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151.
152.
Since the discovery of quasars, it has been recognized that these objects must have either an extraordinary intrinsic brightness or a nonlinear redshift. The most widely accepted current belief incorporates a linear (Hubble) redshift- distance relation and time evolution within a Big Bang model. We reconsider the possibility of a nonlinear (de Sitter) redshift-distance relation and find quasar intrinsic brightness to be not at all extraordinary. Given a de Sitter law, intrinsic brightness is found to be independent of redshift over five orders of magnitude. 相似文献
153.
Using a quasi-two-dimensional model of the Venus ionosphere, we calculated the ion number densities and horizontal ion bulk velocities expected for a range of solar zenith angles near the terminator (80 to 100°), and compared them with data obtained from the Pioneer Venus Orbiter retarding potential analyzer. The calculated ion bulk velocity arises entirely from the solar EUV-induced plasma pressure gradient and has a magnitude consistent with observations; ionization by suprathermal electrons is neglected in those computations. We find that while photoionization is the dominant source of ionospheric plasma for solar zenith angles less than 92°, plasma transport from the dayside is the dominant plasma source for solar zenith angles greater than 95°. We also show that the main nightside plasma peak at approximately 140 km altitude is of the F2 type (i.e., is diffusion controlled). Its altitude and shape are thus quite insensitive to the altitude of the ion source. 相似文献
154.
This paper examines the issue of modeling dynamic aspects of shopping trip-making behavior using time series data and presents the results of an empirical analysis based on a two-week travel diary survey of households in Hamilton, Ontario. It is concluded that logit models incorporating time dependent variables perform significantly better in terms of both calibrated goodness-of-fit and predictive capabilities than do models which assume no time dependency between choices. 相似文献
155.
Collins M.D. Ali H.B. Authement M.J. Nagl A. Uberall H. Miller J.F. Arvelo J.I. 《Oceanic Engineering, IEEE Journal of》1988,13(4):235-244
The effects of refracting sediments on low-frequency sound propagation in range-dependent oceans are studied with parabolic equation models. The predictions of three sediment sound-speed models for low-frequency propagation are compared. Two factors that result in sediment sound-speed gradients are considered. Variation in static pressure due to the variation in the weight of overlying material causes sediment sound speed to increase with depth. The thermodynamic influence of the ocean results in large sound-speed gradients in a boundary layer in the uppermost layer of the sediment. The associated affects of attenuation on propagation are also considered. Both time-domain and frequency-domain results are presented 相似文献
156.
157.
The new model of the cometary head proposed in papers I and II is developed and applied to comet Burnham. It takes into account the likely existence of a halo of large icy particles surrounding the nucleus. These particles are steadily stripped from the nucleus by evaporating gases. Their terminal velocity and their rate of evaporation set the size of the halo. The existence of the icy halo influences in two ways the photometric characteristics of the coma. This paper establishes the photometric shape of the continuum as reflected by the icy grains, and compares it to the observed continuum of comet Burnham. Paper IV will compare the predictions of the model with the photometric profile of the molecular emission bands of C2, in the same comet. 相似文献
158.
Evaluating regional climate model estimates against site-specific observed data in the UK 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
M. Rivington D. Miller K. B. Matthews G. Russell G. Bellocchi K. Buchan 《Climatic change》2008,88(2):157-185
This paper compares precipitation, maximum and minimum air temperature and solar radiation estimates from the Hadley Centre’s
HadRM3 regional climate model (RCM), (50 × 50 km grid cells), with observed data from 15 meteorological station in the UK,
for the period 1960–90. The aim was to investigate how well the HadRM3 is able to represent weather characteristics for a
historical period (hindcast) for which validation data exist. The rationale was to determine if the HadRM3 data contain systematic
errors and to investigate how suitable the data are for use in climate change impact studies at particular locations. Comparing
modelled and observed data helps assess and quantify the uncertainty introduced to climate impact studies. The results show
that the model performs very well for some locations and weather variable combinations, but poorly for others. Maximum temperature
estimations are generally good, but minimum temperature is overestimated and extreme cold events are not represented well.
For precipitation, the model produces too many small events leading to a serious under estimation of the number of dry days
(zero precipitation), whilst also over- or underestimating the mean annual total. Estimates represent well the temporal distribution
of precipitation events. The model systematically over-estimates solar radiation, but does produce good quality estimates
at some locations. It is concluded that the HadRM3 data are unsuitable for detailed (i.e. daily time step simulation model
based) site-specific impacts studies in their current form. However, the close similarity between modelled and observed data
for the historical case raises the potential for using simple adjustment methods and applying these to future projection data. 相似文献
159.
160.
slaug Geirsdttir Gifford H. Miller Yarrow Axford Sdís
lafsdttir 《Quaternary Science Reviews》2009,28(21-22):2107-2118
Multiproxy climate records from Iceland document complex changes in terrestrial climate and glacier fluctuations through the Holocene, revealing some coherent patterns of change as well as significant spatial variability. Most studies on the Last Glacial Maximum and subsequent deglaciation reveal a dynamic Iceland Ice Sheet (IIS) that responded abruptly to changes in ocean currents and sea level. The IIS broke up catastrophically around 15 ka as the Polar Front migrated northward and sea level rose. Indications of regional advance or halt of the glaciers are seen in late Alleröd/early Younger Dryas time and again in PreBoreal time. Due to the apparent rise of relative sea level in Iceland during this time, most sites contain evidence for fluctuating, tidewater glacier termini occupying paleo fjords and bays. The time between the end of the Younger Dryas and the Preboreal was characterized by repeated jökulhlaups that eroded glacial deposits. By 10.3 ka, the main ice sheet was in rapid retreat across the highlands of Iceland. The Holocene thermal maximum (HTM) was reached after 8 ka with land temperatures estimated to be 3 °C higher than the 1961–1990 reference, and net precipitation similar to modern. Such temperatures imply largely ice-free conditions across Iceland in the early to mid-Holocene. Several marine and lacustrine sediment climate proxies record substantial summer temperature depression between 8.5 and 8 ka, but no moraines have been detected from that time. Termination of the HTM and onset of Neoglacial cooling took place sometime after 6 ka with increased glacier activity between 4.5 and 4.0 ka, intensifying between 3.0 and 2.5 ka. Although a distinct warming during the Medieval Warm Period is not dramatically apparent in Icelandic records, the interval from ca AD 0 to 1200 is commonly characterized by relative stability with slow rates of change. The literature most commonly describes Little Ice Age moraines (ca AD 1250–1900) as representing the most extensive ice margins since early Holocene deglaciation, with temperature depressions of 1–2 °C compared to the AD 1961–1990 average. Steep north–south and west–east temperature gradients are reconstructed in the Holocene records of Iceland, suggesting a strong maritime influence on the terrestrial climate of Iceland. 相似文献