Ensemble standardization constraints on the influence of the tree growth trends in dendroclimatology

Climate Dynamics - Tree growth trends can affect the interpretation of the response of tree-ring proxies (especially tree-ring width) to climate in the low-frequency band, which in turn may limit...     

新型火箭弹人工影响积云内外电场试验

试验证明:新型火箭弹经过特殊处理后,通过播撒金属或非金属导体粉末,使云内外电场的绝对值减小。云内外电场值越大,新型火箭弹对其电场影响亦越大,反之亦然;新型火箭弹有增雨效果;该成果的应用将为海上舰船、火箭发射以及林区提供有效的主动雷电防御手段,从而有效降低雷电给人类造成的灾害。     

Another Year of Record Heat for the Oceans

Changes in ocean heat content(OHC), salinity, and stratification provide critical indicators for changes in Earth’s energy and water cycles. These cycles have been profoundly altered due to the emission of greenhouse gasses and other anthropogenic substances by human activities, driving pervasive changes in Earth’s climate system. In 2022, the world’s oceans, as given by OHC, were again the hottest in the historical record and exceeded the previous 2021 record maximum.According to IAP/CAS data, ...     

Study on the Formation Mechanism and Microphysical Characteristics of WarmSector Convective System with Multiple-Rain-Bands Organizational Mode

Based on ERA5 reanalysis data and multi-source observations, including polarimetric radar and automatic weather stations, this study analyzes the formation mechanism and microphysical characteristics of a warm-sector heavy rainfall event caused by a convective system with multiple-rain-bands organizational mode over the western coast of south China. In the early stage, under the influence of coastal convergence and topography, convection was triggered in the coastal mountainous areas and moved n...     

北京近255年雨季及其多年变化

本文利用1724-1903年北京故宫“晴雨录”中雨日记载,与现代气象资料衔接,确定了北京1724-1978年共255年雨季的起迄,并且讨论了雨季特征及其长期演变规律.北京雨季可划分为六种类型:提前型、落后型、偏长型、偏短型、双峰型、假雨季和副雨季.北京雨季平均开始于6月25-29日,结束于8月9-13日,雨季乎均长50天.雨季起始期具有4.5年周期:雨季结束期具有4年左右和85年左右周期;雨季长度具有85年和170年左右周期.此外,北京255年雨季变化存在明显的由短变长的长期趋势.近30年来北京雨季处于近255年来异常偏长阶段.     

积云摩擦效应和ITCZ—热带低压的诊断分析

本文在Cho等人的工作的基础上,利用FGGEⅢ_b资料对1979年8月发生在20°N、从印度到西太平洋区域的一次强ITCZ过程进行了诊断分析,结果表明:(1)根据Cho的方案计算所得的积云质量通量能较好地反映积云对流的活动情况。(2)积云对流在大气压低层造成视涡度汇,在高层造成视涡度源,这样的结果将使低层正涡度减弱,高层正涡度增加。      

新型GPS探空仪与业务GTS1 2探空仪对比分析

2012年8月,中国气象局气象探测中心在广东阳江开展自动探空系统新型GPS探空仪比对试验,对比分析其技术改进后的准确性,试验结果表明：温度测量性明显优于GTS1 2型探空仪。湿度测量结果与RS92型探空仪一致性较好,系统误差在15%RH内,标准偏差在12%RH内。气压系统误差全量程在±10 hPa内,标准偏差在08 hPa内。位势高度系统误差在±20 gpm以内,标准偏差在70 gpm内。GPS定位测风性能优于GTS1 2型探空仪配合L波段二次测风雷达测风性能结果。     

Phase transition of the Pacific decadal oscillation and decadal variation of the East Asian summer monsoon in the 20th century

This paper focuses on the relationship between the phase transition of the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) and decadal variation of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) in the twentieth century. The first transition occurred in the 1940s, with an enhanced SST in the North Pacific and reduced SST in the tropical eastern Pacific and South Indian Ocean. In agreement with these SST changes, a higher SLP was found in most parts of the Pacific, while a lower SLP was found in the North Pacific and most parts of the Indian Ocean. In this case, the EASM was largely enhanced with a southerly anomaly in the lower troposphere along the east coast of China. Correspondingly, there was less rainfall in the Yangtze River valley and more rainfall in northern and southern China. An opposite change was found when the PDO reversed its phase in the late 1970s. In the tropical Indian Ocean and western Pacific, however, the SST was enhanced in both the 1940s and 1970s. As a result, the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) tended to extend westward with a larger magnitude in the 1970s. The major features were reasonably reproduced by an atmospheric general circulation model (IAP AGCM4.0) prescribed with observed SST and sea ice. On the other hand, the westward extension of the WPSH was exaggerated in the 1970s, while it was underestimated in the 1940s. Besides, the spatial pattern of the simulated summer rainfall in eastern China tended to shift southward compared with the observation.     

应用系统分析与事故树模型的设备雷电灾害风险评估

分析目前国内雷电灾害风险评估发展现状,针对精细化雷击风险评估需求,以某大桥塔体电梯雷电灾害风险评估为例,在对雷击损坏途径进行系统分析的基础上,引入事故树(FTA)分析方法对电梯雷击损坏事件的致因关系进行了建模、分析与评价,得出电梯雷击损坏事件发生的年预计概率、导致雷击电梯损坏事件发生的关键以及最佳控制雷击电梯损坏事件发生的最有效因素。