地壳波浪运动对黄淮石炭二叠纪聚煤区的控制作用

黄淮聚煤区系指鲁西、皖北和苏西北的广阔地带,东以郯庐断裂为界,南以肥中断裂为界,北至渤海,西至鲁、皖两省边界为界,是我国东部的一个重要聚煤区。其中尤以石炭二叠纪的煤发育最好,蕴藏量极为丰富,其聚煤规律的探讨,对于开发利用该地区丰富的煤炭资源,有着重要的意义。我们在华东区煤田预测的基础上,运用地壳波浪运动的理论,探讨了黄淮聚煤区的聚煤规律。由于我们对地壳波浪运动理论的学习还很肤浅,难免有不足与谬误处,敬请批评指正。     

Wind tunnel simulation experiment and investigation on the electrification of sandstorms

~~Wind tunnel simulation experiment and investigation on the electrification of sandstorms~~     

A Simulation Study on the Extreme Temperature Events of the 20th Century by Using the BCC_AGCM

Extreme temperature events are simulated by using the Beijing Climate Center Atmospheric General Circulation Model (BCC AGCM) in this paper. The model has been run for 136 yr with the observed external forcing data including solar insolation, greenhouse gases, and monthly sea surface temperature (SST). The daily maximum and minimum temperatures are simulated by the model, and 16 indices representing various extreme temperature events are calculated based on these two variables. The results show that the maximum of daily maximum temperature (TXX), maximum of daily minimum (TNX), minimum of daily maximum (TXN), minimum of daily minimum (TNN), warm days (TX90p), warm nights (TN90p), summer days (SU25), tropical nights (TR20), and warm spell duration index (WSDI) have increasing trends during the 20th century in most regions of the world, while the cold days (TX10p), cold nights (TN10p), and cold spell duration index (CSDI) have decreasing trends. The probability density function (PDF) of warm/cold days/nights for three periods of 1881-1950, 1951- 1978, and 1979-2003 is examined. It is found that before 1950, the cold day/night has the largest probability, while for the period of 1979-2003, it has the smallest probability. In contrast to the decreasing trend of cold days/nights, the PDF of warm days/nights exhibits an opposite trend. In addition, the frost days (FD) and ice days (ID) have decreasing trends, the growing season has lengthened, and the diurnal temperature range is getting smaller during the 20th century. A comparison of the above extreme temperature indices between the model output and NCEP data (taken as observation) for 1948-2000 indicates that the mean values and the trends of the simulated indices are close to the observations, and overall there is a high correlation between the simulated indices and the observations. But the simulated trends of FD, ID, growing season length, and diurnal temperature range are not consistent with the observations and their correlations are low or even negative. This indicates that the model is incapable to simulate these four indices although it has captured most indices of the extreme temperature events.     

何处是天堂

去过古镇的姐妹回来,一幅痴痴傻傻的样子:"愿此生长居此地……"我知道这种症状,因为我曾得闲去某海城,咸咸的海风,长长的栈道,刚出生不久的萝莉螃蟹,袅袅升起的绕城浓雾,海边隐约可见的房子……靡靡的感慨从我周身每个毛孔里堵不住地往外冒。偶遇一位直爽的当地人,对这番"恋海情结"甚是不屑:"海景房有什么好,潮湿风大还死贵,外地傻子才会买。"一时间,我抱了很久的那个"有一所房子,面朝大海,春暖花开"的信条轰然散去,罹患多年的矫情劲也愣是给根治了。     

松花江流域气候变化及ECHAM5模式预估

 根据松花江流域1961-2000年观测气温、降水量资料和ECHAM5/MPI-OM模式对该流域21世纪前50 a气候变化的预估结果,分析了松花江流域1961-2000年年平均气温和年降水量变化,并对21世纪前50 a气温和降水量变化趋势进行了预估。结果表明,在全球变暖的背景下,作为中国气候变暖区域响应的先锋,松花江流域年平均气温自1980年代初持续升高,升温幅度比较显著;年降水量在1961-2000年无明显增加或减少趋势,年代际差异也不大。相对于1961-1990年的气候场,21世纪前半叶,年平均气温仍将呈明显增加趋势,到2040年代升温幅度达1℃以上,年降水量变化趋势不显著,可能微弱增加,但冬季平均气温和冬季降水量都呈增加趋势,春季降水量也为增加趋势。     

Simulations of the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation by the Atmospheric General Circulation Model of the Beijing Climate Center

The performance of BCC (Beijing Climate Center) AGCM 2.0.1 (Atmospheric General Circulation Model version 2.0.1) in simulating the tropical intraseasonal oscillation (TIO) is examined in this paper.The simulations are validated against observation and compared with the NCAR CAM3 (Community Atmosphere Model version 3) results.The BCC AGCM2.0.1 is developed based on the original BCC AGCM (version 1) and NCAR CAM3.New reference atmosphere and reference pressure are introduced into the model.Therefore,the origi...     

