高铁站区产业空间分布及集聚特征——以沪宁城际高铁南京站为例

分析沪宁城铁南京站乘客的出行距离特性,初步确定高铁站区圈层范围为3 000 m。以南京站周边3 000m范围内6 145个企业的地址、行业隶属、成立时间等为研究数据,运用空间分析方法,探讨高铁站区产业的分布与空间集聚特征。①从总体看,高铁站区产业的空间分布具有明显的圈层结构,以车站为中心,以500 m为缓冲半径,在1 500~2 000 m范围企业密度最大,2 000 m以外企业密度陡然降低。②各行业空间集聚趋势类似,随着距离增大集聚程度降低。但空间尺度上存在差异,交通运输业和房地产业集聚现象更为明显,交通指向性显著;批发和零售业集聚峰值相对最大,在大范围上有分散分布的趋势。③各行业空间分异特征显著,整体呈现"东低西高",空间分异特征大致存在以下三种模式,即"小分散、大集聚"、"大分散、大集聚"、"大分散、小集聚"。     

国家区域政策对央企空间布局的影响

建国伊始, 国家区域政策就深刻影响着央企的空间布局。通过对改革开放以来我国区 域政策对央企空间布局的影响机制、特征与过程分析, 结果表明:央企空间布局是“经济人” 与“政治人”两种行为特征相互博弈的结果, 受国家区域政策直接、间接和累积循环三种模 式影响, 总体布局呈不平衡的板块集聚特征, 央企总部布局具有极高的首都指向性。国家区 域政策的转变历程与央企布局的演变过程相吻合, 均经历了均衡-不均衡-均衡的演变过程。 经济区内的政策强度与央企布局个数呈较强的正相关关系, 政策强度与央企扩张具有相似的 年际变化规律, 但存在时滞和周期性。在不同的区域政策时期, 央企布局的空间变动和区域 政策的调整具有相应的一致性, 各阶段主要的作用机制不同, 且趋于三种模式的相互混合 影响。     

2005年12月3—21日山东半岛持续性暴雪特征及维持机制

利用多普勒雷达、卫星、常规观测资料及NCEP/NCAR再分析资料分析了2005年12月3—21日发生在山东半岛4次持续性冷流暴雪的特征及维持机制。结果表明:冬季强冷空气暴发南下时, 波状冷流云在渤海发展造成山东半岛暴雪, 暴雪具有明显的空间分布和强度的日变化特征; 多普勒雷达资料反映了暴雪回波PPI强度为35~40dBz, PPI径向速度图上反映低空急流和风辐合特征, RCS, VCS产品反映暴雪回波的垂直特征; 4次暴雪过程对应500hPa中高纬度欧亚上空为两涡一脊的建立和维持, θ_se时空演变反映4次强的干冷空气对应4次暴雪过程; 暴雪发生时南北风在渤海附近存在一弱的风区; 暴雪日水汽较非暴雪日充沛, 垂直上升运动和低层散度辐合与强降雪相对应; 暴雪日在渤海附近海面温度与850 hPa温度差大于20℃; 暴雪区为对流不稳定的大气层结。     

保定市2009年冬季气温分析

采用保定市1955-2000年的月平均气温资料,利用一元线性回归、线性倾向估计等统计学方法,分析了保定市冬季(12月-次年2月)平均气温的变化特征,并从温室效应和海洋温度变化等方面分析了冬季气温异常的原因.分析发现,保定市冬季气温变化具有明显的波动性、周期性和加速上升趋势.最后对回归模型进行显著性检验,检验结果是显著的,可见一元回归模型在气温统计分析预报应用上有相当的准确度.     

基于3S技术的生态环境质量监测与评价方法研究

在《生态气象观测规范（试行）》、《生态质量气象评价规范（试行）》、《生态监测指标体系》等规范性文件的基础上,结合新疆的实际情况,基于3S技术,利用CBERS和EOS／MODIS卫星数据结合前期相关专业调查成果和数据以及社会经济发展数据,研究并构建了一整套生态环境质量监测与评价的指数,如湿润指数、植被覆盖指数、水网密度指数、土地退化指数、灾害指数、生物丰度指数和污染负荷指数等。在此基础上,分别建立了生态质量气象监测模型与评价标准以及生态环境综合监测模型与评价标准。     

