信息增益在地震趋势估计中的应用

从熵中信息增益的定义出发，将地震中的能量和频度作为一个整体考虑，研究了全球１９００－１９９２斫Ｍ≥６．０地震的信息增益。结果表明，强震前有信息增益减小的特点。信息增益方法的引入，为利用中小地震进入地震跟踪预报提供了一个新途径。     

MAROS: a decision support system for optimizing monitoring plans

The Monitoring and Remediation Optimization System (MAROS), a decision-support software, was developed to assist in formulating cost-effective ground water long-term monitoring plans. MAROS optimizes an existing ground water monitoring program using both temporal and spatial data analyses to determine the general monitoring system category and the locations and frequency of sampling for future compliance monitoring at the site. The objective of the MAROS optimization is to minimize monitoring locations in the sampling network and reduce sampling frequency without significant loss of information, ensuring adequate future characterization of the contaminant plume. The interpretive trend analysis approach recommends the general monitoring system category for a site based on plume stability and site-specific hydrogeologic information. Plume stability is characterized using primary lines of evidence (i.e., Mann-Kendall analysis and linear regression analysis) based on concentration trends, and secondary lines of evidence based on modeling results and empirical data. The sampling optimization approach, consisting of a two-dimensional spatial sampling reduction method (Delaunay method) and a temporal sampling analysis method (Modified CES method), provides detailed sampling location and frequency results. The Delaunay method is designed to identify and eliminate redundant sampling locations without causing significant information loss in characterizing the plume. The Modified CES method determines the optimal sampling frequency for a sampling location based on the direction, magnitude, and uncertainty in its concentration trend. MAROS addresses a variety of ground water contaminants (fuels, solvents, and metals), allows import of various data formats, and is designed for continual modification of long-term monitoring plans as the plume or site conditions change over time.     

用小波包识别地震和矿震

在能检测到天然地震和矿震的区域，这两类地震的快速识别无论对于区域台网和矿区台网都具有现实意义。这两类震动都是非稳态信号，用传统的Fourier变换不能提取出信号的特征信息，小波包分析方法却能很好提取出信号的特征信息。本文提供了一种基于非参数识别算法，即把信号变换到频域，然后再用奇异值分解作为统计工具，提取出信号的特征信息，作为识别天然地震和矿震的识别因子。以辽宁抚顺2001年1月1日到2003年6月30的18个矿震和16个天然地震，以及北京门头沟2001年1月1日到2002年12月31日的15个矿震和14个天然地震为样本，提取出识别因子。最后，用其它的天然地震和矿震资料检验了识别因子的识别率。     

吉林营城盆地构造演化与聚煤规律

松辽盆地群是我国最大的油气聚集区,营城盆地位于其东部,是松辽盆地群中一个典型的聚煤盆地。松辽盆地群基底构造及构造演化控制着营城盆地的演化和聚煤作用。营城盆地含煤层序为SE3层序,相当于沙河子组,可进一步划分为三个体系域:盆地充填体系域、盆地扩张体系域和盆地萎缩体系域。聚煤作用发生在盆地扩张体系域,为盆地扩张超覆沉积阶段的产物,发育Ⅰ～Ⅲ煤层组。Ⅲ煤层组厚度大,煤层稳定,几乎全区发育,是盆地初始充填体系域和扩张体系域转化期的产物。富煤带分布于上家—饮马河东西向隆起带,呈EW向展布,煤层向凹陷区分叉、尖灭。盆缘断裂构造的差异活动以及盆地构造演化是聚煤作用的主控因素。     

基于WebGIS的浙江省天然气调控应急保障气象服务系统

随着浙江省天然气供应规模的逐步扩大,应用领域的不断拓展,用WebGIS对天然气管线进行管理更显其优势。气象条件的变化与天然气供需有着密切的联系,本文基于WebGIS建立了浙江省天然气调控应急保障气象服务系统。对天然气管网数据进行了整理,并结合气象数据进行了分析和统一存储及管理。系统采用B／S架构,实现了天然气管道沿线实况监测、沿线天气预报、沿线气象历史资料查询、管网负荷预测、地图管理和操作、系统管理和维护等功能。探索了气象条件对燃气负荷的影响规律,能及时查询天然气沿线的天气实况和预报,为天然气调控应急保障提供了直观的气象服务和数据保障。     

数字化地震波形资料的时频分析方法及应用

信号的时频分布具有比时间尺度分布更高的描述和刻画非稳态地震波信号的能力,进一步提高信号的时频聚集性和尽可能减小交叉项干扰是时频分析发展的方向。基于高阶矩时频分布理论,本首次提出了将其应用于数字化地震波形资料分析和处理的技术途径和方法。通过对仿真信号的Choi-Willams各阶矩时频分布与Wigner各阶矩时频分布的对比和交叉项干扰的理论分析,认为Choi-willams高阶矩时频分布具有时频聚集性高和交叉干扰项小的特点,在提高处理数字化地震波特性参数精度和地震应急技术系统的智能化程度等方面具有潜在应用前景。     

Containment criterion for contaminant isolation by cutoff walls

A rigorous solution is developed from first principles to guide the preliminary design of cutoff walls installed to contain the migration of contaminants from source zones. The full analytic solution is used to develop a criterion for determining the configuration and hydraulics of optimal wall designs. The solution is used to demonstrate the interaction between the properties of the wall, the Darcy flux, and the concentration of contaminants at the outside face of the well. For a particular wall design, the containment criterion can be used to estimate the long-term concentration that will develop at the outside face of the wall. Alternatively, for a given concentration on the outside face of the cutoff wall, the containment criterion can be used to estimate the Darcy flux required to balance the outward diffusion of contaminants. The results of numerical simulations are presented to evaluate the analytic approach. The numerical results confirm that for a wall with known transport properties, a specified Darcy flux is associated with a unique outside contaminant concentration.     

浙江天气网气象商城市场分析

分析了社会对气象信息的需求,讲述浙江省目前网络气象服务的状况,以及网络气象服务的前景,特别是如何利用现有的通讯手段提供个性化的、定制式的气象服务,一方面可以利用服务手段来收取部分运营成本费;另一方面可以为部分用户提供特色的、收费的个性化气象服务。