嵌入式马尔科夫链的地质属性建模与应用

传统的地质统计学所形成的算法理论和方法(如克里格算法)过分依赖样品的数据,变异函数参数众多,给地质模拟造成很大困难。基于马尔科夫链的地质属性建模采用转移概率描述样品区域的各种参数变量,通过转移概率矩阵直接推导地质属性分布比例、平均长度,其简化了地质空间各向异性处理过程,克服了传统地质统计学中参数众多且复杂难以计算和地质体分布过程中存在不对称性等缺陷,使得整个地质属性建模的过程更简洁、清晰,容易理解,且建模的结果可以很好地反映地质体空间分布的复杂性。该文利用马尔科夫链对南京市河西地区的新近地质层进行了地质属性建模,实例应用表明,使用该模型进行地质属性建模可为进一步的数值模拟提供支持。     

科尔沁沙地2000-2008年农业生产技术效率研究——以通辽市各旗县为例

 基于数据包络分析方法对通辽市各旗县2000—2008年农业生产技术效率进行综合评价。结果表明:①通辽市农业生产技术效率整体上较低,但呈逐年上升的趋势。②通辽市各旗县农业生产技术效率的时空差异明显,霍林郭勒和开鲁县的农业生产技术效率表现为先降低后上升;库伦旗和科尔沁左翼中旗农业生产技术效率表现为持续上升;科尔沁左翼后旗、扎鲁特旗和奈曼旗的农业生产技术效率表现为随时间呈现一定波动性;各旗县中奈曼旗年均效率最高。③通辽市农业生产技术效率主要受投入冗余影响,各旗县均存在降水冗余,反映出当地农业生产投入的盲目性。降水的波动性和不确定性导致灌溉用水、耕地面积投入过多,进而影响了各旗县农业生产技术效率。不同旗县在不同年份的投入冗余有所差异,显示农民应对降水变动的措施也具有一定盲目性。建议针对气候的不确定性对农业生产的干扰展开研究,改进农业生产技术。     

New evidence for extreme and persistent terminal medieval drought in California’s Sierra Nevada

The level of Cliff Lake, a small, subalpine, moraine-dammed lake in California’s south central Sierra Nevada, was approximately 5 m lower than present for 50 years or more approximately 600 years ago, this determined by radiocarbon dating of wood recovered from a submerged tree stump found in the lake. This finding corresponds to commensurate data from throughout much of western North America, suggesting the duration and magnitude of terminal medieval megadrought was similar throughout the region. Ultimately this datum helps give credence to the perspective that though late Holocene climate in California was indeed variable, the effects of terminal Medieval megadrought was similar across both time and broad geographic expanse.     

城市加盖河涌综合属性的勘测技术

从加盖河涌综合属性的定义入手,着眼于各类属性的勘测技术(如管线勘测、雷达探测及QV探测等技术)的应用效果,阐述加盖河涌综合属性的勘测技术,分析其在河涌治理中的效果。     

利用MATLAB实现FY-3/MERSI地表温度反演及专题制图

我国新型自主研发的风云三号卫星MERSI(FY-3/MERSI)数据目前多见于试验研究,国家卫星气象中心(NSMC)发布的业务产品中尚缺乏地表温度(land surface temperature,LST)产品.为此,在分析FY-3/MERSI L1级数据HDF5格式及通道特点的基础上,采用Jiménez-Mu(n)oz和Sobrino普适性单通道地表温度反演算法,借助MATLAB编程,实现了直接利用MERSI数据进行250 m空间分辨率的LST反演与专题制图.详细介绍了LST反演算法的参数化流程,包括辐射定标、云检测处理以及地表比辐射率和大气水汽含量的估计等,并在反演LST的基础上,计算其他衍生指标,建立了FY-3/MERSI数据反演LST及制图流程.对上海市空间热环境监测分析的实验结果表明:该方法能根据设定范围对FY-3/MERSI L1数据进行快速、实时和自动处理,适用于业务化产品制作与共享,节省人力资源;形式丰富的MERSI专题制图产品可更直观、精细地揭示出上海城市热场空间格局与热岛效应特征.     