东昆仑石榴石闪长玢岩的形成机制及其对埃达克岩成因的制约

本文报道在东昆仑地区发现的一种较为稀少的含石榴石英云闪长玢岩,这也是此类岩石在中国的首次发现。该次火山岩形成于晚三叠纪,主要由富钙(CaO5 wt%)、贫锰(MnO3 wt%)的石榴石,富铝的角闪石(15.9 wt%),中性斜长石和石英等斑晶以及基质物质组成。岩石含有中等的SiO_2(61.1～62.2wt%),低的MgO(2.0 wt%),K_2O(1.3 wt%)以及较高的Al_2O_3(17 wt%)含量,呈现出次铝质至轻微过铝质的特征(ACNK=0.89～1.05)。在微量元素方面,该岩石富集大离子亲石元素和轻稀土元素,同时亏损Nb-Ta-Ti,显示出典型的消减带特征。而异常低的重稀土(Yb0.8×10~(-6))和相对高的Sr/Y比值(约38)表明石榴石是一个残留相,而较高的Al_2O_3含量,大多为正的铕异常反映了斜长石因结晶受到抑制而在岩浆演化晚期的聚集,同时表明岩浆具有较高的水含量。Nd-Sr同位素组成(ε_(Nd)(t)=-2.33～-1.38;~(87)Sr/~(86)Sr=0.706 5～0.706 7)和斜长石的反向分带显示,壳幔间岩浆混合作用在岩体的形成过程中扮演了重要角色。石榴石斑晶和其中的钛铁矿包体均含有较低的MgO,且包裹石榴石的角闪石形成于较高的压力(8～10 kb)条件下,显示这些矿物结晶自一个长英质岩浆中,且很可能形成于壳幔过渡带附近。尽管该岩石在富铝、低重稀土、高Sr/Y等很多方面均类似于埃达克岩石,但其中等含量的Sr(260×10~(-6))和La/Yb比值(16～21)却明显低于典型的埃达克岩和太古代的TTG。结合石榴石斑晶中广泛存在的磷灰石包体以及其较高的Sr和轻稀土分配系数,本文提出在岩浆演化早期结晶的磷灰石有效地降低了残余熔体中的Sr和轻稀土。这进一步表明,即使在高水逸度的条件下,磷灰石在岩浆早期的大量结晶可以有效地阻止一些弧岩浆演化成为埃达克质岩石。     

Assessing the natural recovery of a lake contaminated with Hg using estimated recovery rates determined by sediment chronologies

Deer Lake is an impoundment located near Ishpeming, Michigan, USA. Iron mining assay laboratories located in Ishpeming disposed of Hg salts to the city sewer whose outfall was located along an inlet to Deer Lake. An effort to remediate the system in the mid 1980s which consisted of drawing down water in the impoundment in order to volatize Hg from the sediments did not result in recovery of the system. Since the mid 1990s, the remediation strategy has been to allow the continual burial of the contaminated sediments, i.e., natural recovery. The goal of this study was to assess the effectiveness of this strategy. This was accomplished by investigating the state of the system in terms of its recovery and estimating the time frame for recovery. Sediment cores were collected in 2000 to determine historical trends in accumulation rates and concentrations of Hg and other metals. Sedimentation rates and sediment ages were estimated using ²¹⁰Pb. Event-based dating (e.g., peak of ¹³⁷Cs in 1963) was used to supplement ²¹⁰Pb data due to non-monotonic features in the ²¹⁰Pb profile and activities that were not at supported levels at the base of the core. Selected results are that: (1) drawdown significantly influenced sedimentation patterns causing slopes for ²¹⁰Pb profiles that reflected the influx of older sediment, (2) periods of Fe production correlate to Hg loading indicating the point source for contamination, a relationship not previously identified, (3) Hg:Al ratios indicate a recent change to a watershed pathway for Hg loading and (4) Hg concentrations had decreased from their peak, remain elevated, and were increasing after 1997. The cause of the recent Hg concentrations may be related to influx of contaminated watershed soils or sediments. Estimating the time frame for recovery is challenging in this system because the process of natural recovery seems to have been arrested and deeper, uncontaminated sediments, were not recovered as a basis for reference. However, a recovery to background conditions is likely not achievable since rates of Hg loading to nearby lakes and the current rate of atmospheric deposition are greater than an estimate of background conditions for Deer Lake. Assuming recovery continued after 2000, estimates of the time required for recovery varied based on the system state used to define it (e.g., recent rates of wet Hg deposition or Hg surface concentrations/fluxes from similar systems), but were less than 12 a. However, the recent increasing values of recovery indicators (e.g., Hg concentrations) suggests that these estimates are conservative and will be longer if recovery remains arrested, which may in part be due to the legacy of Hg contamination on the landscape. This study shows that estimates of recovery of highly disturbed lake systems can be made in the absence of within lake reference conditions by using comparisons to reference systems and challenges of estimating ages from atypical ²¹⁰Pb activity profiles can be overcome in part using event-based dating techniques.     

