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11.
本文考虑高度非线性的大气中期运动是一种准涡旋运动,引用了准涡旋观点和方法来处理二维无辐散和三维运动方程,即在开始时保留涡旋项,而在对方程进行纬圈平均后,去掉一些涡旋项,得到了某些大气运动特征如西风指数、纬向动量和涡度的经向输送的纬圈平均值等的变化或摆动的振动方程,并求出谐波解。振动周期决定于经向动能二倍的纬圈平均值的平方根(v~2)~(1/2)。基本周期约二十天左右。 所得结果可能对极端复杂的大气运动总有出现中期振动的趋势和精致设计的圆盘模拟实验出现摆动的事实,提供某种程度的动力学解释,同时也可能对中期预报的实践提供一些依据。 本文的主要科学目的,是想指出对极端复杂的大气中期过程还是可能用线性理论来研究其某些特征的。 相似文献
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A trophic model for the Danshuei River Estuary, a hypoxic estuary in northern Taiwan 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Lin HJ Shao KT Jan RQ Hsieh HL Chen CP Hsieh LY Hsiao YT 《Marine pollution bulletin》2007,54(11):1789-1800
The estuary of the Danshuei River, a hypoxic subtropical estuary, receives a high rate of untreated sewage effluent. The Ecopath with Ecosim software system was used to construct a mass-balanced trophic model for the estuary, and network analysis was used to characterize the structure and matter flow in the food web. The estuary model was comprised of 16 compartments, and the trophic levels varied from 1.0 for primary producers and detritus to 3.0 for carnivorous and piscivorous fishes. The large organic nutrient loading from the upper reaches has resulted in detritivory being more important than herbivory in the food web. The food-chain length of the estuary was relatively short when compared with other tropical/subtropical coastal systems. The shortness of food-chain length in the estuary could be attributed to the low biomass of the top predators. Consequently, the trophic efficiencies declined sharply for higher trophic levels due to low fractions of flows to the top predators and then high fractions to detritus. The low biomass of the top predators in the estuary was likely subject to over-exploitation and/or hypoxic water. Summation of individual rate measurements for primary production and respiration yielded an estimate of −1791 g WW m−2 year−1, or −95 g C m−2 year−1, suggesting a heterotrophic ecosystem, which implies that more organic matter was consumed than was produced in the estuary. 相似文献
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Development of an empirical model for rainfall-induced hillside vulnerability assessment: a case study on Chen-Yu-Lan watershed,Nantou, Taiwan 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Tsu-Chiang Lei Yi-Min Huang Bing-Jean Lee Meng-Hsun Hsieh Kuan-Ting Lin 《Natural Hazards》2014,74(2):341-373
In Taiwan, the hillside is about 70 % of total area. These areas also have steep topography and geological vulnerability. When an event of torrential rain comes during a typhoon, the landslide disasters usually occur at these areas due to the long duration and high intensity of rainfall. Therefore, a design which considers the potential landslide has become an important issue in Taiwan. In this study, a temporal characteristic of landslide fragility curve (LFC) was developed, based on the geomorphological and vegetation factors using landslides at the Chen-Yu-Lan watershed in Taiwan, during Typhoon Sinlaku (September 2008) and Typhoon Morakot (August 2009). This study addressed an effective landslide hazard assessment process, linking together the post-landslide damage and post-rainfall data for LFC model. The Kriging method was used to interpolate the rainfall indices (R 0, R, I) for numerical analysis. Remote sensing data from SPOT images were applied to analyze the landslide ratio and vegetation conditions. The 40-m digital elevation model was used for slope variation analysis in the watershed, and the maximum likelihood estimate was conducted to determine the mean and standard deviation parameters of the proposed empirical LFC model. This empirical model can express the probability of exceeding a damage state for a certain classification (or conditions) of landslides by considering a specific hazard index for a given event. Finally, the vulnerability functions can be used to assess the loss from landslides, and, in the future, to manage the risk of debris flow in the watershed. 相似文献
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The possibility of using a nonlinear empirical atmospheric model for hybrid coupled atmosphere-ocean modelling has been examined
by using a neural network (NN) model for predicting the contemporaneous wind stress field from the upper ocean state. Upper
ocean heat content (HC) from a 6-layer ocean model was a better predictor of the wind stress than the (observed or modelled)
sea surface temperature (SST). Our results showed that the NN model generally had slightly better skills in predicting the
contemporaneous wind stress than the linear regression (LR) model in the off-equatorial tropical Pacific and in the eastern
equatorial Pacific. When the wind stresses from the NN and LR models were used to drive the ocean model, slightly better SST
skills were found in the off-equatorial tropical Pacific and in the eastern equatorial Pacific when the NN winds were used
instead of the LR winds. Better skills for the model HC were found in the western and central equatorial Pacific when the
NN winds were used instead of the LR winds. Why NN failed to show more significant improvement over LR in the equatorial Pacific
for the wind stress and SST is probably because the relationship between the surface ocean and the atmosphere in the equatorial
Pacific over the seasonal time scale is almost linear.
Received: 2 March 1999 / Accepted: 13 July 2000 相似文献
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William W. Hsieh 《地球,A辑:动力气象学与海洋学》2001,53(5):599-615
Nonlinear principal component analysis (NLPCA) can be performed by a neural network model which nonlinearly generalizes the classical principal component analysis (PCA) method. The presence of local minima in the cost function renders the NLPCA somewhat unstable, as optimizations started from different initial parameters often converge to different minima. Regularization by adding weight penalty terms to the cost function is shown to improve the stability of the NLPCA. With the linear approach, there is a dichotomy between PCA and rotated PCA methods, as it is generally impossible to have a solution simultaneously (a) explaining maximum global variance of the data, and (b) approaching local data clusters. With the NLPCA, both objectives (a) and (b) can be attained together, thus the nonlinearity in NLPCA unifies the PCA and rotated PCA approaches. With a circular node at the network bottleneck, the NLPCA is able to extract periodic or wave modes. The Lorenz (1963) 3‐component chaotic system and the monthly tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures (1950–1999) are used to illustrated the NLPCA approach. 相似文献
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E. Carlsson A. Fedorov E. Budnik H. Gunell J.-A. Sauvaud Y. Futaana H. Andersson J.D. Winningham J.R. Sharber A.J. Coates D.O. Kataria H. Koskinen P. Riihelä J. Kozyra E. Roelof S. Livi K.C. Hsieh M. Grande J.-J. Thocaven S. Orsini M. Maggi P. Bochsler J. Woch K. Asamura 《Icarus》2006,182(2):320-328
Data from the Ion Mass Analyzer (IMA) sensor of the ASPERA-3 instrument suite on Mars Express have been analyzed to determine the mass composition of the escaping ion species at Mars. We have examined 77 different ion-beam events and we present the results in terms of flux ratios between the following ion species: CO+2/O+ and O+2/O+. The following ratios averaged over all events and energies were identified: CO+2/O+ = 0.2 and O+2/O+ = 0.9. The values measured are significantly higher, by a factor of 10 for O+2/O+, than a contemporary modeled ratio for the maximum fluxes which the martian ionosphere can supply. The most abundant ion species was found to be O+, followed by O+2 and CO+2. We estimate the loss of CO+2 to be by using the previous measurements of Phobos-2 in our calculations. The dependence of the ion ratios in relation to their energy ranges we studied, 0.3-3.0 keV, indicated that no clear correlation was found. 相似文献