H_2O Megamasers: Accretion Disks, Jet Interaction, Outflows or Massive Star Formation?

The 25 years following the serendipitous discovery of megamasers have seen tremendous progress in the study of luminous extragalactic H₂O emission. Single-dish monitoring and high-resolution interferometry have been used to identify sites of massive star formation, to study the interaction of nuclear jets with dense molecular gas and to investigate the circumnuclear environment of active galactic nuclei (AGN). Accretion disks with radii of 0.1–3 pc were mapped and masses of nuclear engines of order 10⁶–10⁸ M were determined. So far, 50 extragalactic H₂O maser sources have been detected, but few have been studied in detail.     

A stochastic model of earthquake occurrence and the accompanying horizontal land deformation

A large-scale earthquake is believed to be associated with a release of strain energy accumulated in the crust, probably by the motion of upper-mantle lithosphere. Such an earthquake mechanism is well simulated by a belt-conveyer model proposed by Utsu (1972). The probability of earthquake occurrence can be estimated on the assumption that the motion of a slider on the belt-conveyer is mathematically formulated as a Markov process.In the probabilistic expressions, the results of Mogi's (1962) rock-fracture experiments are applied to the hazard-rate function of earthquake occurrence. The hazard-rate function has two coefficients, A and B, to be determined by the experiments. It is concluded that, when B is small, a number of small-scale earthquakes occur in the early time after the accumulation of crustal strain energy starts, but that the accumulated strain energy changes catastrophically into a single large-scale earthquake, when B is large.     

Geodesy in Japan

T. Inoh was the first who completed a nation-wide map of Japan, in the beginning of the 19th century. He determined geodetic positions by distance and angle measurements and by astronomical observations. When Japan entered into its modern era, about 100 years ago, the Military Land Survey was established and has conducted geodetic work in Japan ever since until the end of World War II. A German surveying system belonging to Helmert's school was adopted. The Ministry of Education organized later the Geodetic Commission which promoted the geodetic activities in cooperation with the Military Land Survey. Comparison between the first and second nation-wide triangulation results obtained by the Geographical Survey Institute (GSI), the successor of the Military Land Survey, brought out marked horizontal land-deformations associated with a large earthquake. Repetitions of levelling survey also make it clear that vertical land-movements, well consistent with tide-gauge observation data, take place in association with earthquakes. The extensive subsidence in the Northeast Japan may be explained by assuming a sinking lithosphere, as is argued by the theory of plate tectonics. On the other hand, most local movements are closely correlated to pre-, co- and post-seismic land-deformations. The nation-wide gravity survey carried out by the GSI disclosed a complicated gravity distribution in Japan. Ship-borne gravimeters have now been extensively working at sea. One of the recent highlights of gravimetric work is the detection of secular gravity changes which are in accordance with the secular changes of levelling data. A portable absolute-gravity measuring instrument was constructed by the Earthquake Research Institute although it is still in a testing stage. Much advance has been made in the astrogeodetic observation devices since 1950's.     

Evaluation of groundwater resources in wide inundation areas of the Mekong River basin

Severe floods can have disastrous impacts and cause wide ranging destruction in the Mekong River basin. At the same time groundwater resources are significantly influenced and extensively recharged by flood water in inundation areas of the basin. This study determines the variation of groundwater resources caused by flooding over inundated areas located in lower part of the Mekong River basin using numerical modeling and field observations. The inundation calculations have been evaluated using satellite image outputs. Comparing large, medium and small flood events, we conclude that flood control which reduces the area of inundation, results in a reduction of groundwater resources in the area. In 1993, a 19% reduction in inundation areas resulted in a 31% reduction in groundwater storage. In 1998, a 44% reduction in inundation areas led to a 42% reduction in groundwater storage. Thus, while flood control activities are vital to reduce negative flood impacts in the Mekong River basin, they also negatively impact groundwater resources in the area.     

Probability of earthquake occurrence as obtained from a Weibull distribution analysis of crustal strain

Probability of a large-scale earthquake occurrence is estimated from crustal strain geodetically detected over an earthquake area. The Weibull distribution function, which is widely applied to quality-control research, is made use of in this paper in the probabilistic treatments of crustal strain.Using the table of ultimate strain presented by Rikitake (1974), a Weibull model representing a statistical distribution of crustal-rupture occurrence time is determined on the assumption that the crust is strained with a constant speed. In the case of the South Kanto District, the associated probability-density function has a maximum at about 84 years after the time when the strain energy accumulation starts.