Holocene climate variations from Zhuyeze terminal lake records in East Asian monsoon margin in arid northern China

Zhuyeze palaeolake is a terminal lake situated in the arid northern China in the East Asian monsoon margin. In order to examine the Holocene palaeoclimatic change in the East Asian monsoon margin, Qingtu Lake section (QTL) from Zhuyeze palaeolake is sampled in high resolution. Palaeoclimatic proxies such as grain size, carbonate, TOC, C/N and δ¹³C of organic matter, were analyzed; eleven ¹⁴C samples and six optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) samples were dated to provide chronological control. We also investigated the geomorphic features of lake shorelines in this area. The results show that the climate was warm and dry in early-Holocene (9.5-7.0 cal ka BP), cool and humid in mid-Holocene (7.0-4.8 cal ka BP), and increasingly drier in late-Holocene (since 4.8 cal ka BP). Comparisons of our records with other records in adjacent areas, as well as with the records in the Asian monsoon areas, suggested that changes in effective moisture was synchronous in East Asian monsoon marginal zone (i.e. the pattern of dry early-Holocene, humid mid-Holocene, and aridity-increasing late-Holocene), and that the moisture optimum during the Holocene was out-of-phase between Asian monsoon margin and Asian monsoonal dominated region, possibly due to the high temperature at that time.     

Engineering characterisation of Norwegian glaciomarine silt

Guidance is provided for geotechnical engineers designing civil engineering works in silty soils based on a detailed characterisation of a glaciomarine silt from Os in western Norway. It was found that these soils are susceptible to disturbance by good quality fixed piston tube sampling and care needs to be taken when using laboratory derived design parameters, particularly for consolidation and shear strength properties. A technique for assessing sample disturbance using shear wave velocity and suction measurements proved promising. Conventional techniques for determining soil strength from triaxial tests in silt are inappropriate due to the dilational nature of the material and more reliable and logical strength estimates can be made from a limiting strain criterion. Field vane data should be used with caution as measured strength, particularly remoulded values, may be high and it seems more reliable parameters can be derived from CPTU tests. One dimensional consolidation and creep of these silts can be modelled successfully by the well-known Janbu formulation. The behaviour of the Os silts does not fit easily into classical soil mechanics and published frameworks for soft soils. It seems the material is of “transitional” type and this work adds to the database of such soils which includes other natural silts and gap graded soils. For future work it is recommended that larger sample tubes (say 75 mm) with a very sharp cutting edge should be used in parallel with in situ CPTU testing.     

The role of glacio-isostasy in the formation of post-glacial river terraces in relation to the MIS 2 ice limit: evidence from northern England

In recent years it has been demonstrated that the formation of long-timescale river terrace sequences, which are generally found in areas beyond the extent of most if not all of the Middle and Late Pleistocene ice sheets, has invariably been a response to uplift during the Late Cenozoic and especially the Quaternary. Climatic fluctuation at a Milankovitch timescale has driven the alternations of aggradation and incision recorded in such terraces. It has been widely observed, however, that fluvial terraces also occur in areas glaciated during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), which coincides with marine oxygen isotope stage (MIS) 2. This paper, in seeking to compare records from inside and outside of the LGM ice limit, concentrates on a single English river system, that of the Humber. The Humber estuary is shared by the largely Pennine-derived drainage of the Yorkshire Ouse, to the north and entirely within the MIS 2 glacial limit, and, to the south, the Trent, which is almost wholly outside the LGM limit. Thus the Trent has a terrace sequence extending back to the Middle Pleistocene, whereas in the component rivers of the Ouse system, records begin with the melting of the last glacial ice. Importantly, there is considerable difference in the disposition of the post-LGM fluvial deposits in these two subsystems. In the Ouse system there are modest terrace staircases, commencing with full glacial deposits that stand up to 30 m above the modern floodplain. In the Trent, in contrast, last glacial gravels form the foundation of the modern floodplain, with Holocene sediments emplaced directly above them. Thus there is little or no post-LGM incision in the Trent, whereas in the Ouse several incision events are recorded, continuing into the later stages of the Holocene. Wider comparison reveals that the Ouse system is an exemplar for other sequences within the MIS 2 limit, whereas systems beyond this glaciation typically have last glacial sediments beneath their modern floodplains and show little evidence of Holocene incision. The various possible explanations of these differences are discussed, with emphasis placed on glacio-isostatic uplift of areas glaciated during MIS 2 as the main reason for the significant post-glacial incision that typifies valleys in such regions. A new approach to modelling glacio-isostatic adjustment is outlined, from which it is concluded that lower-crustal flow plays a significant role in this process in regions of relatively hot and dynamic crust, like northern England, in addition to the mantle flow that is considered in conventional analyses of glacio-isostasy. Lower-crustal flow has a significant effect due to the combination of the small spatial scale of the glaciated region of northern England and the high mobility of the lower-crustal layer beneath it, due to the heating effect of the widespread Palaeozoic granite in the area.