分析了2005年6月1日至11月31日以T213分析场为背景场和以AVN（Aviation）分析场为背景场条件下AREM（Advanced Regional Eta Model）模式降水预报效果,并对两分析场计算日平均偏差和均方根标准差,分析偏差分布、总结两者之间的差别。结果表明：AREM模式在其他条件完全相同,分别使用两种分析场做背景场条件下,出现了降水预报效果的较明显差异,总体上以AVN分析场为背景场条件下AREM模式的预报效果好于以T213分析场为背景场;对两分析场进行统计学对比,发现两分析场在高度、温度和相对湿度3个要素上存在较大的差异,两分析场在新疆北侧的西伯利亚、内蒙古东北部及俄罗斯东南部区域、孟加拉湾、青藏高原等地区存在较大偏差,而这些地区的天气系统对我国天气有重要的影响。 相似文献
The base level during the deposition of Jurassic in the Qiangtang Basin shows a complete cycle from rising to falling. The base level change is closely connected with tectonic evolution of the basin, especially connected with Bangonghu-Nujiang ocean evolution process in the formation and evolution of the basin. It is also affected by climate. The Jurassic strata correspond to a long-term base level cycle sequence. The sequence is in fact a non-complete symmetrical cycle, consisting of rising hemicycle and falling hemicycle. It can be divided into 6 intermediate-term base level cycle sequences, including 2 carbonate sequences, 3 mixture sedimentary sequences of carbonate and clastic rocks and one clastic sedimentary sequence. Depositional filling characteristics during base level change show that Bangonghu-Nujiang ocean spreads in Toarcian-Bajocian ages, and is at the height of spreading of Bangonghu-Nujiang ocean in Bathonian-Oxfordian ages. In that process, sea area became smaller because of the dry climate. Eventually, marine depositional filling is ended with the subduction and collision of Bangonghu-Nujiang ocean.
