磁暴事件简报智能化产品设计

磁暴事件影响日地空间环境,例如：通讯系统、电力系统、输油管道、空间飞行器等均会受到严重影响。磁暴观测是地磁台站的常规业务工作,结合地震行业发展规划,考虑其他行业对磁暴数据指数的需求,基于Datist数据专家程序设计磁暴事件智能化系统,可在磁暴发生后快速、及时、准确地推送详细指数,根据不同用户需求,以专业磁暴简报产品报告形式进行输出,为用户开展事件分析和深入研究提供基础数据。     

b-value and fractal dimension variations in Iran

Iran sits on a region with a high intrinsic level of seismic activity due to its tectonic setting. Through statistical examination of the earthquakes listed in the catalogue from International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES), this research attempted to calculate some seismicity factors and find correlation between them. A preliminary analysis indicated changes in the b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter relationship over the study region. Thus, the study area was divided into five zones (Alborz, Zagros, Azerbaijan, Central and East) and b-value was computed for each zone. Considering faulting mechanism styles and the b-values in the region, it was found that the lowest b-values belong to the thrust events and strike-slip faulting earthquakes have intermediate values. These findings support previous studies. Furthermore, results of b-value calculation were used for the estimation of accumulated differential stresses (σ₁–σ₂) over each zone. Overall, the b-value for Iran is averagely low which signifies the high stress tectonic regime in this region. Also, by having calculated fractal dimension (D) in each zone, a correlation obtained showing that in Iran region, the b-value correlates to fractal dimension by D = 4.2b–2 relation which does not support Aki's (1981) speculation of D = 3b/c.     

Mathematical modelling of ionospheric TEC from Turkish permanent GNSS Network (TPGN) observables during 2009–2017 and predictability of NeQuick and Kriging models

The present study examines the ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC) variations in the lower mid-latitude Turkish region from the Turkish permanent GNSS network (TPGN) and International GNSS Services (IGS) observations during the years 2009 to 2017. The corresponding vertical TEC (VTEC) predicted by Kriging and NeQuick-2 models are evaluated to realize their efficacy over the country. We studied the diurnal, seasonal and spatial pattern of VTEC variation and tried to estimate by a new mathematical model using the long term of 9 years VTEC data. The diurnal variation of VTEC demonstrates a normal trend with its gradual enhancement from dawn to attain a peak around 09:00–14.00 UT and reaching the minimum level after 22.00 UT. The seasonal behavior of VTEC indicates a strong semi-annual variation of VTEC with maxima in September equinox followed by March equinox and minima in June solstice followed by December solstice. Also, the spatial variation in VTEC depicts a meaningful longitudinal/latitudinal pattern altering with seasons. It decreases longitudinally from the west to the east during March equinox and June solstice increases with latitude. The comparative analysis among the GNSS-VTEC, Kriging, NeQuick and the proposed mathematical model are evaluated with the help one way ANOVA test. The analysis shows that the null hypothesis of the models during storm and quiet days are accepted and suggesting that all models are statistically significantly equivalent from each other. We believe the outcomes from this study would complement towards a relatively better understanding of the lower mid-latitude VTEC variation over the Turkish region and analogous latitudes over the globe.     

Temperature distribution in the transition region and inner corona

The energy balance equation for a general solar atmosphere without assuming the plane-parallel approximation is solved analytically. This leads to models for both the transition region and inner corona as well as for the outer corona. The form of the latter is very similar to that of the hydrostatic conduction model of Chapman (1957). However, in this paper we confine ourselves only to the former.Model I is electron-pressure dependent but model II depends particularly on the maximum coronal temperature T _m and its corresponding altitude h _m. Both the models are compared with recently constructed temperature models of Chiuderi and Riani (1974), McWhirter et al. (1975), and Gabriel (1976a). It is concluded that our model II reproduces these models within a factor of not more than 2.     

Estimating ground water recharge from topography, hydrogeology, and land cover

Proper management of ground water resources requires knowledge of the rates and spatial distribution of recharge to aquifers. This information is needed at scales ranging from that of individual communities to regional. This paper presents a methodology to calculate recharge from readily available ground surface information without long-term monitoring. The method is viewed as providing a reasonable, but conservative, first approximation of recharge, which can then be fine-tuned with other methods as time permits. Stream baseflow was measured as a surrogate for recharge in small watersheds in southeastern Wisconsin. It is equated to recharge (R) and then normalized to observed annual precipitation (P). Regression analysis was constrained by requiring that the independent and dependent variables be dimensionally consistent. It shows that R/P is controlled by three dimensionless ratios: (1) infiltrating to overland water flux, (2) vertical to lateral distance water must travel, and (3) percentage of land cover in the natural state. The individual watershed properties that comprise these ratios are now commonly available in GIS data bases. The empirical relationship for predicting R/P developed for the study watersheds is shown to be statistically viable and is then tested outside the study area and against other methods of calculating recharge. The method produces values that agree with baseflow separation from streamflow hydrographs (to within 15% to 20%), ground water budget analysis (4%), well hydrograph analysis (12%), and a distributed-parameter watershed model calibrated to total streamflow (18%). It has also reproduced the temporal variation over 5 yr observed at a well site with an average error < 12%.     

