青藏高原对冷空气爆发影响的个例分析(一)

本文通过对1979年4月10—13日在我国的一次寒潮爆发过程进行了有、无地形及修改地形的数值试验和对比分析,发现高原地形对冷空气活动强度及路径等有明显的影响:(1)由于高原地形的存在使冷空气快速沿地形边缘向南推移,冷锋偏南,给我国平原地区带来较大的降温及较多的降雨。(2)这种冷锋的移动快而达到很偏南的纬度主要是低层冷空气沿高原地形边缘绕流所产生的。(3)如果高原大地形不存在,这时冷空气直侵印度,给印度北方带来强降温。     

应用灰色聚类法预测小浪底水库诱发地震最大震级

根据野外考察并结合前人研究成果,对黄河小浪底水库及其邻区地震地质背景进行了分析,对其区域应力状态、断层活动性、地层岩性和地震活动背景等水库诱发地震因素进行了研究。简要地介绍了灰色聚类法,并应用该方法对小浪底水库发生水库诱发地震的可能性及诱发地震震级进行了预测。结果表明,该水库存在水库诱发地震的可能性,其最可能诱发地震的地段及库区中段,水库诱发地震最大震级预测为５级。     

亚洲夏季风建立格局和南海季风爆发特征及其成因初探

使用１９８０￣１９８６年欧洲中期预报中心（ＥＣＭＷＦ）格点资料和１９８０￣１９９２年日本地球静止气象卫星（ＧＭＳ）观测到的黑体辐射（ＴＢＢ）资料，分析了南海季风爆发和亚洲夏季风建立格局及其可能机制。发现亚洲夏季风建立征兆最早出现在中南半岛－南海地区，随后自该地区分别向西、向东扩展；中南半岛地区是东亚季风和印度季风的天然分界线，其两侧夏季风的建立特征和形成机制迥然不同。亚洲夏季风自东向西逐渐建立的格     

Effects of convective available potential energy,temperature and humidity on the variability of thunderstorm frequency over Bangladesh

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - The present study examines the effects of convective available potential energy (CAPE), temperature and humidity on the spatiotemporal variation of...     

Occurrence of persistent organic pollutants in marine fish from the Natuna Island,South China Sea

Five marine fish species were collected from the Natuna Island, South China Sea to investigate the occurrence of polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs), polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane and its metabolites (DDTs). Concentrations of PBDEs, PCBs, and DDTs in marine fish ranged from 2.85 to 7.82, 14.3 to 48.1, and 7.99 to 40.3 ng/g lipid weight, respectively. Higher concentrations of PBDEs, PCBs, and DDTs were observed in Snakefish (Trachinocephalus myops), which might be attributed to their different feeding and living habits. PCBs were the predominant POPs in all marine fish, followed by DDTs and PBDEs. BDE 47 and PCB 153 were the predominant congener of PBDEs and PCBs, respectively. Compositional distribution of DDTs indicated the possible presence of fresh input sources around the Natuna Island. The ratios of o,p′-DDT/p,p′-DDT being less than 1 in fish samples suggested that DDT contributions from dicofol seemed considerably low. New input sources of DDT in South China Sea are worth further research.     

Trend and extreme occurrence of precipitation in a mid‐latitude Eurasian steppe watershed at various time scales

The confounding effects of step change invalidate the stationarity assumption of commonly used trend analysis methods such as the Mann–Kendall test technique, so previous studies have failed to explain inconsistencies between detected trends and observed large precipitation anomalies. The objectives of this study were to (1) formulate a trend analysis approach that considers nonstationarity due to step changes, (2) use this approach to detect trends and extreme occurrences of precipitation in a mid‐latitude Eurasian steppe watershed in North China, and (3) examine how runoff responds to precipitation trends in the study watershed. Our results indicate that annual precipitation underwent a marginal step jump around 1995. The significant annual downward trend after 1994 was primarily due to a decrease in summer rainfall; other seasons exhibited no significant precipitation trends. At a monthly scale, July rainfall after 1994 exhibited a significant downward trend, whereas precipitation in other months had no trend. The percentage of wet days also underwent a step jump around 1994 following a significant decreasing trend, although the precipitation intensity exhibited neither a step change nor any significant trend. However, both low‐frequency and high‐frequency precipitation events in the study watershed occurred more often after than before 1994; probably as either a result or an indicator of climate change. In response to these precipitation changes, the study watershed had distinctly different precipitation‐runoff relationships for observed annual precipitations of less than 300 mm, between 300 and 400 mm, and greater than 400 mm. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

河北省及邻区数字电扰动干扰分析

通过对河北省及邻区数字电扰动观测资料进行分析和环境调查,发现主要干扰因素为供电或漏电干扰。如:昌黎地震台地电阻率整点测量受到供电干扰,三河地震台受到恒远自动化仪表厂工作时段供电干扰,高碑店地震台受到商场大型设备供电干扰,广平地震台受到UPS交流电源漏电干扰,昌平地震台受到地铁运行漏电干扰等。电扰动干扰形态相似,均为超过本底值几倍、数十倍乃至上百倍的高值脉冲变化。     

地震活动时序谱的涨落统计特征与地震活跃期

为寻求地震活动演化的统计判据，本文采用多项式拟合法展示地震时序谱之涨落谱，以分维函数法判断最小邻间距（NNS）分布的Poisson性，然后采用MKS无参量法判别涨落谱之统计稳定性，确定NNS分布的转变区，具体研讨了四川、云南若干震区地震活动时序谱的涨落统计分布，发现地震活跃期到来时NNS分布表现出非Poisson化的特征。进一步通过改变和调节时序数据样本集之震级下限，并逐段前推进行统计计算的方式进一步验证结果的可靠性，客观地确定了这些震区地震活动时序涨落谱统计特征的转变期，使根据该统计法判断地震活跃期的方法论渐趋完善。     

Mechanisms and climatic-ecological effects of the Great Oxidation Event in the early Proterozoic

Science China Earth Sciences - This paper briefly introduces the conception and research history of the Great Oxidation Event (GOE) in the early Paleoproterozoic and summarizes the primary...