全球变暖对甘肃省经济、社会和生态环境的影响及其对策

根据相关资料,分析了全球变暖的事实以及在全球变暖的大背景下对甘肃省生态环境和社会、经济的影响,并提出了应对气候变化、实现可持续发展的对策。这些对策对甘肃省而言,归纳起来主要是两个问题：一是用好水、管好水、节约用水,开发利用祁连山空中云水资源,实施人工增雨(雪);二是沙的问题。关键是遏制沙漠化进程,使用“区域气候—生态模式”,根据各地的地形、地貌、气候、水文、土壤等生态环境,定量计算各地林、草种植的品种、布局、走向、承载力,以提出恢复植被的最优方案。     

在数值预报中应用卫星反演资料的质量控制研究

资料变分同化作为提高数值预报准确率的有效手段之一，受到了越来越多的关注。如何将分辨率较高的卫星资料应用到数值预报中，弥补常规观测网时空分辨率的不足，成为数值天气预报的重要课题。以1996年6月28-29日发生在江淮流域的暴雨过程为例，依据其中尺度场和能量场特征，分别以低云量、急流、湿静力能为标准设计了三套质量控制方案。将质量控制后的反演湿度场变分同化并应用到中尺度MM5模式中，结果表明：经质量控制后，可以明显地改善降水区域及降水量的预报；对降水预报，特别是强降水天气过程的预报，该质量控制方案具有普遍意义。     

NOAA卫星沙尘暴光谱特征分析及信息提取研究

通过对2000—2002年多次沙尘暴过程NOAA卫星AVHRR资料的分析,研究了沙尘、云、沙漠、戈壁、积雪、裸地、植被等不同目标物的光谱特性,发现沙尘暴在AVHRR-2中各通道均有不同程度的反映。1,2通道中沙尘的反射率较高(介于云和沙漠之间);4,5通道的亮温低于晴空地表高于云;在3通道中沙尘表现的很独特,其亮度温度为所有研究目标物中最高的,表明通道3包含较多的沙尘信息,AVHRR-3取代AVHRR-2后对监测沙尘有不利影响。在此基础上提出定量提取沙尘信息的两种沙尘判识指数,并利用沙尘判识指数成功地提取多次沙尘暴过程的沙尘信息。结果表明：利用多通道组合沙尘判识指数能够对沙尘信息进行有效提取。     

基于R树索引的三维场景细节层次自适应控制方法

针对大规模三维城市建模需要,介绍一种基于三维R树索引的多细节层次（简称LOD）管理方法,从叶节点层向根节点自动生成LOD场景,并设计实现LOD检索的算法。通过试验分析,证明本文的LOD定义参数能够定量控制三维场景中的渲染目标数目,进而实现三维场景的自适应可视化方法,尤其适合于建筑物和树木类型的地物目标。     

自适应换站算法及其在长距离机载GPS动态相对定位中的应用

提出采用＂自适应换站＂法来解决单基线处理模式难以满足长距离动态定位的问题。该方法的主要思想是：整个解算过程始终保持单基线的动态定位模式,当发现流动站与原参考站间的距离大于流动站与其他参考站间的距离时,自动更换周围最近的参考站作为新参考站;对换站前后的数据设置一定时间的重叠段,利用等价消参法将换站前后的数据进行严格的自适应融合,以保持整个解算过程的连续性。通过对实测机载数据的解算,证明该方法不仅可以克服因载体飞行距离过远而导致的定位精度下降,而且能够避免因换站所引起的前后解的不连续,计算结果表明该方法的定位精度约为2 cm。     

中国夏季气候对植被覆盖的影响:1982～2001(英文)

In this paper, we apply lagged correlation analysis to study the effects of vegetation cover on the summer climate in different zones of China, using NOAA/AVHRR normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data during the time period from 1982 to 2001 and climate data of 365 meteorological stations across China (precipitation from 1982 to 2001 and temperature from 1982 to 1998). The results show that there are positive correlations between spring NDVI and summer climate (temperature and precipitation) in m...     

铜绿山铜铁矿床地质特征及岩浆岩与成矿关系探讨

铜绿山铜铁矿床位于鄂城-大幕山新华夏复合隆起带中部、阳新复式岩体西北端。矿体赋存于下三叠统大冶群第四至第七岩性段。矿床由12个矿体组成。矿区内岩浆活动频繁。通过对区内岩浆演化、岩石化学、岩性特征以及微量元素特征等方面系统研究,认为矿床成矿物源为铜绿山石英正长闪长玢岩岩体,含碱值偏高的中酸岩类是控制成矿元素富集及各类矿床组合的内在因素,岩浆的成矿专属性由岩浆本身特性决定。     

Application of the Load/Unload Response Ratio Theory to Predictions of Moderate Earthquakes (7.0>M≥6.0)

The variation in load/unload response ratio before some moderate earthquakes is analyzed based on the theory of the load/unload response ratio.The results show that the load-unload response ratio increases noticeably before moderate earthquakes,and there are three kinds of patterns in which the load/unload response ratio varies and the duration of noticeable increase in load/unload response ratio ranges from half a year to two years.     

Application of Dempster-Shafer theory in mineral resource potential mapping

The Dempster-Shafer theory has been successfully applied to mineral resource potential mapping in G1S environmental. In this applied form, basic probability assignment and combined basic probability assignment are applied to measuring map pattern and map pattern combination, respectively; and the environment composed of the only two singleton sets (deposit set and non-deposit set), is used for expressing the entire map area. For a subarea in which the certain map pattern combination exists, the combined basic probability assignment corresponding to the map pattern combination existing in this subarea, expresses the belief of inferring the subarea belonging to the deposit set from the evidence that the corresponding map pattern combination existing in the subarea. Thus, it may be served as a statistical index measuring the relative mineral resource potentials of the subarea. And it may be determined like 1) dividing the map area into a series of small equal-sized grid cells and then select the training sample set composed of the well-known grid cells or the entire grid cells; 2) estimating the basic probability assignments corresponding to each map pattern from the training sample set; 3) determining the map pattern combination existing in each cell, and then appling the Dempster's Rule of Combination to integrating the all basic probability assignments corresponding to the map patterns existing in the cell into the combined basic probability assignment. Mineral resource potential mapping with the Dempster-Shafer theory is demonstrated on a case study to select mineral resource targets. The experimental results manifest that the model can be compared with the weights of evidence model in the effectiveness of mineral resource target selection.     

蛇绿岩建造非金属矿床成矿系列初步探讨

我国蛇绿岩分布广泛。蛇绿岩中有着成因上和时空上紧密联系的一系列非金属矿床,它们构成了蛇绿岩建造非金属矿床成矿系列。这一成矿系列中的主要非金属矿有橄榄岩、玄武岩、蛇纹岩、石棉、滑石、玉石类等等,主要的成矿作用有岩浆作用、接触变质作用、交代蚀变作用等。其成矿作用和矿床分布模式有明显规律,这些规律对于地质勘查、资源开发等都具有重要的意义。