European retirees on the Costa del Sol: a cross-national comparison

"This paper studies northern European retired immigrants, using data generated by a questionnaire survey of 300 respondents and in-depth interviews with 20 people in 13 municipalities. Reasons for moving to Spain, the advantages and disadvantages reported of living there, and the perceived impacts on the local region were analysed, paying particular attention to cross-national differences between British, German, Benelux and Nordic retirees. The results show that sociodemographic and economic features of the settlers tend to be quite similar, whilst reasons for moving, stated advantages and disadvantages, and consequences and impacts exhibit some cross-national differentiation."     

A record of accelerated erosion in the recent sediments of Blelham Tarn in the English Lake district

Two frozen cores from Blelham Tarn were subsampled and measured using mineral magnetic, loss-on-ignition (LOI), radiometric, granulometric and diatom analyses. A detailed chronology was established using varves, radioisotopes and diatoms. This has enabled an accurately dated reconstruction of sedimentation over the past forty years. Despite a large increase in lake productivity, evidence suggests that the observed exponential increase in sedimentation rates can be attributed to erosion within the catchment. The predominant sediment source has been identified as surface soil. A comparison between the trend of accelerated sedimentation and the record of increased sheep stocking density for the area within which the most of the catchment lies, as well as observations of contemporary surface processes within the catchment, both suggest that much of the recent erosion is a direct response to increased pressure from sheep grazing.     

Land use and disturbance effects on the dynamics of natural ecosystems of the Monte Desert: Implications for their management

The complex interactions between human activity and natural processes determine non-linear dynamics in ecosystems that can difficult their management. Human settlements in arid lands contribute to the modification of disturbance regimes, including the introduction of new disturbances and the elimination of others. In consequence, they can alter the functional mechanisms that allow systems to overcome limiting factors, leading to desertification. In this revision, we evaluated the effects of the changes on disturbance regimes produced by the different forms of land transformation on the structure and function of ecosystems of the Monte Biogeographical Province, in Argentinean arid west. Two approaches were used: the analysis of land use history and the analysis of the effects of the main disturbances on the dynamics of different communities. We concluded that throughout the history of the Monte Desert, the joint action of natural and anthropic agents has resulted in complex dynamics that lead most area of the Monte to a moderate to severe status of desertification. The modification of the disturbance regime had strong consequences for several aspects of the dynamics of communities, such as species composition and diversity, water dynamics, soil conditions, trophic structure and productivity of Monte Desert ecosystems. However, disturbance regimes could be managed to promote favorable transitions in ecosystems and, therefore, could be a tool for optimizing productivity of agro-ecosystems, and recovering and conserving natural ecosystems.     

The chemical composition and sources of the bulk deposition on Lake Kinneret (The Sea of Galilee), Israel

The chemical composition of the bulk deposition into Lake Kinneret, Israel was determined for the three hydrological years from 1992 to 1995. The fluxes of the elements and ions in the bulk deposition around the lake are fairly uniform although some local effects due to anthropogenic activity are observed; temporal effects are more pronounced. Na and Cl fluxes are greatly affected by rainfall that has passed over the Mediterranean Sea whilst Ca fluxes increase during dust storm episodes. The amount of each of the determined constituents entering the lake was calculated. The major chemical constituent entering the lake (except Ca) is SO₄ whose main source is long-range transport from Europe. Enrichment factor analysis shows that the insoluble portion of the bulk deposition has the same characteristics as regional (and Saharan) dust storms, whilst the soluble portion is strongly affected by the marine environment. Significant additions to the previously known input of nitrogen and phosphorous enter the lake due to bulk deposition: 10% for nitrogen and 40% for phosphorous. The Pb content of the lake sediments correlates with Pb usage in petrol. Full experimental results are given in the electronic appendices.     

Spatial and temporal patterns across an ecological boundary: Allochthonous effects of a young saltwater lake on a desert ecosystem

We documented changes in the abundance and composition of terrestrial flora and fauna with respect to distance from the sea edge and timing of large allochthonous inputs from the Salton Sea, California. We found significant effects that were most pronounced within 300 m of the shore, but extended 3 km inland via coyote scat deposition. The zone within 300 m of the sea had a higher density of vegetation with a distinctly different plant composition. The denser vegetation supported higher abundances of birds and reptiles. Coyotes exhibited spatial and temporal responses to marine subsidies of fish, while birds were likely subsidized by aquatic aerial insects. Top-down control, as well as dietary and habitat preferences, may have resulted in reduced number of ants, beetles, and small mammals near the sea. Species responses to the habitat edge appeared to be associated with life history, as the near shore habitat favored habitat generalists and shore specialists, while inland desert habitat favored many sand and open desert specialists. Ecosystem responses support current theories of allochthonous spatial subsidies and consumer-resource dynamics but were limited in scope, magnitude, and distance.     

