An integrated study of economic effects of and vulnerabilities to global warming on the Barents Sea cod fisheries

The Barents Sea area is characterised by a highly fluctuating physical environment causing substantial variations in the ecosystems and fisheries depending upon this. Simulations assuming different management regimes have been carried out to study how physical and biological effects of global warming influence the Barents Sea cod fisheries. A regional, high-resolution representation of the B2 world region (OECD90) scenario from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was used to calculate water temperatures and plankton biomasses by hydrodynamic modelling. These results were included in simulations performed by a multi-fleet, multi-species model, by which a fully integrated model linking to the global circulation model to the Barents Sea fisheries through a regional downscaling to the Barents Sea area is constructed. One factor of particular importance for the natural annual biological variations is the occasional inflow of young herring into the Barents Sea area. The herring inflow is difficult to predict and links to dynamical systems outside the Barents Sea area, complex recruitment mechanisms and oceanographic conditions. These processes are in the study represented by a stochastic representation of herring inflow based on historical observations. According to the performed simulations the biomass fluctuations may slightly increase over the next 25 years, possibly caused by changes in temperature patterns. Six different management regimes have been included in the study and the results support earlier studies claiming that the choice of management regime potentially has a greater importance for biological and economic performance in the Barents Sea fisheries than impacts which derive from global warming over the next 25 years. A basic assumption for this conclusion is however that the Barents Sea ecosystem essentially preserves its structure and composition of today. Possible, unpredictable significant shifts in the ecosystem structure are not considered.     

Avalanche Run-Out on Counter-Slopes

Counter-slopes in avalanche paths influence avalanche flow in similarways as defence structures. Measurements and calculations of run-outon such slopes will improve our understanding of retaining damdesign. We have studied three different, well described avalancheevents; for each case we have calculated the run-out distance usingthe Noren, Irgens and Schieldrops continuum model (NIS), adjustingthe parameters to fit the simulated avalancheto the observed one. Using the same parameters, the run-out onidentical terrain, but without counter-slope, is computed. Comparisonbetween the energy dissipation in these different cases tells us whichtopography most efficiently retards an avalanche. With a smoothly curved valley bottom, the energy dissipation at agiven point on the opposite slope is less than on a flatrun-out. The explanation to this is that, when gravity retards anavalanche, a smaller portion of the energy loss is due to dissipationfrom viscous (velocity dependent) friction. When the avalanche travelsover a retaining dam, with much smaller curvature radii, a significantportion of the energy is dissipated. The consequence of this is that defence structures are not sodependent on the counter-slope inclination as on the curvature radiusin the transition to up-gradient. Further, introduction of acounter-slope in an avalanche path may conserve energy rather thancausing dissipation – if the inclination is not altered abruptlyenough. If the counter-slope is smooth, and not large enough tocompletely stop the avalanche, it will not reduce destructive energyon the downstream side. In fact, the destructive energy may bepartially conserved until the run-out.     

Wave-trains in the solar wind

The main results of Whitham's averaged Lagrangian method for the treatment of linear wave-trains in a weakly inhomogeneous, moving medium are presented briefly. This method is then applied to an ideal, isotropic, one-fluid plasma which can be taken for the lowest order approximation for the interplanetary solar wind expansion.     

Untersuchungen über die Fruchtbarkeit des Blaufelchens (Coregonus wartmanni Bloch) im Bodensee

Ohne Zusammenfassung Herrn Prof. Dr. P. Meyer-Waarden zum 60. Geburtstag gewidmet Mit Unterstützung des Ministeriums für Ern?hrung, Landwirtschaft und Forsten, Baden-Württemberg, und des Bayerischen Staatsministeriums für Ern?hrung, Landwirtschaft und Forsten.     

A general method for an explicit determination of the shape of the earth from gravimetric data

Summary The principal formulae of the geophysical geodesy are based on the famous explicit expression of Stokes (1849). Up to now, there has been no method for a computation of the corresponding explicit expression of a (non-spherical) surface with masses outside the geoid. In this paper there is a solution of this problem. Another paper on this subject was presented to “Nordiska geodetm?tet” in Copenhagen May 1959 (in Swedish).     

The age of the sub Mid-Jurassic tropical weathering profile of andoya,northern Norway,and the implications for the late palaeozoic palaeography in the North Atlantic region

Results are given of a programme of K-Ar age determinations from an equatorial weathering profile beneath the Mid-Jurassic unconformitiy of Anøya, northern Norway. A model is presented where the original age of weathering is considered as Lower Carboniferous with partial resetting of ages during subsequent diagenesis. It is concluded that the Kaolinite of the weathering profile became a closed system of⁴⁰Ar diffusion in late Triassic times, and that a sufficient thickness of Mesozoic-Tertiary strata was never developed to occasion the resetting of the ages. The implication of the results is that a former thick cover of Upper Palaezoic age formerly existed in the region which was effectively removed by erosion in late Triassic — early Jurassic times. The results of the study are reviewed in a context of North Atlantic palaeogeographical evolution.

