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101.
Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
The last decade has produced record-breaking heat waves in many parts of the world. At the same time, it was globally the warmest since sufficient measurements started in the 19th century. Here we show that, worldwide, the number of local record-breaking monthly temperature extremes is now on average five times larger than expected in a climate with no long-term warming. This implies that on average there is an 80 % chance that a new monthly heat record is due to climatic change. Large regional differences exist in the number of observed records. Summertime records, which are associated with prolonged heat waves, increased by more than a factor of ten in some continental regions including parts of Europe, Africa, southern Asia and Amazonia. Overall, these high record numbers are quantitatively consistent with those expected for the observed climatic warming trend with added stationary white noise. In addition, we find that the observed records cluster both in space and in time. Strong El Niño years see additional records superimposed on the expected long-term rise. Under a medium global warming scenario, by the 2040s we predict the number of monthly heat records globally to be more than 12 times as high as in a climate with no long-term warming. 相似文献
102.
Type III solar radio bursts are investigated by modelling the propagation of the electron beam and the generation and subsequent propagation of waves to the observer. Predictions from this model are compared in detail with particle, Langmuir wave, and radio data from the ISEE-3 spacecraft and with other observations to clarify the roles of fundamental and harmonic emission in type III radio bursts. Langmuir waves are seen only after the arrival of the beam, in accord with the standard theory. These waves persist after a positive beam slope is last resolved, implying that sporadic positive slopes persist for some time, unresolved but in accord with the predictions of stochastic growth theory. Local electromagnetic emission sets in only after Langmuir waves are seen, in accord with the standard theory, which relies on nonlinear processes involving Langmuir waves. In the events investigated here, fundamental radiation appears to dominate early in the event, followed and/or accompanied by harmonic radiation after the peak, with a long-lived tail of multiply scattered fundamental or harmonic emission extending long afterwards. These results are largely independent of, but generally consistent with, the conclusions of earlier works. 相似文献
103.
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105.
S. C. Robinson 《Mathematical Geology》1970,2(4):377-397
Much effort is presently being given in Canada to the development of a national system for storage and retrieval of geologic data. Coordination of these efforts is directed by the secretariat of the National Institute for Geoscience Data under guidance of the Geological Survey of Canada. Most files are project oriented but archival files are justified for data whose observations cannot be repeated, such as those for mineral deposits. Presently, extensive file systems have been created for storage of information obtained in petroleum exploration and exploitation, mineral deposits, field mapping, and geochemistry and geophysics. A Canadian Index to Geoscience Data has been prepared and contains references to all maps and reports, published or unpublished, data banks, and all documents on open file for the federal and provincial agencies.SAFRAS, a general, self-adaptive free-format retrieval and storage system, is employed to retrieve data in plain language. Although geologists are using data systems, it will be the coming generation of geologists who will make maximum use of data processing in geology.presented to the Geological Society of Washington, 8 December 1969. 相似文献
106.
P. A. Robinson 《Solar physics》1992,139(1):147-163
A model is developed for the clumpy Langmuir waves observed in type III source regions. In this model the waves are generated by instability of a beam which propagates outward from the Sun in a state close to marginal stability. Ambient density perturbations cause fluctuations about the marginally stable state, leading to nonuniformities in both beam and waves and, hence, to spatially inhomogeneous growth. High damping rates and high wave levels are strongly anti-correlated, leading to suppression of the net damping. Below saturation stochastic growth causes the waves to follow a random walk in the logarithm of their energy density and the resulting probability of observing a field of magnitude E is approximately proportional to E
-1. Comparison with observations shows that this model can account for the levels and clumpiness of the Langmuir waves, the small net dissipation required for the beams to propagate to 1 AU, the characteristic decay time of type III electromagnetic emission, and the negative mean growth rate observed in situ in type III sources. At 1 AU only the very highest fields approach the threshold for nonlinear wave collapse, but this threshold may be more commonly exceeded closer to the Sun. 相似文献
107.
The question of what lies ahead is of particular concern for Latin Americanists. The last decade has witnessed a serious erosion of both the popularity of their specialty, and an equally troublesome reduction in employment opportunities. This paper uses Association of American Geographers (AAG) data bases to document the age-gender structure of contemporary Latin Americanist geographers, and projects likely compositional changes through the end of the century. 相似文献
108.
R. D. Robinson 《Solar physics》1978,56(2):405-416
A model for the solar Type V event is developed. This model assumes that the basic difference between Type III and Type V bursts is the evolution of the electron beam. For a Type V this beam rapidly elongates, so that it takes progressively longer times to pass higher plasma levels. Physical process influencing the beam development, including Coulomb collisions, non-linear interactions with Langmuir waves and wave-particle scattering from various hydromagnetic wave modes is discussed. The model is compared with previously derived models and with observations.Operated by the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy, Inc. under contract with the National Science Foundation. 相似文献
109.
A new approach to the theory of mode coupling in an inhomogeneous, birefringent medium is used to treat mode coupling in a magnetized plasma with a twisted magnetic field. The twist introduces a resonance, corresponding to the rate of twisting being equal to the rate of generalized Faraday rotation. When this resonance occurs it introduces a new regime of strong mode coupling. The implications of this regime are discussed in connection with the long-standing problem in solar radiophysics that mode coupling appears to be stronger than theory implies, but no obvious resolution of the problem is found. 相似文献
110.