Neural network modelling of planform geometry of headland-bay beaches

The shoreline of beaches in the lee of coastal salients or man-made structures, usually known as headland-bay beaches, has a distinctive curvature; wave fronts curve as a result of wave diffraction at the headland and in turn cause the shoreline to bend. The ensuing curved planform is of great interest both as a peculiar landform and in the context of engineering projects in which it is necessary to predict how a coastal structure will affect the sandy shoreline in its lee. A number of empirical models have been put forward, each based on a specific equation. A novel approach, based on the application of artificial neural networks, is presented in this work. Unlike the conventional method, no particular equation of the planform is embedded in the model. Instead, it is the model itself that learns about the problem from a series of examples of headland-bay beaches (the training set) and thereafter applies this self-acquired knowledge to other cases (the test set) for validation. Twenty-three headland-bay beaches from around the world were selected, of which sixteen and seven make up the training and test sets, respectively. As there is no well-developed theory for deciding upon the most convenient neural network architecture to deal with a particular data set, an experimental study was conducted in which ten different architectures with one and two hidden neuron layers and five training algorithms – 50 different options combining network architecture and training algorithm – were compared. Each of these options was implemented, trained and tested in order to find the best-performing approach for modelling the planform of headland-bay beaches. Finally, the selected neural network model was compared with a state-of-the-art planform model and was shown to outperform it.     

Late Tertiary paleoclimatic interpretation from lacustrine rhythmites in the Gray Fossil Site,northeastern Tennessee,USA

The Gray Fossil Site (GFS) includes a small (<2 ha) paleosinkhole lake fill with an exceptionally well-preserved record of sedimentation and fossils from the latest Miocene to earliest Pliocene. The uppermost lacustrine stratigraphy is characterized by rhythmites that regularly alternate between coarse-grained and organic-rich (A) laminae and fine-grained, silty clay (B) laminae. Both the A and B components are almost exclusively comprised of exogenic sediment (including organic matter). Periodicities of 24 and 4.4 are recorded within a continuous 96 interpreted year sequence of rhythmite sediment. In a small lake with a poorly oxygenated bottom, the presence of laterally continuous laminated sediment that includes well-known periodicities in rhythmite thickness is interpreted as representing annually generated varves that correspond to seasonal variations in sedimentation. The distinctly larger fraction of medium sand-size quartz grains present within the A laminae, as well as the abrupt transitions between A and B components suggest that the rhythmites represent deposition during alternating high-energy and lower-energy seasons, which is consistent with a monsoonal precipitation pattern. The seasonal climate may relate to changes in the ocean circulation pattern prior to 4.6 Ma that resulted in an increased temperature and atmospheric pressure gradient between the east coast of North America and the Atlantic Ocean, but this climate phase seems to be only a temporary condition, as underlying and overlying sediment are both consistent with drier conditions. The periodicity at 24 interpreted years is consistent with the well-known Hale solar cycle. The 4.4 interpreted-year periodicity occurs within the ENSO frequency band, and if this documentation of ENSO-like interannual climate change is correct, then it suggests that ENSO operated at times during the warm Earth conditions characterizing the late Tertiary.     

Deriving hillslope sediment budgets in wildfire-affected forests using fallout radionuclide tracers

Information on post-fire sediment and nutrient redistribution is required to underpin post-fire catchment management decisions. Fallout radionuclide budgets (²¹⁰Pb_xs, ¹³⁷Cs and ⁷Be) were derived to quantify soil redistribution and sediment yield in forested terrain following a moderately severe wildfire in a small (89 ha) water supply catchment in SE Australia. Application of these techniques in burnt terrain requires careful consideration of the partitioning of radionuclides between organic and mineral soil components. Beryllium-7 and ²¹⁰Pb_xs were shown to be closely associated with ash, litter and soil organic matter whereas ¹³⁷Cs was more closely associated with subsurface coarse mineral soil. Comparison of the three tracer budgets indicated that the dominant sediment source areas were ridgetops and steep valley sideslopes, from which burnt surface material was conveyed to the stream network via pre-existing gullies. Erosion was predominantly driven by sheetwash, enhanced by soil water repellency, and modified by bioturbation which both supplies subsurface sediment and provides sinks for erosive overland flow. Footslope and riparian zones were not important sediment source areas. The estimated event-based (wildfire and subsequent rainfall) sediment yield is 58 ± 25 t km^− 2, based on fallout ⁷Be measurements. The upper estimate of total particulate phosphorus yield (0.70 kg ha^− 1) is more than 10 times that at equivalent unburnt sites. This illustrates that, soon after fire, burnt eucalypt forest can produce nutrient loads similar to those of agricultural catchments. The tracer budgets indicate that wildfire is an important control on sediment and phosphorus inputs to the stream network over the decadal timeframe and the pulsed nature of this release is an important concern for water quality management.     