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Zusammenfassung Aus einem fossilen Bodenprofil unterhalb der mitteljurassischen Diskordanz in Nordnorwegen wurden K-Ar-Alter bestimmt, die auf eine Verwitterung während des Unterkarbons hinweisen. Während der folgenden Diagenese sind die Alter teilweise neu eingestellt worden. Dabei zeigt sich, daß der Kaolinite des ursprünglichen Bodenprofils erst ab Obertrias einem für Ar⁴⁰-Diffusion geschlossenen System angehört. Es folgt weiter, daß während des Mesozoikums und Tertiärs keine größere Sedimentbedeckung mehr über diesen Profilen möglich war, wohingegen eine erhebliche Mächtigkeit von jungpaläozoischen Sedimenten ehedem vorlag, die während der Obertrias abgetragen wurde. Diese Beobachtungen können mit der paläogeographischen Entwicklung des Nord-Atlantik in Zusammenhang gebracht werden.

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Résumé On a déterminé les âges K-Ar, donnés par un sol d'alteration formé pendant le Carbonifère inférieur et sous-jacent à la discordance du jurassique moyen, au nord de la Norvège. Les âges ont été en partie de nouveau déterminés, lors des diagénèses suivantes. Il en ressort que la Kaolinite du profil du sol originel n'appartient à un système fermé de diffusion Ar⁴⁰ qu'à partir du Trias supérieur. Il s'ensuit qu'un recouvrement sédimentaire épais n'a pu se déposer sur ce profil au cours du Secondaire et du Tertiaire, tandis qu'une épaisseur considérable de sédiments du Paléozoique supérieur existait, enlevès ensuite par érosion au Trias supérieur. Ces observations peuvent être mises en rapport avec le développement paléogéographique de l'Atlantique-Nord.

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The point of no return and pectoral angle of Japanese anchovy(Engraulis japonicus) larvae during growth and starvation

At a temperature of 23.0~24.8℃,the mixed feeding of Japanese anchovy larvae was initiated 24 h before the yolk-sac was exhausted.The point of no return(PNR) was reached on the 6th day after hatching.On the 4th day after hatching,the pectoral angle appeared in both fed and unfed anchovy larvae although it was more evident and sharper in the starved and the PNR stage larvae than in the fed ones.According to observations of larvae collected in the sea,the pectoral angles were evident not only in the larvae of 3.62~7.44 mm in standard length,but also in the larvae of 2.70 mm in standard length with remnants of yolk.The pectoral angles became diffuse when the larvae reached 7.84 mm and vanished at 9.86 mm.The pectoral angle cannot be used as a criterion to distinguish healthy from starving larvae.     

Wave-trains in the solar wind

The equations of motion of all relevant parameters of Alfvén waves propagating from the sun outwardly into the expanding interplanetary medium are discussed for the case of a quiet, ideal, isotropic, one-fluid solar wind plasma. It is found that the frequency of the wave reamains constant, while the wave vector and the amplitudes depend, in general, on the evolution of the background medium and on the angle between the wave vector and the interplanetary magnetic field. This latter dependence cancels approximately for the evolution of the amplitudes in the case of a pure, overall spiral magnetic field. It is shown that in this case the results of earlier discussions can be derived by less decisive restrictions.     

The contribution of urban runoff to organic contaminant levels in harbour sediments near two Norwegian cities

The main aim of the present study was to compare the quality of particle emissions (urban runoff and settling particles in rivers and harbours) to the quality of top-layer bed sediments, for two Norwegian harbours (Oslo and Drammen). A sub-aim was to investigate whether non-industrial urban runoff contributed to the organotin load of sediments, apart from leaching from ship hulls. Time-integrated samples of stormwater runoff were obtained in an innovative manner, by sampling man-holes in the stormwater system. Settling particles were sampled with sediment traps. The study focused on PAHs, PCBs and organotin compounds. Contaminant levels were generally a factor of 2-10 (PAHs) and 3-30 (TBT) lower in emitted riverine and runoff particles than in top-layer bed sediments, except for PCBs in Oslo harbour (only 20-30% lower). Significant levels of tributyltin (TBT; median 140mug/kg) were shown in runoff particles, showing that TBT can also be emitted via urban sources, since the sampled man-holes were not in areas where dry-docking activities take place. Possible land-based TBT sources include long-lasting house paint and use of TBT as PVC stabilizer and timber preservative. Since there are ongoing emissions into the two studied harbour areas, it is concluded that the addition of an actively sorbing capping material such as activated carbon might be the best remediation alternative.     

On a relativistic geodesy

Theoretical formulas for relativistic estimation of geopotential differences are given. The relativistic geoid is defined. A technique for measuring potential differences with high precision clocks (masers or equivalent) is described. The method can operate over arbitrary terrestrial distances. Two clocks are used. The drift between the clocks is estimated by using closed loops. The clocks are used in an operational mode during the whole measuring interval. No satellite links are necessary but VLBI, GPS and ANIK-links can be used in combination with the method.