南黄海海相油气勘探前景探讨与问题分析

南黄海海域的中、古生代海相油气前景广阔,是重要的油气战略接替基地。由于多期构造运动的改造作用,原型盆地遭受强烈破坏,地质构造复杂,地球物理勘探精度低,造成对地层与构造认识不清,油气分布规律不明。针对勘探中面临的主要问题,提出的主要对策是：重点开展地球物理勘探技术创新研究与攻关试验工作,提高方法技术的适用性与有效性;在大地构造理论的指导下,重点开展多期构造活动背景下有效烃源岩、储层、保存条件等因素的研究工作,对区域油气地质条件优越且地层、岩性等特征存在争议的局部构造实施科学钻探等。     

饱水岩石加载变形过程中视电阻率–渗透率的关联性

根据岩石受载变形破坏过程中视电阻率和渗透率的演化规律,分析了岩体破坏过程中视电阻率和渗透率变化的关联性,指出饱水条件下岩石变形破坏过程中视电阻率与渗透率关系密切.基于Archie公式和Carman-Kozeny公式,推导出了饱水岩石渗透率和视电阻率之间的关系式.同时,从岩石加载过程变形破坏的细观分析角度,探讨了渗透率-视电阻率关系式的合理性,进而指出了其成立的基础条件和应用意义.     

Distinguishing streamflow trends caused by changes in climate,forest cover,and permafrost in a large watershed in northeastern China

Understanding how rivers respond to changes in land cover, climate, and subsurface conditions is critical for sustainably managing water resources and ecosystems. In this study, long‐term hydrologic, climate, and satellite data (1973–2012) from the Upper Tahe River watershed (2359 km²) in the Da Hinggan Mountains of northeast China were analysed to quantify the relative hydrologic effects of climate variability (system input) and the combined influences of forest cover change and permafrost thaw (system characteristics) on average annual streamflow (system response) using 2 methods: the sensitivity‐based method and the Kendall–Theil robust line method. The study period was subdivided into a forest harvesting period (1973–1987), a forest stability period (1988–2001), and a forest recovery period (2002–2012). The results indicated that the combined effects of forest harvesting and permafrost thaw on streamflow (+ 47.0 mm) from the forest harvesting period to the forest stability period was approximately twice as large as the effect associated with climate variability (+20.2 mm). Similarly, from the forest stability period to the forest recovery period, the decrease in average annual streamflow attributed to the combined effects of forest recovery and permafrost thaw (?38.0 mm) was much greater than the decrease due to climate variability (?22.2 mm). A simple method was used to separate the distinct impacts of forest cover change and permafrost thaw, but distinguishing these influences is difficult due to changes in surface and subsurface hydrologic connectivity associated with permafrost thaw. The results highlight the need to consider multiple streamflow drivers in future watershed and aquatic ecosystem management. Due to the ecological and hydrological susceptibility to disturbances in the Da Hinggan Mountains, forest harvesting will likely negatively impact ecohydrological processes in this region, and the effects of forest species transition in the forest recovery process should be further investigated.     

互联网+社区地震应急桌面演练的设计与实施——以青海省海西州为例

地震灾害应对实践表明,社区作为社会治理的基本单元,在抢救生命、安置群众生活等方面发挥着重要作用。应急演练是有效提升民众防灾减灾意识和社区应对灾害能力的重要途径。近年来,社区开展了不同程度的地震应急演练,但在专业性和实效性方面仍存在很大提升空间。本文基于互联网+应急演练理念,提出基于互联网云服务的分布式、多社区、不限人数、同步或异步开展的应急桌面演练新模式,并在青海省海西蒙古族藏族自治州进行了试点应用。实践表明,互联网+社区地震应急桌面演练融合了传统桌面演练与实战演练的优势,可针对社区管理层开展地震灾害全过程桌面推演,能有效促进社区管理层应急组织协调能力的提升。     

