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101.
Ya-Ju Hsu Paul Segall Shui-Beih Yu Long-Chen Kuo Charles A. Williams 《Geophysical Journal International》2007,169(2):367-379
We use GPS displacements collected in the 15 months after the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan earthquake ( M w 7.6) to evaluate whether post-seismic deformation is better explained by afterslip or viscoelastic relaxation of the lower crust and upper mantle. We find that all viscoelastic models tested fail to fit the general features in the post-seismic GPS displacements, in contrast to the satisfactory fit obtained with afterslip models. We conclude that afterslip is the dominant mechanism in the 15-month period, and invert for the space–time distribution of afterslip, using the Extended Network Inversion Filter. Our results show high slip rates surrounding the region of greatest coseismic slip. The slip-rate distribution remains roughly stationary over the 15-month period. In contrast to the limited coseismic slip on the décollement, afterslip is prominent there. Maximum afterslip of 0.57 m occurs downdip and to the east of the hypocentral region. Afterslip at hypocentral depths is limited to the southern part of the main shock rupture, with little or no slip on the northern section where coseismic slip was greatest. Whether this results from along strike variations in frictional properties or dynamic conditions that locally favour stable sliding is not clear. In general, afterslip surrounds the area of greatest coseismic slip, consistent with post-seismic slip driven by the main shock stress change. The total accumulated geodetic afterslip moment is 3.8 × 1019 N m , significantly more than the seismic moment released by aftershocks, 6.6 × 1018 N m . Afterslip and aftershocks appear to have different temporal evolutions and some spatial correlations, suggesting that aftershock rates may not be completely controlled by the rate of afterslip. 相似文献
102.
地质灾害危险性评价研究——以四川省青川县为例 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
我国是一个地质灾害多发的国家。20世纪90年中期,每年造成1000多人死亡,经济损失高达200多亿元。地质灾害危险性评价是地质灾害调查的重要内容,也是风险管理及减灾管理的基础,它为管理部门制定出相应的减灾对策并为部署实施有效的减灾工程提供了科学依据。文章首先介绍了国内外地质灾害危险性评价方法的研究现状,通过对比,指出现阶段我国地质灾害危险性评价中的不足;结合实际工作经验,运用危险性评价指标对比法建立了简单有效的地质灾害危险性评价体系。以四川省青川县地质灾害调查为例,对该县地质灾害进行了危险性评价,为地质灾害易发区划分及防治分区提供了依据。 相似文献
103.
Ching-Yuang Huang Ying-Hwa Kuo Shu-Ya Chen Anisetty S. K. A. V. Prasad Rao Chien-Ju Wang 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2007,164(8-9):1577-1591
In this study, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-2.0.3.1) model with three-dimensional variational data assimilation
(3DVAR) was utilized to study a heavy rainfall event along the west coast of India with and without the assimilation of GPS
occultation refractivity soundings in the monsoon period of 2002. The WRF model is a next-generation mesoscale numerical weather
prediction system designed to serve both operational forecasting and atmospheric research communities. The Global Positioning
System (GPS) radio occultation (RO) refractivity data, processed by UCAR, were obtained from the CHAMP and SAC-C missions.
This study investigates the impact of thirteen GPS occultation refractivity soundings only, as assimilated into the WRF model
with 3DVAR, on the rainfall prediction over the western coastal mountain of India. The model simulation, with the finest resolution
of 10 km, was in good agreement with rainfall observations, up to 72-h forecast. There are some subtle but important differences
in predicted rainfalls between the control run CN (without the assimilation of refractivity soundings) and G13 (with the assimilation
of thirteen GPS RO soundings). In general, the assimilation run G13 gives a better prediction in terms of both rainfall locations
and amounts at later times. The moisture increments were analyzed at the initial and forecast times to assess the impact of
GPS RO data assimilation. The results indicate that remote soundings in the forcing region could have significant impacts
on distant downstream regions. It is anticipated, based on this study, that considerably occultation soundings available from
the six-satellite constellation of FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC would have even more significant impacts on weather prediction in this
region. 相似文献
104.
昆明市东川城区后山泥石流危险性评价 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:4
云南省是中国遭受泥石流灾害最严重的省区之一,而对危险范围和危险程度进行划分和评估是泥石流减灾的重要内容。以昆明市东川城区后山泥石流为例,应用泥石流沟危险度综合评价法对泥石流危险度进行了评价;接着应用流域背景预测模型对泥石流危险范围进行预测,在这些数据和已构建的东川城区数字高程模型数据的基础上,应用GIS生成了以上泥石流危险范围预测图,研究成果为东川城区减灾防灾提供了科学依据。 相似文献
105.
A general solution for groundwater flow in an estuarine's leaky aquifer system after considering aquifer anisotropy 下载免费PDF全文
This paper presents an analytical model for describing the tidal effects in a two‐dimensional leaky confined aquifer system in an estuarine delta where ocean and river meet. This system has an unconfined aquifer on top and a confined aquifer on the bottom with an aquitard in between the two. The unconfined and confined aquifers interact with each other through leakage. It was assumed that the aquitard storage was negligible and that the leakage was linearly proportional to the head difference between the unconfined and confined aquifers. This model's solution was based on the separation of variables method. Two existing solutions that deal with the head fluctuation in one‐dimensional or two‐dimensional leaky confined aquifers are shown as special cases in the present solution. Based on this new solution, the dynamic effect of the water table's fluctuations can be clearly explored, as well as the influence of leakage on the behaviour of fluctuations in groundwater levels in the leaky aquifer system. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
106.