Einfluß der Gezeitenstromturbulenz auf die hydrographische Schichtung der Nordsee

Zusammenfassung Es wird das kritische vertikale Dichtegefälle ermittelt, das die Gezeitenstromturbulenz, die vom Meeresboden ausgeht, zum Erliegen bringt (Abb. 2). Ihm wird jenes vertikale Dichtegefälle gegenübergestellt, das der tägliche Wärmestrom durch die Turbulenz der winderzeugten Oberflächenströmungen bewirkt (Abb. 3). In derjeningen Tiefe, in der beide Gefällswerte gleich werden, liegt die Obergrenze der bodennahen Mischungsschicht, deren Verteilung in der Nordsee auf zwei ozeanographischen Schnitten verfolgt wird, die mit dem Vermessungs- und Forschungsschiff Gauss im August 1953 ausgeführt wurden (Abb. 1). Der eine Schnitt verläuft vom Nordausgang der Nordsee zu den westfriesischen Inseln, der andere von der schottischen zur norwegischen Küste (Abb. 4). Durch diese Anordnung konnten alle charakteristischen sommerlichen Lagen in der Nordsee erfaßt werden: der Übergang von der unbedeutenden bodennahen Mischungsschicht in der nördlichen Nordsee zur mächtigen Mischungsschicht der mittleren Nordsee, die dort in den Gebieten mit höheren Gezeitenströmen die normale sommerliche Sprungschicht zu einer wenige Dezimeter dicken Schicht zusammendrängt und die in den Gebieten mit starken Gezeitenströmen in die oberflächennahe Mischungsschicht übergreift. Als Folge davon wird in ausgedehnten Gebieten Schichtungslosigkeit während des ganzen Jahres aufrechterhalten. Die weitreichenden, verschiedenartigen Einflüsse dieser Mischungsvorgänge machen sich unter anderem auf den Jahresgang der Oberflächentemperatur der Nordsee deutlich bemerkbar (Abb. 5 und 6).

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Summary The critical vertical density gradient for suppressing the tidal current turbulence which originates from the bottom of the sea is determined (fig. 2). It is compared with the vertical density gradient caused by the daily heat transport in consequence of the turbulence of the wind-produced surface currents (fig. 3). At the depth where the two gradients become equal there lies the upper limit of the mixed ground layer. Its distribution in the North Sea is shown by two oceanographic profiles on the basis of measurements carried out by the survey and research ship Gauss in April 1953 (fig. 1). One profile extends from the northern exit of the North Sea to the West-Frisian islands, the other one from the Scotch to the Norwegian coast (fig. 4). By this arrangement all characteristic summer situations in the North Sea could be included: the change from the small mixed ground layer in the northern North Sea to the mighty mixed ground layer of the central North Sea compressing there, in regions with higher tidal currents, the normal summer discontinuity layer to a few decimeters and, in regions with strong tidal currents, reaching into the mixed surface layer. As a consequence in vast regions a state without stratification is maintained during the whole year. The far-reaching and various influences of these mixing processes, e. g. on the annual variation of the surface temperature of the North Sea, are evident (fig. 5 and 6).

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Résumé On recherche le gradient vertical critique de densité capable d'annuller le remous dû à la marée au fond de la mer (fig. 2) et on le compare au même gradient produit par le réchauffement diurne combiné avec la turbulence des courants de surface dûs au vent (fig. 3). La profondeur à laquelle ces deux gradients sont identiques fixe la limite supérieure de la couche de mélange voisine du fond. La distribution de cette couche dans la Mer du Nord ressort de deux profils relevés par le navire océanographique Gauss en août 1953 (fig. 1). L'un des profils va de l'extrémité septentrionale de cette mer jusqu'aux îles occidentales de la Frise; l'autre s'étend de la côte écossaise à celle de la Norvège (fig. 4). De cette façon une étude de tous les caractères estivaux de la Mer du Nord met en évidence le passage de la faible couche de mélange dans le Nord à la couche très importante dans la région moyenne; cette dernière couche a pour effet de réduire à quelques décimètres la couche de transition estivale normale dans les régions à courants de marée profonds tandis qu'elle pénètre dans la couche de mélange de surface dans les régions à forts courants de marée. En vertu de ces processus, l'absence de stratification se maintient pendant toute l'année dans de vastes régions. Les effets variés et lointains de ces phénomènes de mélange se font nettement sentir, entre autres, sur la variation annuelle de la température de surface dans la Mer du Nord (fig. 5 et 6).

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Mit 6 Textabbildungen.     

Spatial Pair-Copula Modeling of Grade in Ore Bodies: A Case Study

A real-world mining application of pair-copulas is presented to model the spatial distribution of metal grade in an ore body. Inaccurate estimation of metal grade in an ore reserve can lead to failure of a mining project. Conventional kriged models are the most commonly used models for estimating grade and other spatial variables. However, kriged models use the variogram or covariance function, which produces a single average value to represent the spatial dependence for a given distance. Kriged models also assume linear spatial dependence. In the application, spatial pair-copulas are used to appropriately model the non-linear spatial dependence present in the data. The spatial pair-copula model is adopted over other copula-based spatial models since it is better able to capture complex spatial dependence structures. The performance of the pair-copula model is shown to be favorable compared to a conventional lognormal kriged model.