基于贝叶斯框架的各向异性页岩储层岩石物理反演技术

页岩岩石物理建模旨在建立页岩矿物组分、微观结构、流体填充与岩石弹性参数的关系.对四川盆地龙马溪组页岩进行岩石物理建模研究,针对页岩黏土含量高、层间微裂缝发育等特点,利用Backus平均理论描述页岩黏土矿物弹性参数,利用Chapman理论计算与水平微裂缝有关的VTI各向异性,并利用Bond变换考虑地层倾角的影响.提出以黏土矿物纵、横波速度和孔隙纵横比为拟合参数进行岩石物理反演的方法,并引入贝叶斯框架减小反演的多解性.由已知的黏土矿物纵、横波速度和孔隙纵横比作为先验信息,并以测井纵、横波速度作为约束条件建立反演的目标函数,同时利用粒子群算法进行最优化搜索.计算结果表明,基于先验约束和粒子群算法的反演方法能够较准确地反演黏土矿物的弹性参数、孔隙形态参数以及裂缝密度等参数.计算得到的黏土纵、横波速度较高,并且在一定范围内变化,这可能与龙马溪组页岩的黏土矿物组分中具有较高弹性模量的伊利石含量较高有关,同时也与黏土定向排列等微观物性特征有关.反演得到的裂缝密度与纵波各向异性参数ε呈明显的正相关,而与横波各向异性参数γ相关性较小.另外,页岩各向异性参数与黏土垂向的纵横波速度有较强的相关性.

     

Content and distribution of trace metals in surface sediments from the northern Bering Sea, Chukchi Sea and adjacent Arctic areas

Concentrations of trace metals (Zn, Cr, Cu, V, Cd and Pb), total organic carbon (TOC), black carbon (BC) and their granulometry were examined in 25 surface sediment samples from the northern Bering Sea, Chukchi Sea and adjacent areas. Trace metal concentrations in the sediments varied from 21.06-168.21 mg kg(-1) for Zn, 8.91-46.94 mg kg(-1) for Cr, 2.69-49.39 mg kg(-1) for Cu, 32.46-185.54 mg kg(-1) for V, 0.09-0.92 mg kg(-1) for Cd, and 0.95-15.25 mg kg(-1) for Pb. The geoaccumulation index (Igeo) indicated that trace metal contamination (Zn and Cd) existed in some stations of the study area. The distribution of grain size plays an important role in influencing the distribution of trace metals (Zn, Cr, Cu, V, and Pb) in sediments from the Chukchi Sea and adjacent areas.     

云南测震台网地震监测能力分析

2018年1月云南省测震台网示范工程20个新增测震台建设完成,选取原有48个台以及新增20个台连续48小时数据记录,基于近震震级公式,计算并网前后云南省测震台网的地震监测能力,对比测震台增加前后的地震监测能力,发现:云南省地震监测能力由ML 2.2提升到ML 1.6,局部地区由ML1.4提升到ML0.8。     

Numerical simulation of the Kuroshio using nested model of three-dimensional baroclinic circulation

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福建地区波速比分布特征

选取福建地震台网"十五"观测系统2009—2015年记录的748个M_L≥1.0地震事件,采用多台和达法计算福建区域波速比值和泊松比值,并绘制二者空间等值线图,分析其分布特征,讨论波速比值高低与震级大小和震源深度的关系,结果发现,波速比大小与二者关系不大。     

基于分级加权法的城镇垃圾填埋场选址评价

城镇垃圾填埋场场址选择受经济、交通、气候、自然地理、环境保护、水文工程地质等诸多因素影响,是一项十分复杂的工程。结合环巢湖地区的实际情况,筛选各影响因子,最终确定符合该地区的评价体系。利用分级加权法进行垃圾填埋场选址评价,将研究区依次划分为适宜区、较适宜区、适宜性差区。根据已有规范对填埋场分区结果的验证,评估方法可行,评价结果合理,为安徽环巢湖地区垃圾填埋场选址提供了可靠的地学依据。