Ancient mantle lithosphere beneath the Khanka massif in the Russian Far East: in situ Re–Os evidence 下载免费PDF全文
Kuo‐Lung Wang Vladimir Prikhodko Suzanne Y. O'Reilly William L. Griffin Norman J. Pearson Victor Kovach Yoshiyuki Iizuka Yu‐Hsian Chien 《地学学报》2015,27(4):277-284
The Os‐isotope compositions of sulphides in mantle xenoliths hosted by Late Miocene alkali basalts from the Sviyaginsky volcano, Russian Far East, reveal the presence of Archaean–Proterozoic subcontinental lithospheric mantle beneath the Khanka massif. Their TMA and TRD model ages reveal similar peaks at 1.1 and 0.8 Ga suggesting later thermotectonic events in the subcontinental lithospheric mantle, whereas TRD model ages range back to 2.8 ± 0.5 (2σ) Ga. The events recognized in the subcontinental lithospheric mantle are consistent with those recorded in the crust of the Khanka massif. The sulphide Os‐isotope data show that the subcontinental lithospheric mantle beneath the Khanka massif had formed at least by the Mesoproterozoic, and was subsequently metasomatized by juvenile crustal‐growth events related to the evolution of the Altaids. The Khanka massif is further proposed to have tectonic affinity to the Siberia Craton and should originate from it accordingly. 相似文献
107.
为解决高原冻土和天然气水合物勘探过程中钻进和取心问题,选择了NaCl作为抗冻剂,抗盐共聚物GTQ和水解聚丙烯酰胺PHP作为主要聚合物试剂,采用正交试验法,在常温下优选出了9组配方,经过低温测试,确定了在 -15 ℃可用的钻井液配方Z1(20%NaCl+0.1%PHP+1.2%GTQ+1%KHm)和Z2(25%NaCl+0.15%PHP+1.0%GTQ+1%KHm),其主要性能指标分别为:AV值46.5、47.5 mPa·s,PV值34、35 mPa·s,YP值12.8、12.8 Pa,FLAPI值6.8、7.6 mL/30 min。经成本核算,2种配方具有比较好的经济性,可以满足高原冻土层钻进要求。 相似文献
108.
SPT-N-based methods have been adopted for liquefaction assessment of soils during earthquakes for decades. However, there has not been a consistent way of assessing the accuracy and applicability of these methods. The Chi-chi earthquake of 1999, which has been the most serious ground shaking in Taiwan within the century, caused extensive liquefactions in mid-west alluvial deposits of the island. This paper assesses the prediction accuracy of several SPT-N-based methods using liquefaction and non-liquefaction incidents observed during the earthquake. A sensitivity study on commonly adopted parameters shows that the SPT blow count and peak ground acceleration are most sensitive in computing liquefaction potential. By comparing the error in predicting liquefaction and non-liquefaction incidents, this study concludes that Tokimatsu and Yoshimi’s method is more accurate than the other methods. However, the differences between prediction errors of various methods are minimal, indicating all of the methods examined are applicable for the 1999 earthquake in Taiwan. 相似文献
109.
Yu-Shiu Chen Yu-Shu Kuo Wen-Chi Lai Yuan-Jung Tsai Shin-Ping Lee Kun-Ting Chen Chjeng-Lun Shieh 《山地科学学报》2011,8(4):571-581
Climate change has altered locally single-type disasters to large-scale compound disasters because of increasing intensity
and frequency of extreme rainfall events. The compound disasters can combine small-scale floods, debris flows, shallow landslides,
deep-seated landslides, and landslide lakes into a large-scale single disaster event. Although simulation models and evaluation
tools are available for single-type disasters, no single model is well developed for compound disasters due to the difficulty
of handling the interrelationship between two successive single-type disasters. This study proposes a structure for linking
available single-type simulation models to evaluate compound disasters and provides a useful tool of decision making for warning
and planning of disaster reduction. 相似文献
110.
M. C. Runyan P. A. R. Ade J. J. Bock J. R. Bond C. Cantalupo C. R. Contaldi M. D. Daub J. H. Goldstein P. L. Gomez W. L. Holzapfel C. L. Kuo A. E. Lange M. Lueker M. Newcomb J. B. Peterson D. Pogosyan A. K. Romer J. Ruhl E. Torbet D. Woolsey 《New Astronomy Reviews》2003,47(11-12):915
We review the first science results from the Arcminute Cosmology Bolometer Array Receiver (ACBAR); a multi-frequency millimeter-wave receiver optimized for observations of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) and the Sunyaev–Zel’dovich (SZ) effect in clusters of galaxies. ACBAR was installed on the 2 m Viper telescope at the South Pole in January 2001 and the results presented here incorporate data through July 2002. We present the power spectrum of the CMB at 150 GHz over the range ℓ=150–3000 measured by ACBAR as well as estimates for the values of the cosmological parameters within the context of ΛCDM models. We find that the inclusion of ΩΛ greatly improves the fit to the power spectrum. We also observe a slight excess of small-scale anisotropy at 150 GHz; if interpreted as power from the SZ effect of unresolved clusters, the measured signal is consistent with CBI and BIMA within the context of the SZ power spectrum models tested. 相似文献