多元门限回归模型的一种建模方法

本文根据门限自回归模型的基本思想[1]，提出一种多元门限回归模型的建模方法。其特点是充分考虑了预报系统中某些特殊预报因子突变点对预报关系的改变作用。数值实例表明，该模型在模拟和预报精度上比一般线性逐步回归模型有一定程度的提高。     

对建立遥感估产模式的几点初步认识

本文从分析遥感光谱参数的生物学意义着手，论证了正确建立遥感估产模型的可能途径。对几种有代表性的遥感估产模型作了分析，作者认为把可见光、近红外波段的遥感信息与热红外信息有机结合是解决遥感估产模型的最佳方案。对ＮＯＡＡ－ＡＶＨＲＲ的第１通道与第２通道光谱数值进行非朗伯体特性的纠正是必要的。遥感估产模型不仅可以使估产的空间尺度大大缩小而且参数数目亦可大大减小，更有利于实际运行。     

天津市郊大气边界层湍谱特征分析

用１９９０年７月在天津市郊的观测资料，计算了风速谱、温度谱及动量和热量通量的协谱。结果表明，市郊下垫面上的大气湍流谱特征与平坦地形上得到的典型结果基本一致，但满足各向同性的湍流尺度似乎比在平坦地形上的略大，谱的峰值频率区域略窄，谱的低频区（含能区）特征与平坦地形上的情况也不同。     

SPECTRAL CHARACTERISTICS OF SURFACE-LAYER TURBULENCE OVER THE SUBURBS OF TIANJIN*

The paper computed the spectra of velocity and temperature,and the cospectra of velocity and temperature by the observational data of July,1990 in the suburbs of Tianjin.The results show that the characteristics of the atmospheric turbulence spectra over the suburbs are basically in accordance with some typical results over the flat terrain.But the scale,on which turbulence can satisfy the isotropic condition,over the suburbs is larger than over the flat terrain.The spectrum peak frequency range is a bit narrower.The feature of the spectrum range in low frequency(LF) is out of accordance with that of the flat terrain either.     

贵州省的亚洲象(Elephas maximus L.)和其它脊椎动物化石

本文报导的亚洲象化石,发现于贵州铜仁,代表这一物种在该省地层中的首例记录。在我国,贵州是以脊椎动物化石丰富和重要而称著的省份之一,但文献不集中,参考不便利。为此,作者集中了该省全部属类及其地质地理分布的主要资料,并讨论了相关问题,以冀为该省的进一步发现或研究提供一个初步的基础。     

西藏中部的发震构造

西藏中部的发震构造是晚第四纪以来强烈活动的北东、北西和近南北向的活动断层及受其控制的地堑半地堑型盆地和拉分盆地，东西向缝合线和断层晚第四纪以来的运动性不明显，对地震活动没有明显的控制作用，活动断层的规模和晚第四纪以来的运动性质对地震的震级和数量有明显的的控制作用。８级地震的发生与拉分盆地内部张剪切断层与盆地一侧新活动幅度大的次级走滑断层的相互作用密切相关。     

光固印模法测量人造冰晶和雾滴

1981年吉林省气象科学研究所等单位研制出,在自然云雾中复制固液态粒子的光固印模新技术。作者将此项技术扩展应用到实验室条件下,复制人造冰晶和雾滴。直径几微米至100微米的人造冰晶和雾滴的印模实验指出:光固印模法复制云室冰晶非常理想,印模清晰,失真度小,并能保存,可取代现用糖液检测冰晶的方法;由于光固液膜对小雾滴的捕获效率低,并受取样时环境的温度、湿度和取样风速的影响严重,所以用它复制雾滴受到一定的限制。     

Some considerations on the recent tectonic stress field of China

Based on the improved hydrofracturing method, the in-situ principal stresses are determined in the north, northeast, south and the northwest of China, and the results of many fault-plane solutions, crustal deformations, geological and geophysical observations are used to discuss the distribution of subcrustal stress in space, the difference between seismically active regions and stable regions, and the variations of the stress field near the source region before and after the Tangshan earthquake. Finally, the characteristics of intraplate tectonic stress fields in China are explained in relation with the combined actions of the movement of the major Indian Ocean, Pacific and Philippine Sea plates.     

大气降水对昆明周围地震活动的调制

本文对比分析了昆明周围地区20余年来的大气降水记录和地震资料,指出旱涝变异确实与地震活动存在着一定的统计联系。其中尤以震前一年洪涝的作用较为突出。在此基础上,提出了一个可预测本区中强地震发生的经验性方法。     

Uraninite—An economic uranium mineral in metamorphic uranium deposit No. 3075

Uraninite from the metamorphic deposit investigated is divided into two groups on the basis of its occurrence and physical and chemical properties. Uraninite of the first group occurs as distorted crystals in the form of elongated cubesa {100}; the second group occurs mainly in the form of rhombo-dodecahedrad {100}, all belonging to the GaF₂ type in the isometric system. The chemical formulae are 8UO₂·UO₃·PbO for the first group and 5UO₂·UO₃·PbO for the second. Isotopic dating yields 1,900 and 300 m. y. for the formation time of uraninite in this deposit. The former value corresponds to the main mineralization period and the latter represents the reformation event.