基于用户偏好的多维地理信息服务质量评价模型

为了解决目前地理信息服务质量量化评价的问题,构建了一种基于用户偏好的多维地理信息服务质量评价模型。扩展通用服务质量属性,构建了多维地理信息服务质量模型;在多维地理信息服务质量模型的基础上加入用户偏好,构建了基于用户偏好的多维地理信息服务质量评价模型;实现了基于用户偏好的QoS权重计算,并给出了服务QoS综合值的计算方法。最后给出了基于用户偏好的多维地理信息服务质量评价实例。     

网格地理信息服务生命周期管理研究

为了实现网格地理信息服务系统中服务资源的高效享用和可控管理,研究网格地理信息服务生命周期管理问题。从服务资源自身的生命周期、服务资源在注册中心中的生命周期和服务资源在虚拟组织中的生命周期三方面出发研究服务资源的生命周期管理问题。最后研究基于盟主的虚拟组织生命周期管理问题。     

关中东部暴雨灾害风险区划研究

利用关中东部11个气象站1961—2007年的逐日降水资料、同期暴雨洪涝灾害和经济发展资料,在ARCGIS平台上,从暴雨的孕灾环境敏感性、致灾因子危险性、承灾体易损性、防灾减灾能力等4方面综合分析,形成关中东部暴雨风险灾害区划。结果表明：关中东部孕灾环境的高敏感区主要在秦岭北部渭河支流较多的二华地区和沿黄河的韩城市;韩城和潼关的雨涝致灾危险性最高,蒲城、大荔致灾危险性相对较小;临渭区为高易损区;关中东部的临渭区、大荔、韩城对暴雨灾害防灾减灾能力最强,其次为蒲城和华县。暴雨洪灾的高风险区在韩城和潼关。暴雨灾害风险区面积相对较小,防灾减灾相对较强,暴雨致灾危险性范围小,但受地形和地貌影响,孕灾环境敏感性较高。     

Sinton crater, Mars: Evidence for impact into a plateau icefield and melting to produce valley networks at the Hesperian-Amazonian boundary

The majority of martian valley networks are found on Noachian-aged terrain and are attributed to be the result of a ‘warm and wet’ climate that prevailed early in Mars' history. Younger valleys have been identified, though these are largely interpreted to be the result of localized conditions associated with the melting of ice from endogenic heat sources. Sinton crater, a 60 km diameter impact basin in the Deuteronilus Mensae region of the dichotomy boundary, is characterized by small anastomosing valley networks that are located radial to the crater rim. Large scale deposits, interpreted to be the remains of debris covered glaciers, have been identified in the area surrounding Sinton, and our observations have revealed the occurrence of an ice rich fill deposit within the crater itself. We have conducted a detailed investigated into the Sinton valley networks with all the available remote data sets and have dated their formation to the Amazonian/Hesperian boundary. The spatial and temporal association between Sinton crater and the valley networks suggest that the impact was responsible for their formation. We find that the energy provided by an asteroid impact into surficial deposits of snow/ice is sufficient to generate the required volumes of melt water needed for the valley formation. We therefore interpret these valleys to represent a distinct class of martian valley networks. This example demonstrates the potential for impacts to cause the onset of fluvial erosion on Mars. Our results also suggest that periods of glacial activity occurred throughout the Amazonian and into the Hesperian in association with variations in spin orbital parameters.     

Optimizing point-source parameters for scanning satellite surveys

We describe a method for deriving the position and flux of point and compact sources observed by a scanning survey mission. Results from data simulated to test our method are presented, which demonstrate that at least a 10-fold improvement is achievable over that of extracting the image parameters, position and flux, from the equivalent data in the form of pixel maps. Our method achieves this improvement by analysing the original scan data and performing a combined, iterative solution for the image parameters. This approach allows for a full and detailed account of the point-spread function (PSF), or beam profile, of the instrument. Additionally, the positional information from different frequency channels may be combined to provide the flux-detection accuracy at each frequency for the same sky position. Ultimately, a final check and correction of the geometric calibration of the instrument may also be included. The Planck mission was used as the basis for our simulations, but our method will be beneficial for most scanning satellite missions, especially those with non-circularly symmetric PSFs.