The Research of the Activity of the Piedmont Fault on the Tangshankou Segment of the Yuguang Basin Southern Marginal Fault

The Yuguang basin is a half-graben basin in the basin-range tectonic zone in northwest Beijing, located at the northern end of the Shanxi graben system, and the Yuguang basin southern marginal fault (YBSMF) controls the formation of this basin. A linear fault escarpment has formed in the proluvial fan on the piedmont fault zone of the Tangshankou segment of YBSMF. A trench across this escarpment reveals three paleo-earthquake events on two active faults. One fault ruptured at about 9ka for the first time, and then faulted again at about 7.3ka, causing the formation and synchronous activity of another fault. Finally, they faulted for the third time, but we cannot determine the faulting time due to the lack of relevant surface deposition. The accumulative vertical displacement of these three events is about 8.1m. We estimate that the average recurrence period of the piedmont fault is about 1.7ka, and the average slip rate of the piedmont fault is about 1.6mm/a. We also estimate the reference magnitude of each event according to the empirical formula.     

大跨桥梁结构损伤诊断与安全评估的多尺度有限元模拟研究

探讨了以结构损伤诊断与安全评估为目标的大跨桥梁结构多尺度有限元模拟的策略与方案。在有限元模型误差来源分析的基础上,提出了大跨桥梁结构模型误差的分层次修正方法。通过对润扬长江大桥斜拉桥的有限元建模和模型修正过程,提出了大跨斜拉桥结构以损伤诊断与安全评估为目标的多尺度有限元模拟方法。研究表明,大跨桥梁结构的多尺度有限元模拟必须建立在模型误差分析的基础上,并采用模型误差的分层次修正方法才能较好的满足多尺度有限元模拟的技术要求。     

利用ADSL modem的路由功能组建小型局域网

概述了琼中基准地震台利用ADSL modem的路由功能组建小型局域网的情况,这种局域网运行稳定,便于维护和管理,很适合地震台站的工作管理模式。     

长周期地震动三维有限元数值模拟方法

采用数值方法对长周期地震动进行模拟已成为当前强地面运动预测的研究方向之一。本文提出了一种有限元并行计算的高效地震动数值模拟方法,可以同时考虑震源、传播途径和场地条件对地震动的影响,并根据昆明地区未来可能发生的设定地震对昆明市的影响地震动进行了预测。这一方法可以应用于国内已探测的发震活断层进行地震危害性评价工作。     

安全射界图技术在人工影响天气指挥系统中的应用

为了进一步提高人工影响天气作业的安全性,利用雷达回波外推TREC、TITAN技术和安全射界图技术,生成人工影响天气预警产品、建议产品。利用雷达外推30min、60min产品与作业点最大射程的位置关系,输出作业预警产品。利用当前回波与作业点的位置关系,生成对空射击的仰角、方位角信息,利用安全射界技术进行筛选,生成实时、客观的作业建议产品,以此进行决策指挥,避免了人工决策安全射区可能出现的误差,达到了安全、高效作业的目的。     

几种降水集成预报方法的对比分析

采用多数表决集成法、评分权重集成法、多元回归集成法对承德市两来系统形成的降水进行晴雨和分级集成预报试验.结果表明:在每种单一的数值预报方法TS值均较高,总体预报质量相差不大的情况下,多数表决集中集成法可大幅度提高预报准确率;如果几种数值预报对于降水分级预报的预报准确率相差较大时,可采用评分权重集成法来提高总体预报质量;在样本足够的条件下,细化的预报结果多元回归集成法是晴雨预报和分级降水预报中比较可行的集成方法之一.     

揭阳市高温天气的气候背景特征及其成因

对1966～2006年揭阳市日极端最高气温大于等于35℃的高温天气进行统计分析,得出了高温灾害天气的气候特征,并概括出造成揭阳市高温灾害天气的成因以及环流形势.结果表明:揭阳市高温天气具有明显的时间变化,20世纪90年代以前是偏少期,1990～1997年为平均线附近平稳变化期,1998以来为明显偏多期,而且强度也是呈明显上升的趋势,这与全球气候变暖和城市热岛效应的大背景有密切的关系.同时也与区域大气环流异常有关,造成揭阳市高温天气的主要天气系统是西太平洋副热带高压和热带气旋西北气流的增温作用,前者容易造成持续性的高温天气,后者则容易造成极端最高气温.     

