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991.
W. R. Skinner M. D. Flannigan B. J. Stocks D. L. Martell B. M. Wotton J. B. Todd J. A. Mason K. A. Logan E. M. Bosch 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2002,71(3-4):157-169
Summary
In Canada, the average annual area of burned forest has increased from around 1 million ha in the 1970’s to over 2.5 million
ha in the 1990’s. A previous study has identified the link between anomalous mid-tropospheric circulation at 500 hPa over
northern North America and wildland fire severity activity in various large regions of Canada over the entire May to August
fire season. In this study, a northern North American study region of the hemispheric gridded 5° latitude by 10° longitude
500 hPa dataset is identified and analysed from 1959 to 1996 for a sequence of six monthly periods through the fire season,
beginning in April and ending in September. Synoptic types, or modes of upper air behavior, are determined objectively by
the eigenvector method employing K-means cluster analysis. Monthly burned areas from the Canadian Large Fire Database (LFDB)
for the same period, 1959 to 1996, are analysed in conjunction with the classified monthly 500 hPa synoptic types. Relationships
between common monthly patterns of anomalous upper flow and spatial patterns of large fire occurrence are examined at the
ecozone level. Average occurrence of a monthly synoptic type associated with very large area burned is approximately 18% of
the years from 1959 to 1996. The largest areas burned during the main fire (May to August) season occur in the western Boreal
and Taiga ecozones – the Taiga Plains, Taiga Shield, Boreal West Shield and Boreal Plains. Monthly burned areas are also analysed
temporally in conjunction with a calculated monthly zonal index (Zim) for two separate areas defined to cover western and eastern Canada. In both western and eastern Canada, high area burned
is associated with synoptic types with mid-tropospheric ridging in the proximity of the affected region and low Zim with weak westerlies and strong meridional flow over western Canada.
Received April 3, 2001 Revised July 13, 2001 相似文献
992.
Summary The existence of low-frequency variability in climatic-hydrological-oceanic variables may be useful for long-term forecasting
and climate modelling. By using long time series this paper attempts to identify large-scale quasi-cycles in the precipitation
regimes of Northern Argentina, moisture advection from the Atlantic Ocean and the streamflow of the Paraná River. This work
also shows the presence of coherent waves with long periodicity between the three series. As the three variables are estimated
over different time intervals, the presence of waves in each variable is studied separately, to show they respond to the same
process. The three variables show significant interdecadal variability at low frequency (22–26 years), which might be related
to the ENSO cycle modulation and to the intensification or weakening of the South American Low Level Jet (SALLJ) and South
Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ). 相似文献
993.
This study explains why a number of El Nino properties (period, amplitude, structure, and propagation) have changed in a coherent manner since the late 1970s and why these changes had almost concurred with the Pacific decadal climate shift. Evidence is presented to show that from the pre-shift (1961-1975) to the post-shift (1981-1995) epoch, significant changes in the tropical Pacific are found in the surface winds and temperature, whereas changes in the thermocline are uncertain. Numerical experiments with the Cane and Zebiak model demonstrate that the decadal changes in the surface winds qualitatively reproduce the observed coherent changes in El Nino properties. The fundamental factor that altered the model's El Nino is the decadal changes of the background equatorial winds and associated upwelling. The annual cycle is also necessary for the mean state to modulate El Nino. From the pre- to post-shift epoch, the changes in the background winds and upwelling modify the structure of the coupled mode (eastward displacement of the equatorial westerly anomalies) by reallocating anomalous atmospheric heating and SST gradient along the equator. This structural change amplifies the ENSO cycle and prolongs the oscillation period by enhancing the coupled instability and delaying transitions from a warm to a cold state or vice versa. The changes in the mean currents and upwelling reduce the effect of the zonal temperature advection while enhance that of the vertical advection; thus, the prevailing westward propagation is replaced by eastward propagation or standing oscillation. Our results suggest a critical role of the atmospheric bridge that rapidly conveys the influences of extratropical decadal variations to the tropics, and the possibility that the Pacific climate shift might have affected El Nino properties in the late 1970s by changing the background tropical winds and the associated equatorial upwelling. 相似文献
994.