长江流域夏季降水的贝叶斯多模式集合概率预测

A Bayesian probabilistic prediction scheme of the Yangtze River Valley (YRV) summer rainfall is proposed to combine forecast information from multi-model ensemble dataset provided by ENSEMBLES project.Due to the low forecast skill of rainfall in dynamic models,the time series of regressed YRV summer rainfall are selected as ensemble members in the new scheme,instead of commonly-used YRV summer rainfall simulated by models.Each time series of regressed YRV summer rainfall is derived from a simple linear regression.The predictor in each simple linear regression is the skillfully simulated circulation or surface temperature factor which is highly linear with the observed YRV summer rainfall in the training set.The high correlation between the ensemble mean of these regressed YRV summer rainfall and observation benefit extracting more sample information from the ensemble system.The results show that the cross-validated skill of the new scheme over the period of 1960 to 2002 is much higher than equally-weighted ensemble,multiple linear regression,and Bayesian ensemble with simulated YRV summer rainfall as ensemble members.In addition,the new scheme is also more skillful than reference forecasts (random forecast at a 0.01 significance level for ensemble mean and climatology forecast for probability density function).     

陕西省农村雷电灾害分析及建议

介绍陕西雷电日数和雷电灾害的时空分布特点,对陕西省农村雷电灾害情况进行详细的调查统计和分析,阐述了农村雷灾事故多发的原因,提出了农村防雷的对策和措施。     

青海玉树东莫扎抓铅锌矿床地质特征及碳氢氧同位素地球化学研究

东莫扎抓铅锌矿床位于青藏高原羌塘地体东北缘,是"三江"北段铅锌铜银多金属成矿带中的典型代表,对该矿床地质特征和成因类型的研究有助于理解区域铅锌铜银多金属成矿规律,对区域找矿具有重要意义.笔者通过详细的矿区地质考察、系统的矿石光薄片显微镜下鉴定和矿石中方解石的碳、氢、氧同位素分析测试,概述了东莫扎抓铅锌矿床的地质特征和成矿流体的碳、氢、氧同位素组成特征.东莫扎抓铅锌矿床矿体呈似层状展布,产状严格受到矿区逆冲断层的控制,赋矿围岩为上三叠统结扎群波里拉组灰岩和下一中二叠统开心岭群尕迪考组灰岩,发育强白云石化和弱硅化,矿物组合简单,主要为闪锌矿+方铅矿+黄铁矿+白云石+方解石+重晶石,矿石结构以皮壳状、草莓状等胶状结构和他形粒状结构为主,矿石构造为浸染状、角砾状、团块状和脉状.矿石中方解石的δ~(13)C_(V-PDB)值、δ~(18)O_(V-SMOW)值分别为δD_(V-SMOW)值分别为-1.8‰～+3.3‰、+6.1‰～+24.6‰和-137‰～-53‰,计算得到成矿流体的δ~(18)O_(流体)值为-0.5‰～+13.8‰.研究结果表明,东莫扎抓铅锌矿床的成矿流体主要来自盆地封存热卤水和大气降水,金属物质可能由区域流体在长距离迁移过程中通过与碳酸盐岩地层相互作用,以及淋滤含矿地层底部的火山岩而得来,成矿过程中伴随着碳酸盐岩的溶解作用,可能存在有机质的参与.据此,笔者将东莫扎抓矿床归为发育在碰撞造山带中受逆冲推覆断裂构造控制的类MVT铅锌矿床,并初步建立了东莫扎抓铅锌矿床的构造控矿模型.     

永春县魁星岩景区的旅游开发

我国有几千年文明史,文化积淀十分厚重,对于旅游业来说,无疑是最主要的吸引物和"卖点",也是我国旅游资源在全世界与其他旅游资源比较而显得最独特和最值钱的地方.本文以福建省永春县魁星岩旅游景区开发为例,阐述旅游风景名胜区突出文化内涵的开发,要重视历史、文化、风俗的深层次挖掘,才能充分体现出风景名胜区的品味和价值.