Estimation of site amplification,attenuation and source spectra of S-waves in the East-Central Iran

Generalized inversion of the S-wave amplitude spectra from the strong-motion network data in the East-Central Iran has been used to estimate simultaneously source parameters, site response and the S-wave attenuation (Q_s). In this regard, 190 three-component records were used corresponded to 40 earthquakes with the magnitudes M3.5–M7.3. These earthquakes were recorded at 42 stations in the hypocentral distance range from 9 to 200 km. The inverse problem was solved in 20 logarithmically equally spaced points in the frequency band from 0.4 to 15 Hz. The frequency-dependent site amplification was imposed, as a constraint, on two reference site responses in order to remove the undetermined degree of freedom in the inversion and obtain a unique inverse solution. Also, a geometrical spreading factor was assumed for removing the trade-off between geometrical spreading and anelastic attenuation. Different source parameters, such as seismic moment (M₀), seismic energy (E_s), corner frequency (f_c) and Brune stress drop (Δσ), were estimated for each event by fitting an ω² model to the spectra obtained from the inversion. The stress drop values of earthquakes, obtained in this research, are in good agreement with those of other studies. Also average site response values were correlated to the average shear wave velocities in the uppermost 30 m, in high and low frequency bands. The peak frequencies of site amplifications, estimated by the generalized inversion method, where in good agreement with those of horizontal to vertical (H/V) spectral ratios for the S-wave portion of records. However, no perfect matching in amplitude was obtained due to the deficiencies of the H/V ratio technique. By supposing a free shape for Q factor, a frequency dependent function was found, the logarithm of which could be approximated by a linear function, Q(f)=151f^0.75. The uncertainties of model parameters have been evaluated by covariance matrix of least-square fit. The residuals were also analyzed in order to assess the validity of the model. The analysis of residuals with respect to magnitude and distance indicates that they are distributed normally with approximately zero mean. The robustness of the results has been studied concerning their sensitivities to the omission of different datasets, selected randomly from original database. The results obtained here can be used in predicting ground-motion parameters applying stochastic methods.     

2000-2012年鄂尔多斯高原植被动态及干旱响应

针对鄂尔多斯高原植被覆盖变化受干旱胁迫的状况,该文结合降水和气温的协同变化,以2000-2012年生长季的MODIS-NDVI数据和同期降水、温度和帕尔默干旱指数为依据,采用线性趋势分析、标准偏差分析和相关性分析等方法,对鄂尔多斯高原植被与气候变化的相关关系和干旱异常变化对植被动态的影响进行了研究.结果表明:鄂尔多斯高原生长季及季节(春季、夏季和秋季)植被归一化植被指数主要受降水的控制和干旱的制约,秋季归一化植被指数更多地受到夏季干旱的影响.与气象因子的空间相关分析表明,春季温度上升有利于研究区北部归一化植被指数像元的增加.在荒漠草原和沙漠地区,夏季干旱与归一化植被指数的相关关系最强.秋季降水对典型草原归一化植被指数的提升显著.     

Assessment of Potential Alkali Aggregate Reactivity for Siliceous and Carbonate Aggregates: A Case Study

Alkali-aggregate reactivity (AAR) involves a reaction between the pore solution of concrete and certain minerals found in some aggregates. To assess the potential AAR various physical and chemical tests are available and extensively used. The petrographic examination is the initial assessment that decides the further investigation for potential reactivity of an aggregate. A chemical approach is another option to assess the aggregate for potential AAR. The accelerated mortar bar method and concrete prism tests are other very important tests for determination of potential AAR of aggregates samples. However, a combination of the results of all the techniques provides most reliable results for potential AAR in aggregates. Moreover, each test represents the stepwise investigation and provides the decision for the test of next approach. Petrographic examination and chemical test methods are the quick decision-making methods for the estimation of potential AAR. In some cases, by these two methods, the aggregate can be selected and rejected confidently. However, for critical values or doubtful aggregates, further tests are necessary to develop a higher confidence level of the results. The present study comprises of the assessment of the alkali-reactivity of siliceous and carbonate aggregates using petrographic and chemical approaches. X-ray diffraction analysis was used as a complementary method to the petrographic evaluation. Moreover, under chemical approach, two separate test methods were used for siliceous and carbonate aggregates. The study also included a comparison between the petrographic examination and chemical analysis for the same aggregate samples and found significant results.