China has Successfully Realized Large-Scale Industrial Production of Coal-to-Oil

<正>Statistics have shown that the world’s proven recoverable coal reserves are 984.211 billion tons,including 246.643 billion tons in the USA,157.01 billion tons in Russia,114.5 billion tons in China,90.4 billion tons in Australia,74.733 billion tons in India,67 billion tons in Germany,55.333 billion tons in South Africa,34.356 billion tons in Ukraine,34 billion tons in Kazakhstan,14.309 billion tons in Poland and 11.950     

Super-Large Manganese Deposits Have Been Discovered at Pujue and Taoziping, Songtao County in Guizhou Province

<正>In 2016,the Geological Brigade No.103 of Guizhou Geology and Mineral Exploration and Development Bureau discovered two super-large manganese deposits at Pujue and Taoziping,in Songtao County,Guizhou Province(Fig.1).The Pujue manganese deposit has191.59 million tons of proven(332+333)class ore reserves,including 35.54 million tons of 332 class and     

迤纳厂矿床：一个“白云鄂博式”铁铜稀土矿床

云南武定迤纳厂铁铜稀土矿床是滇中地区具有代表性的元古宙铁铜稀土矿床之一。矿床中除了铁、铜资源外,还伴生有稀土、稀有(铌)、钇、钼、钴等组分。研究表明：稀土元素含量在条纹条带状矿石和脉状矿石中均较高,ΣREE含量分别高达(1 446.83~11 259.23)×10-6和(2 020.92~3 415.51)×10-6,尤其富集La、Ce等轻稀土元素;稀有(铌)元素主要富集在条纹条带状矿石中,含量高达(278.8~529.0)×10-6。由于矿床的矿物组成非常复杂,并且矿石中稀土、稀有(铌)矿物含量相对较少,矿物结晶粒度细小,用传统的测试技术和方法很难识别鉴定,因此矿床的矿物学特征,尤其是稀土、稀有(铌)矿物的赋存状态特征研究一直以来都较为棘手。论文应用矿物表征自动定量分析系统(AMICS),结合扫描电镜能谱仪(SEM-EDS)显微结构原位分析技术,完成了常规岩矿鉴定手段难以完成的矿物定量识别和鉴定,在矿石中发现了含量可观的氟碳钙铈矿、氟碳铈矿和少量的独居石、褐帘石、铌铁矿、褐钇铌矿、硅钍钇矿、含铌金红石等稀有稀土矿物。其中,氟碳铈矿、独居石、铌铁矿、褐钇铌矿等主要富集于条纹条带状矿石中,与铁氧化物、磷灰石、萤石、菱铁矿和早期黄铜矿、黄铁矿等紧密共生;氟碳钙铈矿、褐帘石、硅钍钇矿、含铌金红石等主要局部富集在脉状矿石中,与石英、方解石、绿泥石和晚期黄铜矿、黄铁矿等紧密共生。显然,在铁氧化物和铜硫化物成矿两个阶段均伴随有稀土成矿作用。结合前人的研究成果,笔者将主矿化期划分为铁氧化物磷灰石稀土成矿阶段(Ⅱ-1)和铜硫化物(金)稀土成矿阶段(Ⅱ-2)。其中,氟碳铈矿、独居石、铌铁矿、褐钇铌矿等主要形成于Ⅱ-1阶段,其成矿作用可能与Columbia超大陆裂谷化裂解有关;氟碳钙铈矿、褐帘石、硅钍钇矿、(含铌)金红石等则主要形成于Ⅱ-2阶段,其成矿作用可能与Rodinia超大陆裂解有关。对比研究发现,云南武定迤纳厂铁铜稀土矿床与白云鄂博超大型铌铁稀土矿床在大地构造背景、成矿元素组合、赋矿岩系、矿物组成、成矿时代、稀土来源等方面均有可对比性,初步确定云南武定迤纳厂铁铜稀土矿床是一个“白云鄂博式”矿床。     