Zircon saturation model in silicate melts: a review and update

Zircon stability in silicate melts—which can be quantitatively constrained by laboratory measurements of zircon saturation—is important for understanding the evolution of magma. Although the original zircon saturation model proposed by Watson and Harrison (Earth Planet Sci Lett 64(2):295–304, 1983) is widely cited and has been updated recently, the three main models currently in use may generate large uncertainties due to extrapolation beyond their respective calibrated ranges. This paper reviews and updates zircon saturation models developed with temperature and compositional parameters. All available data on zircon saturation ranging in composition from mafic to silicic (and/or peralkaline to peraluminous) at temperatures from 750 to 1400 °C were collected to develop two refined models (1 and 2) that may be applied to the wider range of compositions. Model 1 is given by lnC_Zr(melt) = (14.297 ± 0.308) + (0.964 ± 0.066)·M − (11113 ± 374)/T, and model 2 given by lnC_Zr(melt) = (18.99 ± 0.423) − (1.069 ± 0.102)·lnG − (12288 ± 593)/T, where C_Zr(melt) is the Zr concentration of the melt in ppm and parameters M [= (Na + K + 2Ca)/(Al·Si)] (cation ratios) and G [= (3·Al₂O₃ + SiO₂)/(Na₂O + K₂O + CaO + MgO + FeO)] (molar proportions) represent the melt composition. The errors are at one sigma, and T is the temperature in Kelvin. Before applying these models to natural rocks, it is necessary to ensure that the zircon used to date is crystallized from the host magmatic rock. Assessment of the application of both new and old models to natural rocks suggests that model 1 may be the best for magmatic temperature estimates of metaluminous to peraluminous rocks and that model 2 may be the best for estimating magmatic temperatures of alkaline to peralkaline rocks.

     

基于图像法和激光法的山东半岛黄岛海滩沉积物粒度特征对比

以新型快速成像及处理技术为基础的动态图像法可为单个样品快速建立百万至上亿个颗粒的图像及粒度、粒形参数数据库,可直观表现天然沉积物的海量颗粒的大小和形状信息,但目前对其与激光法测试结果之间的异同尚缺乏深入理解。本文对采自山东半岛黄岛地区黄海沿岸3处海滩共190个样品进行动态图像粒度分析,通过等效投影面积径(等积径)计算均值粒径、分选系数、偏度、峰度等粒度参数,并与激光法测试结果进行对比。结果表明:1)现代海滩沉积物图像法统计粒径比激光法稍粗,但二者之间的差异较之细粒沉积物较多的类型(如冲洪积物)而言已经很小;2)现代海滩沉积物图像法粒度分析较之激光法分选更优,偏度和峰度均更小;3)图像法和激光法粒度分析结果在沉积环境判别中具有相近的功能,但图像法对沉积环境和动力条件的响应更为敏感。这些认识为动态图像粒度分析技术的应用推广和资料解释提供了新的理论与技术支持。     

Characteristics of Carbonate Reservoir and Its Forming Conditions in Continental Lake Basin of China

For decades of exploration, geologists have made great achievements in the exploration of lacustrine carbonate rocks. By dissecting four typical cases of lacustrine carbonate rocks, such as Lucaogou Formation of Permian in Junggar Basin, Da'anzhai Section of Jurassic in Sichuan Basin, Cretaceous in Yin'e Basin and Oligocene in Qaidam Basin, the reservoir characteristics, hydrocarbon generating capacity and reservoir forming model of source rocks were analyzed. The results show that: \mathrm{①} Lacustrine carbonate reservoirs are generally dense, with nano-micron reservoir space as the main reservoir space, including dolomite intergranular pore, organism cavity and accumulation pore, micro-fracture system and its corrosion expansion pore. Saline environment is beneficial to dolomitization and can improve the reservoir capacity of lacustrine carbonate rocks, but most of the permeability is less than 0.1 mD. \mathrm{②} Lacustrine carbonate rocks have not only reservoir capacity, but also can be used as source rocks. The abundance of organic matter is not high and the maturity is generally low. However, dispersed soluble organic matter in source rocks can generate and expel hydrocarbons in large quantities at low maturity stage, which has high liquid hydrocarbon yield. \mathrm{③} Oil and gas reservoirs are characterized by "high initial production, large reduction of production and long-term low and stable production", and are typical "fracture-pore" reservoirs. Fracture networks provide migration pathways in the process of primary migration and accumulation of oil and gas in geological history and oil and gas exploitation nowadays. \mathrm{④} Oil and gas reservoirs are "continuous" unconventional reservoirs, which often form regional oil and gas field groups together with conventional reservoirs in adjacent areas. The research results lay a theoretical foundation for re-evaluating the exploration potential of lacustrine carbonate rocks.