利用1951~2000年共50年的北半球500 hPa月平均高度距平场资料和奇异值分解技术(SVD),重点对东亚地区季节间大气环流异常的相互关系进行了初步探讨。结果表明,东亚地区季节间大气环流异常存在着较为密切的关联,并且这种明显的非同步联系具有时空相关显著的特点,尤其是夏季大气环流异常与其前冬和前春大气环流异常的联系更为密切。当前冬和前春北半球东亚大槽和北美大槽及蒙古高压偏强(或偏弱),极涡偏弱(或偏强),中高纬度盛行经向环流(或纬向环流),以及低纬和热带地区高度正距平(或负距平)明显时,则对应于夏季东亚地区西太平洋副高和鄂霍次克海阻高强度偏强(或偏弱),位置偏南(或偏北),贝加尔湖阻高强度也偏强(或偏弱),但位置偏西(或偏东)的大尺度环流形势出现。当春季北半球大气环流具有上述特点以及夏季鄂霍次克海阻高和西太平洋副高强度偏强(或偏弱),位置偏南(或偏北),且极涡较弱(较强)时,则东亚地区秋季大气环流对应于蒙古高压加强(或较弱),西太平洋副高减弱(或加强),并向南和向东移动(或移动较慢),极涡向南扩散(或扩散减弱),大气环流向冬季过渡加快(或减慢)。另外,大气环流异常还具有一定的持续性特征。 相似文献
995.
996.
G. L. Geernaert 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2002,105(3):433-450
In order to apply Monin–Obukhov similarity theory to estimatethe profiles of mean quantities and surface fluxes from bulk meteorological parameters, the assumptions of homogeneityand stationarity must be valid. Unfortunately, in coastal zones as well as many other regions of interest, theseassumptions are often violated. In this paper, an extension to the theory is presented that considers systematically varyingstate variables. Along-wind variations of windspeed, atmospheric stratification, and roughness are examined with respectto their relative importance to momentum flux divergence, and the drag coefficient is shown to be systematicallylower in coastal zones. For profiles of scalars, an analysis of the set of quasi-homogeneous terms is only speculated,and the relative importance for the terms will strongly depend on which scalar is of interest. 相似文献
997.
W. M. L. Meijninger A. E. Green O. K. Hartogensis W. Kohsiek J. C. B. Hoedjes R. M. Zuurbier H. A. R. De Bruin 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2002,105(1):63-83
A large aperture scintillometer (LAS) andradio wave scintillometer (RWS)were installed over a heterogeneous areato test the applicability of the scintillation method.The heterogeneity in the area, whichconsisted of many plots, was mainly caused bydifferences in thermal properties ofthe crops; the variations in theaerodynamic roughness lengthwere small. The water vapour fluxesderived from the combined LAS-RWSsystem, also known as the two-wavelengthmethod, agreed fairly well with the aggregatedwater vapour fluxes derived from in-situeddy covariance measurements. The water vapourfluxes derived from a stand-alone LASare also presented. It was found that a single LASand an estimate of the area averagedavailable energy (using a simple parameterisationscheme) can provide also reasonablearea-averaged water vapour fluxes. 相似文献
998.
Summary The Betts-Miller and the Kain-Fritsch schemes are two of the many approaches to convective parameterization available to
modelers. In the case of hurricane Irene (1999), the choice of parameterization markedly impacted the modeled track and structure
of the hurricane and its subsequent extratropical transition. Specifically, in model runs using Betts-Miller, Irene recurved
too early, causing the storm to weaken over the cool open ocean, delaying its transition, and changing the character of the
storm. The Kain-Fritsch scheme more accurately reproduced the track of Irene and, hence, its interaction with upper-level
features that caused extratropical transition and post-transition intensification. The two parameterizations produce different
characteristic vertical warming profiles; the differences in warming are related to the structural differences in the simulated
storm, affecting the hurricane response to its environment.
Received October 13, 2001 Revised December 23, 2001 相似文献
999.
1000.
This paper describes an extension to the Combined Hydrology And Stability Model (CHASM) to fully include the effects of vegetation and slope plan topography on slope stability. The resultant physically based numerical model is designed to be applied to site‐specific slopes in which a detailed assessment of unsaturated and saturated hydrology is required in relation to vegetation, topography and slope stability. Applications are made to the Hawke's Bay region in New Zealand where shallow‐seated instability is strongly associated with spatial and temporal trends in vegetation cover types, and the Mid‐Levels region in Hong Kong, an area subject to a variety of landslide mechanisms, some of which may be subject to strong topographic control. An improved understanding of process mechanism, afforded by the model, is critical for reliable and appropriate design of slope stabilization and remedial measures. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献