热带气旋气候数学模型的预报应用

使用西太平洋海温格点资料,选取若干个因子,组成多个复合因子,建立权重方程,使得单因子的相关系数信度检验0．05提高到复合因子的信度检验0．01,权重方程的信度检验提高到0．001。用权重方程产生的突变的高阶非线性预报方程,其Y与X的相关系数比1阶线性方程提高5％左右。自1999年至今,热带气旋年、月频数气候预测的模型投入到实际预报应用,其预报准确律达到75%～90％。使用非线性预报模型作了逐日气压、逐日雨量的气候预测。将沿海气压场、雨量场的气候预测结果用于分析、制作热带气旋登陆中国以及广东地区的时段、地段的气候预报,准确率达80％～90％。     

风云三号C星SEM高能粒子数据检验及应用

风云三号C星(FY-3C卫星)空间环境监测器(SEM)可监测轨道高度上的高能带电粒子(质子、电子和重离子)辐射环境及其引起的辐射剂量和表面充电等空间天气效应,是空间天气监测预警业务不可或缺的自主数据源之一。为验证FY-3C卫星高能粒子探测数据的有效性,需开展数据的定量检验工作。本文采用与同类卫星同类数据进行交叉比对的方式来进行检验。首先,根据一定的假设条件,对比对数据进行归一化处理,尽量消除不同卫星间观测时间、空间(星下点经、纬度和高度)、方向和能量范围等差异对高能粒子分布的影响,然后进行比对,最后计算比对数据间的相关系数、斜率和标准偏差等统计参数,并据此评价比对数据的一致性。通过空间天气平静期高能质子和高能电子与NOAA-18和FY-3B卫星数据的交叉比对可以看出,FY-3C卫星高能粒子数据与比对卫星数据具有较好的一致性。由于工作原理和技术指标相同,FY-3C与FY-3B卫星高能粒子数据的一致性更好,也证明了载荷技术状态的稳定性。通过对太阳质子事件和高能电子暴的观测实例证明,FY-3C卫星高能粒子数据能够准确地反映空间天气扰动事件的特征和强度。以上结果表明,FY-3C卫星高能粒子数据可信度较高,能够用于空间天气监测、预警以及研究工作。     

Stable isotopic compositions and controlling factors of precipitation and atmospheric vapour in the headwaters of the Shule River

Stable isotopic compositions of precipitation (δ¹⁸O_p, δ²H_p and d-excess_p) and atmospheric vapour (δ¹⁸O_v, δ²H_v and d-excess_v) with high spatial–temporal resolution are crucial in revealing hydrologic cycle. Based on the variation characteristics of δ¹⁸O_p/δ¹⁸O_v, δ²H_p/δ²H_v and d-excess_p/d-excess_v in the headwaters of the Shule River (HSR) on hourly and daily scales from June to September 2018, this study analysed the relationships between δ¹⁸O_p/δ²H_p and δ¹⁸O_v/δ²H_v combined with the equilibrium fractionation model, as well as δ¹⁸O_p/δ¹⁸O_v and meteorological factors. The slopes of local meteoric water line (LMWL) and the δ²H_v-δ¹⁸O_v fitting equation were similar (7.96 and 7.94) with both intercepts exceeding 10, reflecting the great contribution of recycling moisture. The values of δ¹⁸O_v/δ²H_v were lower than δ¹⁸O_p/δ²H_p but with consistent variation patterns throughout the period. The equilibrium simulation results suggested that precipitation and atmospheric vapour almost approached isotopic equilibrium state, especially during monsoon intrusion period. Affected by monsoon intrusion, the slopes and intercepts of the LMWLs and the δ²H_v-δ¹⁸O_v fitting equations were smaller than those during non-monsoon period and d-excess and δ¹⁸O were negatively correlated. Relative humidity had significant negative correlations with δ¹⁸O_p and δ¹⁸O_v in the whole period, however, the positive correlations between δ¹⁸O_p/δ¹⁸O_v and temperature were observed during non-monsoon and monsoon intrusion period, respectively. Our results demonstrated that precipitation and atmospheric vapour isotopic compositions exhibited consistency under the influence of diverse moisture sources, while more complex relationships were found between δ¹⁸O_p/δ¹⁸O_v and meteorological factors. This research provided evidence for using the isotopic compositions of atmospheric vapour to indicate moisture sources, and can improve understanding of the water cycle and eco-hydrological process from the perspective of the interaction between water and gas phases of the inland river basin in northwest China.     

数字化地形图地形原始数据的采集理论及方法

随着我国公路建设任务的日渐繁重,缩短勘测设计周期、提高工作效率变得尤为重要。在这一要求下,数字化地形图的直接应用就成为了一个重要的突破口。本文阐述了数字地形图原始地形数据的获取,着重论述了利用纸质地形图进行数字矢量化获取数据的方法,以此作为构建数字地形图的基础数据,以期为公路勘测设计提供帮助。     

基于LiDAR数据的城市道路提取与重建

本文借助于GIS强大的空间数据管理和分析功能,以Lidar点云数据为数据源,对交通信息系统基础空间数据进行快速采集和更新。文章并且在前人工作的基础上,提出了一种新的基于四维Hough变换的Lidar数据的提取和分类方法,对提取的道路信息进行重构。实践证明,此方法较之传统Lidar数据分类和提取方法,能够有效地解决其计算量过大、噪声过于敏感、道路边缘方向不平行等问题,实现道路的自动提取。     

山东招掖金矿带原生金矿化地球化学特征的数学地质研究

本文主要是应用数学地质方法研究山东招掖金矿带原生金矿化地球化学特征,从而确定金矿化的最佳地球化学标志组合,并建立原生金矿化模式及金矿体原生晕的判别模式.     