基于土壤墒情抗差的降雨径流预报模型——设计与实验流域应用

本文旨在将实时监测得到的土壤墒情转化为流域水文模型可以直接使用的土壤含水量,论证将实时土壤墒情资料用于实时预报的可行性;利用实时监测土壤墒情,改进传统的模型结构,设计基于实测土壤墒情的降雨径流水文预报模型.采用土壤含水量误差抗差估计技术以抵御观测资料粗差的影响,提高系统的稳定性;并在此基础上提出了土壤含水量系统响应修正方法,以提高模型计算精度.将该模型应用于实验流域——宝盖洞流域进行应用检验,洪水模拟合格率达到92.3%,整体模拟精度达到甲级.     

Numerical Study on the Impacts of the Bogus Data Assimilation and Sea Spray Parameterization on Typhoon Ducts

The Weather Research and Forecasting model version 3.2 (WRF v3.2) was used with the bogus data assimilation (BDA) scheme and sea spray parameterization (SSP), and experiments were conducted to assess the impacts of the BDA and SSP on prediction of the typhoon ducting process induced by Typhoon Mindule (2004). The global positioning system (GPS) dropsonde observations were used for comparison. The results show that typhoon ducts are likely to form in every direction around the typhoon center, with the main type of ducts being elevated duct. With the BDA scheme included in the model initialization, the model has a better performance in predicting the existence, distribution, and strength of typhoon ducts. This improvement is attributed to the positive effect of the BDA scheme on the typhoon’s ambient boundary layer structure. Sea spray affects typhoon ducts mainly by changing the latent heat (LH) flux at the air-sea interface beyond 270 km from the typhoon center. The strength of the typhoon duct is enhanced when the boundary layer under this duct is cooled and moistened by the sea spray; otherwise, the typhoon duct is weakened. The sea spray induced changes in the air-sea sensible heat (SH) flux and LH flux are concentrated in the maximum wind speed area near the typhoon center, and the changes are significantly weakened with the increase of the radial range.     

黑河流域植被覆盖度计算及其影响的中尺度模拟

运用基于遥感的中国西北土地覆盖动态监测系统(NOAA AVHRR Processing Chain,NOAA-Chain)预处理系统对改进的甚高分辨率扫描辐射仪(AVHRR)影像资料进行处理得到的归一化植被指数(NDVI),基于像元二分原理得到2002年黑河流域植被覆盖度分布,将其与Gutman 1998年所作全球植被覆盖度数据在黑河流域范围进行了对比分析,发现2002年黑河流域中上游植被整体呈退化趋势,主要绿洲区植被覆盖度增大。分别将这两套植被覆盖度数据引入中尺度大气模式MM5中进行黑河流域中上游气候模拟。通过与气温观测值的比较,发现用黑河流域植被覆盖度数据模拟的气温偏差小于用全球植被覆盖度的模拟结果;植被分布与潜热通量分布的空间相关性最好;植被覆盖度变化对局地温度场变化影响很大。     

基于集合Kalman滤波数据同化与偏差修正的热带气旋强度集合预报研究

采用基于集合Kalman滤波数据同化和偏差修正方法的集合预报技术来研究热带气旋的强度预报问题.集合预报系统考虑初值误差和模式误差,利用MM5中尺度模式,采用Anthes-kuo、Grell和Betts-Miller等积云参数化方案和High-res-olution Blaekadar、Burlk-Thompson、MRF等边界层过程的9组不同的组合,分别进行45、60和75 min的短时预报.对9个预报结果采用"镜像法",得到18个集合成员.将蓝金涡旋作为同化的观测场,18个集合成员作为集合Kalman滤波的初始背景集合,采用ENSRF算法和逐点局地分析算法进行同化.同化后的结果作为集合预报的初值,预报过程对模式参数采用前述9种组合,进行72小时预报.通过求取偏差系数对预报结果进行修正,减小模式系统误差.选2003-2004年16个台风过程作为预报个例,讨论偏差修正前后对预报结果的影响.实验结果表明,基于集合Kalman滤波数据同化的热带气旋集合预报相对于非同化的集合预报对路径预报的改进效果优于强度预报.平均而言通过偏差修正,强度集合预报的潜力得到挖掘,绝对误差明显减小,通过偏差修正减小了强度集合预报均值的误差,进而使得预报概率密度函数均值向理论值靠近,从而提高了概率预报的精度和合理性,因此基于集合预报的偏差修正分析方法,是改善热带气旋强度预报水平的有效途径.     

NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS ON THE IMPACTS OF SEA SPRAY ON TROPICAL CYCLONES

The latest version of sea spray flux parameterization scheme developed by Andreas is coupled with the PSU/NCAR model MM5 in this paper. A western Pacific tropical cyclone named Nabi in 2005 is simulated using this coupled air-sea spray modeling system to study the impacts of sea spray evaporation on the evolution of tropical cyclones. The results demonstrate that sea spray can lead to a significant increase of heat fluxes in the air-sea interface, especially the latent heat flux, the maximum of which can increase by up to about 35% - 80% The latent heat flux seems to be more important than the sensible heat flux for the evolution of tropical cyclones. Regardless of whether sea spray fluxes have been considered, the model can always simulate the track of Nabi well, which seems to indicate that sea spray has little impact on the movement of tropical cyclones. However, with sea spray fluxes taken into account in the model, the intensity of a simulated tropical cyclone can have significant increase. Due to the enhancement of water vapor and heat from the sea surface to the air caused by sea spray, the warm core structure is better-defined, the minimum sea level pressure decreases and the vertical speed is stronger around the eye in the experiments, which is propitious to the development and evolution of tropical cyclones.     

2009年秋季南京地区一次持续性灰霾天气过程研究

2009年10月14—27日,南京地区发生了一次持续性的灰霾天气过程。利用气象观测资料和污染物浓度监测资料,结合焚烧点监测、后向气流轨迹模拟,分析了颗粒物和气态污染物的浓度演变特征、气象要素特征及产生持续灰霾天气的可能原因。研究表明,该次过程中绝大部分时间能见度低于10 km,空气污染指数最大时达到195。地面PM2.5质量浓度有显著增长,在26日达到最大值为0.782 mg/m3。NO2质量浓度日均值在24日和27日超过了环境空气质量二级标准,其含量分别为0.094和0.099 mg/m3,对应NOx质量浓度分别为0.105和0.108 mg/m3。SO2质量浓度在22日达到峰值,最大值为0.161 mg/m3,平均值为0.083 mg/m3,低于环境空气质量二级标准。分析显示:近半个月内南京地区天气形势稳定,处于持续温度偏高、干燥无雨的状态,非常有利于灰霾天气的发生。卫星监测发现24、25、26日江淮之间中部均有火点,其中24日有50个着火点,25日增加为85个,26日减少为38个,表明有秸秆焚烧现象存在。从后向气流轨迹分析来看,在秸秆焚烧最为严重的3 d内,南京地区主要受到来自东到东北方向气流的影响,有利于秸秆焚烧形成的污染物经气流输送影响南京,造成严重灰霾天气。     

位涡反演理论在台风领域中的应用研究进展

位涡作为一个综合反映流体动力学和热力学性质的物理量,受到气象学者的广泛关注,位涡反演理论逐渐成为台风研究的重要方法之一。在简要回顾近几十年来位涡反演理论研究进展的基础上,综述了位涡反演理论在台风领域中的应用进展情况,讨论了位涡反演理论应用时可能存在的问题,即位涡平均态求取、近地面摩擦作用以及位涡反演平衡条件等都可能影响反演效果,并对位涡反演理论的应用前景作了展望。