une autre forme de l'équation fondamentale est celle qui donne le taux d'accroissement individuel d'une composante de la rotationnelle absolue. Cette forme conduit à l'équation d'Ertel. En terminant, l'auteur généralise l'invariant d'Ertel-Rossby.

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Summary Having recalled some results of the tensor analysis and the equations of atmospheric motion in general coordinates, the writer establishes the fundamental equation of the absolute vorticity. Different forms of this equation are mentioned. One of these is the equation of balance from which it is possible to deduce the definition of transport and production of vorticity. It is shown that the equation of balance of the absolute vorticity may be reduced to an equation of balance in two-dimensional space. Two examples illustrate the general equations and formulas: the first example, in spherical coordinates (, ,r), the second one in the coordinates (, , ) where is an arbitrary single-valued scalar quantity (pressure, potentiel temperature, ...). Another form of the absolute vorticity equation expresses the individual change of an arbitrary component of the absolute vorticity. This form leads toErtel's equation. Finally, the writer generalizes theErtel-Rossby invariant.

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Zusammenfassung Nach einer Rekapitulation einiger Resultate der Tensorrechnung und der atmosphärischen Bewegungsgleichungen in generalisierten Koordinaten wird die absolute Wirbelgleichung aufgestellt und es werden verschiedene Formen dieser Gleichung erwähnt. Eine derselben ist die Bilanzformel, aus der die Definition des Wirbeltransports und der Anteil der Wirbelbildung abgeleitet werden können. Es wird gezeigt, daß die Bilanzgleichung des absoluten Wirbels auf eine Bilanzgleichung im zweidimensionalen Raum reduziert werden kann. Die allgemeinen Formeln werden durch zwei Beispiele erläutert: das erste in Kugelkoordinaten (, ,r), das zweite in den Koordinaten (, , ), wo eine beliebige skalare Größe (luftdruck, potentielle Temperatur usw.) darstellt. Eine andere Form der absoluten Wirbelgleichung gibt die individuelle Zunahme einer beliebigen Komponente der absoluten Wirbelstärke wieder; diese Form führt zurErtelschen Gleichung. Zum Schlusse wird dieErtel-Rossbysche Invariante verallgemeinert.

     

Wrench faults,pull-apart basins,and volcanism in central Oregon: A new tectonic model based on image interpretation

A tectonic study of the Newberry Crater region of central Oregon has been based on the interpretation of Landsat Thematic Mapper imagery. Two major faults, the Brothers-Tumalo and Eugene-Denio Faults, pass NW-SE through the region and step to the right at the eastern margin of the Cascades Range. Dextral wrench faulting on these structures during the Tertiary controlled the formation of the La Pine Basin, a pull-apart structure containing Tertiary and Quaternary sediments and volcanics. Tertiary wrench faulting appears to have been associated with rotations of crustal blocks at a plate margin, but was superseded in the Quaternary by extensional faulting of the Basin and Range province. Newberry Crater and other major bimodal volcanic centres in the NW Cordillera (Crater Lake, Medicine Lake, Mt. St. Helens) seem to have a similar tectonic setting in crustal pull-aparts. A relationship between magma type and fault trend at Newberry and Medicine Lake is suggested.     

Meteorological excitation of the annual polar motion

Summary. Numerous studies have indicated that the annual term in the polar motion cannot be explained in any detail by meteorological/hydrological excitation and no reasonable alternative excitations have been put forward. Part of the problem has been that the hydrostatic adjustment of the oceans to the atmospheric pressure changes has traditionally been computed using the inverse barometer approach. This approach does not properly model the gravitational interaction between the atmosphere and oceans, and the inverse barometer theory is modified in this paper to account for this properly. The information necessary to compute the ocean tide and polar excitation caused by any change in the atmospheric pressure pattern is presented. The results of the application of this theory to two global atmospheric pressure data sets are examined and compared to results of other workers.
It is concluded that the atmosphere is observed well enough to answer the question of the annual excitation of polar motion and it is argued that the ground water excitation is the component with the largest error and remains the chief obstacle to the successful solution of this problem.