准噶尔盆地吉木萨尔凹陷二叠系芦草沟组优质烃源岩特征及其生烃机制研究

准噶尔盆地吉木萨尔凹陷芦草沟组发育凝灰物质,凝灰物质在页岩油形成过程中具有的重要作用,其发育层段也是页岩油分布最好的层段,凝灰物质的分布及与有机质生烃关系的研究对于吉木萨尔页岩油油气成藏规律的认识和深入研究具有重要意义。本文通过对吉木萨尔芦草沟组烃源岩精细评价及沉积环境分析,与烃类活动具有成因关系的成岩矿物解剖,探讨了形成优质页岩油源岩的控制因素和生烃机制。烃源岩定性评价结果表明,泥晶白云岩是吉木萨尔凹陷芦草沟组主要生油岩,烃源岩有机质丰度高,有机质类型以Ⅰ型和Ⅱ_1型为主,生烃潜力较好,R_o值分布在0.6%～1.1%,C_(29)αααS/(S+R)值范围在0.3～0.5,显示烃源岩处于成熟阶段;芦草沟组烃源岩中规则甾烷C_(27)、C_(28)、C_(29)分布为C_(27)C_(28)C_(29),结合微观分析认为其生烃母质以藻类和超微生物为主,Ts/Tm值较低,分布在0.05～0.18,具有高含量的β-胡萝卜烷,反映其母质处于半咸水的弱氧化—弱还原的沉积环境之中,而这一时期火山活动提供的凝灰物质对烃源岩的生烃环境及热演化进程都有重要影响,热演化突然增大的层段与有机质成熟的"甜点段"的分布深度一致。凝灰物质与含超微生物及藻类的泥晶白云岩的混合是导致生烃和早期生烃的重要原因,两者混合的不均一性导致页岩油分布与成熟度的不均匀性。     

“十三五”国家重点研发计划“蓝色粮仓科技创新”重点专项科技布局及评述

本文旨在介绍和评估国家重点研发计划“蓝色粮仓科技创新”重点专项在渔业领域科技创新方面的实施情况,并展望我国渔业发展的未来趋势。通过对重点专项的任务布局、项目经费概况、项目分布情况、承担与参与单位(人员)情况进行详细梳理和分析,概括和评述专项实施特点和项目成效。分析显示,该专项具有系统性布局、重点领域突破、产业链协同创新、产业环节差异性布局等特点。在种质创制、健康养殖、资源养护、友好捕捞、流通加工等五大产业需求上取得了系列重要成果,显著提高了我国渔业科技创新水平。基于“蓝色粮仓科技创新”重点专项的实施成效,我国渔业科技创新在“十四五”期间及以后将更加注重拓展水产养殖新空间,发展生态健康养殖模式和智慧渔业,提高养殖设施和装备水平,提升加工综合水平,加快冷链物流建设,高标准建设现代化海洋牧场等领域。这将有助于进一步优化优质蛋白食品产业结构,合理开发和综合利用淡水和海洋资源,推动我国渔业持续健康发展。     

Relationship Between Electrical Properties and Sedimentary Environment of the Longmaxi Formation Shale, Southern Sichuan

The Lower Silurian Longmaxi Formation in the south of Sichuan is a key player in the exploration and development of shale gas in China. Due to a highly complex topographic area, electromagnetic methods (EM) become important exploration means in this area. Many studies have been conducted on the shale mineral composition and electrical properties of shale, however, the correlation between sedimentary environments and the electrical properties of shale remain poorly understood. The electrical properties and sedimentary environment of the organic-rich shale of the Longmaxi Formation have been studied by means of X-ray diffraction, organic geochemistry, scanning electron microscopy and complex resistivity measurements. The discovered high quartz content of the Longmaxi Formation shale results in low resistivity. Deep-water shelf biogenic quartz contributes lower resistivity more than that of shallow-water terrigenous quartz. The deep-water anoxic and organic sedimentary environment led to major enrichment of pyrite, leading to a high polarization effect in shale. We present the correlation between the lithofacies types and electrical properties of Longmaxi Formation. The mixed siliceous shale lithofacies is the most favorable among the three lithofacies, which is characterized by high total organic carbon (TOC) content, high brittleness mineral content, high polarization and low resistivity (“three high and one low”). This feature is an effective identification of shale gas reservoirs by electromagnetic prospecting. Our study can provide constraints on electrical parameters of rocks for electromagnetic “sweet spot” exploration of shale gas, and so this has important geological significance to shale gas exploration and development.